CPRM, Pt 2: AL (RO) 7/17; GA (RO) 7/24; TN 8/2; 274K ballots left in CA

[America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS]

Holy Nevada! Yes I know 2014 was awful.

https://twitter.com/WinWithJMC/status/1006732817479487488

Such high energy! Maybe NV Democrats can finally consolidate their grip on the state govt for the first time in a generation.

2014 basically had no Democratic governor primary and Dem turnout was historically bad in both the primary and GE. 2010 would be a better comparison here.

There was a primary.

[136or142]

Any chance this could become competitive:


Republican Primary
Percent   Candidate   Votes   Winner
75.3%   Mark Amodei*   1,210   
16%   Sharron Angle   257   
7.2%   Joel Beck   116   
1.5%   Ian Luetkehans   24   
0% of precincts reporting (0/774)   *Incumbent
1,607 total votes

[Hindsight was 2020]

Another dump and Jared is at 52.7%

[Tintrlvr]

Golden over 50%

52.7%   Jared Golden   11,034   
38.5%   Lucas St. Clair   8,071   
8.8%   Craig Olson   1,840   
46.9% of precincts reporting (196/418)
20,945 total votes

That was Lewiston reporting. Golden probably only goes down from here as his base is basically all in, but that margin will be difficult for St. Clair to overcome, and St. Clair doesn't have a clear geographic base the same way Golden does (winning some counties, but in the mid-50s range, not the 70s range).

[YE]

Holy Nevada! Yes I know 2014 was awful.

https://twitter.com/WinWithJMC/status/1006732817479487488

Such high energy! Maybe NV Democrats can finally consolidate their grip on the state govt for the first time in a generation.

2014 basically had no Democratic governor primary and Dem turnout was historically bad in both the primary and GE. 2010 would be a better comparison here.

There was a primary.

With basically some guys down the street running for it... IIRC None of these came in 1st.

[Nyvin]

Holy Nevada! Yes I know 2014 was awful.

https://twitter.com/WinWithJMC/status/1006732817479487488

Such high energy! Maybe NV Democrats can finally consolidate their grip on the state govt for the first time in a generation.

2014 basically had no Democratic governor primary and Dem turnout was historically bad in both the primary and GE. 2010 would be a better comparison here.

Hence the extremely shrunk text: "Yes I know 2014 was awful."

[IceSpear]

How is unelectable joke candidate Jacky Rosen doing better than Unbeatable Titan Daddy Dean Heller in the primary even though he's an incumbent and she's not? HOW?!??!?!?!?!?!

[Oryxslayer]

Golden is over 50. Doubt he holds this, but if he does, then no need for RCV.

[Dr Oz Lost Party!]

Let's see how Fox spins this as some sort of "BLUE WAVE DOOMED!" narrative.

[YE]

Any chance this could become competitive:


Republican Primary
Percent   Candidate   Votes   Winner
75.3%   Mark Amodei*   1,210   
16%   Sharron Angle   257   
7.2%   Joel Beck   116   
1.5%   Ian Luetkehans   24   
0% of precincts reporting (0/774)   *Incumbent
1,607 total votes

Only if Clint Koble is the Dem nominee but it's a long shot since he has like no money.

[America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS]

Holy Nevada! Yes I know 2014 was awful.

https://twitter.com/WinWithJMC/status/1006732817479487488

Such high energy! Maybe NV Democrats can finally consolidate their grip on the state govt for the first time in a generation.

2014 basically had no Democratic governor primary and Dem turnout was historically bad in both the primary and GE. 2010 would be a better comparison here.

There was a primary.

With basically some guys down the street running for it... IIRC None of these came in 1st.

None came in 1st, but Nevada law means that if None comes in 1st, then 2nd place gets nomination.

[TheRocketRaccoon]

How is unelectable joke candidate Jacky Rosen doing better than Unbeatable Titan Daddy Dean Heller in the primary even though he's an incumbent and she's not? HOW?!??!?!?!?!?!

