IA-SEN 2020: Ernst megathread

[NewYorkExpress]

Unlike Evan Bayh (who had no shot because of how Republican his state was) or Ted Strickland (who had the unfortunate luck of Trump carrying Ohio,and ran a bad campaign. If Hillary had won Ohio, she might have pulled Strickland over the line.), Vilsack can beat Ernst in 2020 if he runs, and runs a quality campaign. He'll have the advantage of an unpopular Trump atop the ticket, and Ernst isn't some unbeatable titan herself. Plus, while Iowa is getting more Republican, it isn't there yet, as the two Democratic Congressional victories this year proved.

The only other people who I think could win the seat otherwise are Abby Finkenauer (who will just barely be eligible to run, and she might prefer to wait and see if Grassley retires in 2022) and maybe Janet Petersen.

[NewYorkExpress]

https://www.politico.com/news/2020/05/24/democrats-iowa-senate-ernst-greenfield-275141

Politico has an excellent profile of the Democratic Primary up.

Among the the things the article notes are that Iowa Democrats are frustrated that the primary seems "foreordained", and that Republicans have been training their fire exclusively on Greenfield.

Greenfield will face Retired Vice Admiral Michael Franken, Businessman/Teacher Eddie Mauro and child welfare Attorney Kimberly Graham in the primary on June 2.

Is a primary upset possible, and if so, who is best positioned to pull off the upset.

In addition, other than Greenfield, who the DSCC has already endorsed, who would be strongest candidate for Democrats to face Ernst in the General Election?