AL-SEN: Predict final margin (CLOSED: Moore +2.5) (user search)

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AL-SEN: Predict final margin (CLOSED: Moore +2.5) (search mode)

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Poll

Question:

What will the margin in AL-SEN be?

#1 Moore +10 or more		9 (7%)
#2 Moore +9		3 (2.3%)
#3 Moore +8		4 (3.1%)
#4 Moore +7		7 (5.4%)
#5 Moore +6		11 (8.5%)
#6 Moore +5		14 (10.9%)
#7 Moore +4		8 (6.2%)
#8 Moore +3		12 (9.3%)
#9 Moore +2		5 (3.9%)
#10 Moore +1		10 (7.8%)
#11 Jones +1		18 (14%)
#12 Jones +2		11 (8.5%)
#13 Jones +3		9 (7%)
#14 Jones +4		4 (3.1%)
#15 Jones +5		2 (1.6%)
#16 Jones +6		2 (1.6%)
#17 Jones +7		0 (0%)
#18 Jones +8		0 (0%)
#19 Jones +9		0 (0%)
#20 Jones +10 or more		0 (0%)

Show Pie Chart
Partisan results

Total Voters: 127

Author

Topic: AL-SEN: Predict final margin (CLOSED: Moore +2.5) (Read 8498 times)

kyc0705
Sr. Member

Posts: 2,761

Re: AL-SEN: Predict the (exact) final margin

« on: December 11, 2017, 10:57:42 AM »

Quote from: Brittain33 on December 11, 2017, 08:46:30 AM

Moore 53% (+4)
Jones 44% (nc)

Quote from: heatcharger on December 11, 2017, 10:05:17 AM

Jones 50%
Moore 40% (-2)

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kyc0705
Sr. Member

Posts: 2,761

	Re: AL-SEN: Predict the (exact) final margin « Reply #1 on: December 12, 2017, 02:55:07 PM »
	« Edited: December 12, 2017, 02:57:17 PM by kyc0705 »

Quote from: First Degree Burns on December 12, 2017, 02:37:17 PM

Quote from: PittsburghSteel on December 12, 2017, 02:21:27 PM

Gonna say Jones +3. I have a gut instinct telling me Jones is going to win this.

gut instinct ≠ accurate prediction

Speaking anecdotally, my "gut instinct" has been, over the past eighteen months, that Brexit would pass, Trump would win, and that the Conservatives would lose seats in the UK snap election. I never made them actual predictions because I thought they were absurd, but in those three upsets, my instinct was right.

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