Heller is also at 70% of the primary vote while Rosen is at 80%.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

WULFRIC PROJECTIONS - NV:

Governor

Democratic Primary

CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.   
Steve Sisolak
33,670   55.8%   
Christina Giunchigliani
20,379   33.8   
John Bonaventura
2,028   3.4   
None of these candidates
1,485   2.5   
Henry Thorns
1,233   2.0   
David Jones
947   1.6   
Asheesh Dewan
573   0.9   
60,315 votes, 33% reporting (663 of 1,989 precincts)

U.S. House District 3 »

Democratic Primary

CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.   
Susie Lee
15,251   67.9%   
Michael Weiss
1,813   8.1   
Eric Stoltz
1,548   6.9   
Jack Love
1,270   5.7   
Rick Hart
1,012   4.5   
Steve Schiffman
796   3.5   
Guy Pinjuv
756   3.4   
22,446 votes, 43% reporting (181 of 424 precincts)

U.S. House District 4 »

Democratic Primary

CANDIDATE   VOTE   PCT.   
Steven Horsford
12,531   63.9%   
Patricia Spearman
3,001   15.3   
Amy Vilela
1,562   8.0   
John Anzalone
1,144   5.8   
Allison Stephens
1,037   5.3   
Sid Zeller
344   1.8   
19,619 votes, 33% reporting (157 of 482 precincts)

[America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS]

Androscoggin County, Maine seems to be saving the Democrats in ME-02.

[136or142]

Any chance this could become competitive:


Republican Primary
Percent   Candidate   Votes   Winner
75.3%   Mark Amodei*   1,210   
16%   Sharron Angle   257   
7.2%   Joel Beck   116   
1.5%   Ian Luetkehans   24   
0% of precincts reporting (0/774)   *Incumbent
1,607 total votes

Only if Clint Koble is the Dem nominee but it's a long shot since he has like no money.

I meant the primary.

[YE]

Any chance this could become competitive:


Republican Primary
Percent   Candidate   Votes   Winner
75.3%   Mark Amodei*   1,210   
16%   Sharron Angle   257   
7.2%   Joel Beck   116   
1.5%   Ian Luetkehans   24   
0% of precincts reporting (0/774)   *Incumbent
1,607 total votes

Only if Clint Koble is the Dem nominee but it's a long shot since he has like no money.

I meant the primary.

No. Sharron Angle has gotten nowhere anytime she's run for public office since blowing 2010.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

WULFRIC PROJECTIONS - ME:

Ranked-Choice Voting

ANSWER   VOTES   PCT.   
Yes
66,713   54.7%   
No
55,202   45.3   
121,915 votes, 47% reporting (271 of 574 precincts)

Recall Waterville Mayor

ANSWER   VOTES   PCT.   
Yes
1,472   48.5%   
No
1,563   51.5   
3,035 votes, 100% reporting (1 of 1 precinct)

[TheSaint250]

I feel so bad for Mark Sanford. He didn’t deserve to go down. Not like this.

[Attorney General & PPT Dwarven Dragon]

I will not be making a call in ME-GOV D tonight due to the ranked choice system. I am continuing to monitor ME-2 D and may be able to make a call there.

[Devout Centrist]

I feel so bad for Mark Sanford. He didn’t deserve to go down. Not like this.

Oh yes he did. His political career should have ended in 2009!

[America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS]

Frustrated that the Waterville Mayor survived recall.

[Tintrlvr]

I'm not so certain SC-01 is over, though maybe Sanford is conceding any run-off that happens. Most of the remaining precincts are in Charleston County, which Sanford is winning (while Arrington is winning everywhere else). He's not going to come out of tonight ahead, but I'd give it around even odds that Arrington ends up under 50.

[America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS]

None of these Candidates (D) seems to be taking more votes than None of these Candidates (R).

[BBD]

Are Democrats not running any candidates for Nevada Treasurer and Secretary of State?

[GoldenMainer]

https://twitter.com/j_mundry/status/1006736421644898304