CPRM, Pt 2: AL (RO) 7/17; GA (RO) 7/24; TN 8/2; 274K ballots left in CA

[136or142]

Currently Shawn Moody (who even is he) is leading the ME-Gov R primary.

From http://www.politics1.com/me.htm

Shawn Moody (R) - State University System Trustee, Auto Body Shop Owner & '10 Candidate

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

Do you guys think Arrington will make SC-01 less safe for the GOP?

it's a wash. Arrington is more polarizing politically but Sanford is still... Sanford. He's made a lot of people angry over the years for a bunch of very legitimate reasons (scandals, running the government poorly, anti-Trump in a Trumpish district, and generally being kind of a jerk).

Sanford winning would be much better since it'd show that one can be openly critical of Trump and still win a Republican primary.

The problem is... you can't.

Hope springs eternal

(and no, Romney doesn't count as anti-Trump at this point)

[libertpaulian]

Looking at these primary statistics...Comstock is finished.

[Roronoa D. Law]

My family is from Charleston area. I don't see Sanford winning he is loosing in places he need to win.

[GeorgiaModerate]

Looking at these primary statistics...Comstock is finished.

And yet, Kondik still thinks it's a tossup:

https://twitter.com/kkondik/status/1006702868873797635

[IceSpear]

Do you guys think Arrington will make SC-01 less safe for the GOP?

it's a wash. Arrington is more polarizing politically but Sanford is still... Sanford. He's made a lot of people angry over the years for a bunch of very legitimate reasons (scandals, running the government poorly, anti-Trump in a Trumpish district, and generally being kind of a jerk).

Sanford winning would be much better since it'd show that one can be openly critical of Trump and still win a Republican primary.

The problem is... you can't.

Hope springs eternal

(and no, Romney doesn't count as anti-Trump at this point)

If Romney doesn't count then Sanford sure as hell doesn't either.

[Matty]

Harry enten says arrington has 7 point lead with 30k votes counted

[Adam Griffin]

Has anyone commented that Archie Parnell is winning by a huge margin in the D primary in SC-05 despite having dropped out? What's going to happen there?

I keep seeing this posted in the thread, but I don't see anywhere where Parnell said he was dropping out...? There are multiple articles within the past two days with endorsements from county Democratic committee members, etc.

[IceSpear]

Looking at these primary statistics...Comstock is finished.

And yet, Kondik still thinks it's a tossup:

https://twitter.com/kkondik/status/1006702868873797635

Haha, called it.

[136or142]

Arrington starting to run away with it:


Republican Primary
Percent   Candidate   Votes   Winner
52.3%   Katie Arrington   14,276   
44.9%   Mark Sanford*   12,247   
2.8%   Dimitri Cherny   762   
39.7% of precincts reporting (140/353)   *Incumbent
27,285 total votes

[Maxwell]

NOVA gave us Stewart in the primary and they are going to give us Kaine in November.  Time for Real Virginia to secede.

i woke up this mornin, lord i had a hunger pain
and all i want to do is vote for Tim Kaine
Tim Kaine
aww you ol Tim Kaine

[Oryxslayer]

It's farely obvious that there are a bunch of former Rs who still voted in the primary for one reason or another, but have unofficially joined the dems since trump in NOVA.

[136or142]

Looks like McMaster will go to a runoff (I know, wrong thread.)

Republican Primary
Map   Percent   Candidate   Votes   Winner
44.5%   Henry McMaster*   76,213   
25.2%   John Warren   43,054   
22.9%   Catherine Templeton   39,133   
5.8%   Kevin Bryant   10,012   
1.6%   Yancey McGill   2,736   

[Sestak]

Has anyone commented that Archie Parnell is winning by a huge margin in the D primary in SC-05 despite having dropped out? What's going to happen there?

I keep seeing this posted in the thread, but I don't see anywhere where Parnell said he was dropping out...? There are multiple articles within the past two days with endorsements from county Democratic committee members, etc.

He didn't drop out, I don't think. Leadership and outside groups just wanted him to after the allegations.

[Hindsight was 2020]

I sadly have doubts that Jared Golden can win tonight. Which stinks cause St. Clair isn’t impressive

[GeorgiaModerate]

Arrington starting to run away with it:


Republican Primary
Percent   Candidate   Votes   Winner
52.3%   Katie Arrington   14,276   
44.9%   Mark Sanford*   12,247   
2.8%   Dimitri Cherny   762   
39.7% of precincts reporting (140/353)   *Incumbent
27,285 total votes

https://twitter.com/ForecasterEnten/status/1006704843208175616

[RussFeingoldWasRobbed]

Lets not act like Freitas would have been a great candidate either. He would have lost too(but probably not damaged VA-7)

[136or142]

Has anyone commented that Archie Parnell is winning by a huge margin in the D primary in SC-05 despite having dropped out? What's going to happen there?

I keep seeing this posted in the thread, but I don't see anywhere where Parnell said he was dropping out...? There are multiple articles within the past two days with endorsements from county Democratic committee members, etc.

He didn't drop out, I don't think. Leadership and outside groups just wanted him to after the allegations.

Allegations?  He admitted it.

[Matty]

Trump must have been given an internal poll or something

[Nyvin]

Isn't Arrington the more moderate candidate between her and Sanford?   Why would Trump want her to win???

[IceSpear]

RIP Heller/Comstock ticket

They're still unbeatable titans even though one struggled to crack 60% against a random jorts wearing weirdo and the other needed to beg Trump to force out his perennial loser gadfly opponent so that he also didn't have an embarrassingly pathetic performance.

[136or142]

Isn't Arrington the more moderate candidate between her and Sanford?   Why would Trump want her to win???

Not likely.  She's an idiot Trump cultist.

[America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS]

If Arrington wins the primary, the race moves from Safe R to Likely R.

[ajc0918]

Trump must have been given an internal poll or something

Sanford knew he was in trouble. A reporter asked him how polls look a few days ago and he said "they're saying different things" or something like that.

[Chancellor Tanterterg]

Do you guys think Arrington will make SC-01 less safe for the GOP?

it's a wash. Arrington is more polarizing politically but Sanford is still... Sanford. He's made a lot of people angry over the years for a bunch of very legitimate reasons (scandals, running the government poorly, anti-Trump in a Trumpish district, and generally being kind of a jerk).

Sanford winning would be much better since it'd show that one can be openly critical of Trump and still win a Republican primary.

The problem is... you can't.

Hope springs eternal

(and no, Romney doesn't count as anti-Trump at this point)

If Romney doesn't count then Sanford sure as hell doesn't either.