IA-Selzer: Grassley +12

[Roll Roons]

Not sure if anybody added these but it looks like Des Moines Register added the house races. Once again they are only generic ballots and are small samples.

IA1 49-40 R
IA2 49-47 R
IA3 47-44 R
IA4 59-30 R

Overall 51-40

Not surprising. Geography in Iowa is actually pretty favorable for Democrats because the northwest part of the state is such a massive GOP vote sink.

[Roll Roons]

Not sure if anybody added these but it looks like Des Moines Register added the house races. Once again they are only generic ballots and are small samples.

IA1 49-40 R
IA2 49-47 R
IA3 47-44 R
IA4 59-30 R

Overall 51-40

Not surprising. Geography in Iowa is actually pretty favorable for Democrats because the northwest part of the state is such a massive GOP vote sink.

Do you know why IA1 and even IA3 are polling so much better than IA2 for Hinson? I thought they were somewhat unchanged from the last map, with Hinson being known as the biggest “star”. Are there some kind of trends in 1 that are greater than those in 2? I wouldn’t attribute it to the sample either, since last poll had the same relationship with 1 a few points to the right of the others.

Hinson is facing a strong challenger - a local state Senator who was previously a news anchor.