could Julian Castro win statewide in 2014? (user search)
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  could Julian Castro win statewide in 2014? (search mode)
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Author Topic: could Julian Castro win statewide in 2014?  (Read 2964 times)
BaldEagle1991
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« on: December 26, 2012, 10:21:08 PM »

Unfortunately he has no chance. Unless Perry runs against him, or if he runs against a very gaffe candidate.

He does have a better chance in 2018 or 2022 though, but it will be tossup at best at that point, not a guarantee victory for him.

Castro would be better off running for a House seat like his brother did or become an Obama cabinet member

Sounds best at this point.


I think you're being a tad pessimistic. If a prominent Democrat with a Spanish surname and a decent record could rack up impressive numbers in the "del" in 2002, it's possible that the same results could be replicated amongst urban Latinos. The real slumbering demographic in Texas are the relatively new Mexican-American communities in Houston and Dallas. If Castro could achieve turnout at the same level as in 2012 and overperform Obama by 5-10%, he could get 45-46% of the vote.

That sounds promising, if the national GOP doesn't take note of Texas falling off their hands, but I think they'll try to get the urban Latinos fast, if that happens.
 
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BaldEagle1991
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« Reply #1 on: January 06, 2013, 05:22:41 PM »

If a democrat were to win in Texas, they would have to be away from the Democrat national party, and Castro already disqualified himself by being the keynote speaker at the DNC.

What if Texans are getting tired of the statewide GOP?

The only real issue Democrats could use against the state GOP right now is their voter ID law which was blatantly discriminatory and struck down.
 

Keep in mind this will only help gather more Latino voters to the Dems. You just can't rely ONLY on them yet. White Texans are heavily in favor of the Voter ID law, and they vote more. You have to find an issue that caters to them first. 
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