2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread
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Author Topic: 2020 Presidential Election Results & Exit Polls commentary thread  (Read 622003 times)
Ⓐnarchy in the ☭☭☭P!
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« Reply #4150 on: November 04, 2020, 12:16:34 AM »

Maybe I'm going crazy but everything I'm seeing suggests Wisconsin polling was nonsense. If it was accurate Trump should be down significantly in rural Wisconsin but his margin is up 4% from 2016 in Juneau (74% reporting) and both his total vote and margin are up in Clark (98% reporting).

Most concerningly of all for Dems is Lafayette in Southwestern Wisconsin, a key area for Dems, where Trump has improved from 52% to 56% (!!!) with 100% reporting. For reference, Tammy Baldwin won Lafayette with 55% and she only won the election with 55% of the vote so if I were Biden I'd be extremely concerned.

This Wisconsin map does not look like a Democrat victory in the slightest. Maybe mail in votes will come to Biden's rescue but it's going to be extremely close.

I think some of those "100% reporting" are errors unless turnout has plummeted, which is not likely. Seems more like only the same day vote is completely counted.

Don't think that's it. The 2016 margin was 3,977-3,288 for Trump whereas right now it's 4,820-3,647 for Trump. Baldwin got just under 3,600 so this looks like the right final margin, Biden maxed out the same group of voters but Trump brought out almost 1,000 new voters, something we saw earlier tonight in Obama-Trump counties in Ohio. Scott Walker only managed 3,300 voters in his narrow 2018 loss, so this is a very bad sign for Biden.

If I wasn't broke I'd put money on Trump in Wisconsin. I can't believe how garbage the polling was. I can't believe I listened to people who explained it away with "undecideds breaking" because there's no goddamn way southwestern Wisconsin gives this many votes to Trump without him winning.
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Wazza [INACTIVE]
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« Reply #4151 on: November 04, 2020, 12:16:45 AM »

NYT is expecting Biden to carry Georgia. Not a good sign for Trump.
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Badger
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« Reply #4152 on: November 04, 2020, 12:16:55 AM »

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Wayne_County,_Ohio#Politics

Weird, Wayne county ohio is some random medium sized ohio county and somehow Biden nearly did as good as Obama 08. Feel

It's surprisingly Suburban in character and has a high level of Education. It's to some degree a college town
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The Free North
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« Reply #4153 on: November 04, 2020, 12:17:13 AM »

Uhh...the NM senate race is down to 3.4% with all of Albuquerque in.
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R.P. McM
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« Reply #4154 on: November 04, 2020, 12:17:16 AM »


When will the WWC see the dividends of its racism? Answer: NEVER.
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Calthrina950
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« Reply #4155 on: November 04, 2020, 12:17:23 AM »


Isn't Trump actually exceeding his 2016 percentage in West Virginia? He won every county there as in 2016.
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Pick Up the Phone
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« Reply #4156 on: November 04, 2020, 12:17:34 AM »


Is ‘working class’ coded language for non-college anti-science authoritarians?
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Bojack Horseman
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« Reply #4157 on: November 04, 2020, 12:17:36 AM »

Absentee ballots have begun to be counted in Michigan per the Detroit Free Press.
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Splash
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« Reply #4158 on: November 04, 2020, 12:17:41 AM »


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Suburbia
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« Reply #4159 on: November 04, 2020, 12:17:52 AM »

Republicans get a 52-48R senate, and democrats won't be able to do anything in four years, and probably lose in 2022 midterms, and thus get blamed for doing nothing leading to a republican victory in 2024,  lovely scenario- America's fycked even with a Biden presidency, which I expect.

Biden will have to deal with McConnell and Pelosi, or else it is a wasted presidency
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Pericles
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« Reply #4160 on: November 04, 2020, 12:18:08 AM »

Great news with Georgia!
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Fmr. Gov. NickG
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« Reply #4161 on: November 04, 2020, 12:18:10 AM »

Does it seem like votes aren’t really being counted anywhere right now?
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TiltsAreUnderrated
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« Reply #4162 on: November 04, 2020, 12:18:14 AM »


When the lockdowns end
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Yoda
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« Reply #4163 on: November 04, 2020, 12:18:18 AM »

What does everyone think of Steve bullock's chances? He seems to be running a good bit ahead of Biden.
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President Punxsutawney Phil
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« Reply #4164 on: November 04, 2020, 12:18:24 AM »

Called it

What's your thinking? You can quote me on this. Look at the margins and swings from 2016 coming out of Fulton, Dekalb, Gwinnett, Cobb. Even Cherokee and Fayette...

GA is actually looking like it's going to come down to 1% either way. The votes are coming in around metro ATL and they are not good for Trump vs. 2016 and 2018.

HAHAHAHAHAHA. Christ. Stop. Just stop


You were always likely to be proven right on this.
It's unfortunate how your views were just brushed aside but whatevs. The data speaks for itself.
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MillennialModerate
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« Reply #4165 on: November 04, 2020, 12:18:28 AM »

Called it

What's your thinking? You can quote me on this. Look at the margins and swings from 2016 coming out of Fulton, Dekalb, Gwinnett, Cobb. Even Cherokee and Fayette...

GA is actually looking like it's going to come down to 1% either way. The votes are coming in around metro ATL and they are not good for Trump vs. 2016 and 2018.

HAHAHAHAHAHA. Christ. Stop. Just stop



You called nothing. It’s NOT HAPPENING. You’ll see. Quote me. Write it down
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Hindsight was 2020
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« Reply #4166 on: November 04, 2020, 12:18:38 AM »

Biden’s odds are increasing in Georgia!
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President Punxsutawney Phil
TimTurner
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« Reply #4167 on: November 04, 2020, 12:18:53 AM »

What does everyone think of Steve bullock's chances? He seems to be running a good bit ahead of Biden.
I regard it as a 50/50 thing. He might win, he might not.
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AncestralDemocrat.
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« Reply #4168 on: November 04, 2020, 12:19:05 AM »


Isn't Trump actually exceeding his 2016 percentage in West Virginia? He won every county there as in 2016.
It's currently 68.2% Trump - 30% Biden.
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Crucial Waukesha
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« Reply #4169 on: November 04, 2020, 12:19:23 AM »

Trump back in the lead in Virginia.  whats going on with the counting there?
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libertpaulian
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« Reply #4170 on: November 04, 2020, 12:19:26 AM »

Fk Bernie, Warren, and AOC forever.
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Never Made it to Graceland
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« Reply #4171 on: November 04, 2020, 12:19:32 AM »


When will the WWC see the dividends of its racism? Answer: NEVER.

The wages of sin is death.
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Suburbia
bronz4141
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« Reply #4172 on: November 04, 2020, 12:19:39 AM »

Biden President
Republican Senate (numbers unknown exactly)
Dem House


Lots of money spent for little gain. See everyone tomorrow.

Centrism at it's finest. Deals are going to have to be made or else Biden's presidency is a waste.

And Democrats need to vote in 2022 and stop with the purity tests.

Also, dump the defund the police crap.
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BigSerg
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« Reply #4173 on: November 04, 2020, 12:19:42 AM »

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RI
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« Reply #4174 on: November 04, 2020, 12:19:48 AM »

Doug Jones could have the worst loss for an incumbent Senator ever.
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