MI-Emerson: Trump down 2 to 8 points (user search)
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  MI-Emerson: Trump down 2 to 8 points (search mode)
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Author Topic: MI-Emerson: Trump down 2 to 8 points  (Read 4067 times)
LAKISYLVANIA
Lakigigar
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Posts: 15,446
Belgium


Political Matrix
E: -7.42, S: -4.78

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« on: March 11, 2019, 08:39:34 AM »

So, Harris does 7 points better than Klobuchar in the primary but does 6 points worse than her in the general? Yuh.

Probably because 1) Klobuchar is well liked among those who know her, but not their first choice, but more second and third choice 2) Voters are forced to choose between one of the two because Emerson refuses to include the undecided option and 3) Harris might have some kind of fan group who are highly enthuasistic of her (highly educated, blacks) but less appeal to swing voters / rural voters or less name recognition.
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LAKISYLVANIA
Lakigigar
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 15,446
Belgium


Political Matrix
E: -7.42, S: -4.78

P P P
« Reply #1 on: March 11, 2019, 10:59:43 AM »

So, Harris does 7 points better than Klobuchar in the primary but does 6 points worse than her in the general? Yuh.

Probably because 1) Klobuchar is well liked among those who know her, but not their first choice, but more second and third choice 2) Voters are forced to choose between one of the two because Emerson refuses to include the undecided option and 3) Harris might have some kind of fan group who are highly enthuasistic of her (highly educated, blacks) but less appeal to swing voters / rural voters or less name recognition.

Klobuchar literally has half the name recognition Kamala does. The poll doesn’t make sense. Emerson doesn’t really have a good reputation.
But Harris might've higher name recognition among (reluctant) Trump voters, which would explain the results. I'm not saying it's a good poll, i'm just trying to explain the results.
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