Congressional Special Election (last call! unstickied after NY-27 final results) (user search)
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  Congressional Special Election (last call! unstickied after NY-27 final results) (search mode)
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Author Topic: Congressional Special Election (last call! unstickied after NY-27 final results)  (Read 170140 times)
RI
realisticidealist
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Posts: 14,810


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« on: August 22, 2019, 01:33:59 PM »
Rumor has it that there will need to be a special election in KS-02 in the near future.
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RI
realisticidealist
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*****
Posts: 14,810


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #1 on: August 22, 2019, 07:43:27 PM »
Quote from: Gravel/Feinstein 2020 on August 22, 2019, 02:46:14 PM
Quote from: Dr. RI on August 22, 2019, 01:33:59 PM
Rumor has it that there will need to be a special election in KS-02 in the near future.

woah, can you elaborate?

It's starting to come out: https://www.cjonline.com/news/20190822/us-rep-steve-watkins-ducks-reporters-amid-speculation-he-could-resign
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,810


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #2 on: September 03, 2019, 08:06:11 AM »
RRH NC-03 poll: https://rrhelections.com/index.php/2019/09/03/rrh-elections-nc-3-poll-murphy-r-leads-thomas-d-51-40/#comments

Murphy 51
Thomas 40
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,810


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #3 on: September 03, 2019, 02:12:04 PM »
Quote from: GeorgiaModerate on September 03, 2019, 02:10:26 PM
Does anyone know when the RRH NC-09 poll will be released?

4pm ET for non-donors.
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RI
realisticidealist
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*****
Posts: 14,810


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #4 on: September 10, 2019, 07:49:34 PM »
Murphy will probably match Trump's margin at this rate.
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RI
realisticidealist
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*****
Posts: 14,810


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #5 on: September 10, 2019, 08:57:22 PM »
Cumberland flipped to Bishop with all precincts in.
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,810


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #6 on: September 10, 2019, 09:06:47 PM »
Quote from: You're Still Going to Vote for Biden on September 10, 2019, 09:02:41 PM
Quote from: NOVA Green on September 10, 2019, 09:01:54 PM
Meck precincts remaining generally overwhelmingly ED McCready--- pct 73,75,91,96,101,131,137,144,216,217,227,232.

Includes some decent sized ones, but Union and swings in the Eastern Counties likely make it not enough even if ED numbers are larger than one might imagine over EV numbers in terms of votes remaining.
Could it be so narrow that it flips after absentees?

The largest possible margin absentees/provisionals could flip is maybe 3k votes, probably less.
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,810


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #7 on: September 10, 2019, 09:10:02 PM »
Two different electorates tonight: NC-03 behaving like 2016. NC-09 behaving like 2018-lite.
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RI
realisticidealist
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*****
Posts: 14,810


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #8 on: September 10, 2019, 09:12:28 PM »
NYT calls it for Bishop
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RI
realisticidealist
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 14,810


Political Matrix
E: 0.39, S: 2.61
« Reply #9 on: September 10, 2019, 09:57:39 PM »

Well, they basically did no weighting, so there's that.
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