Post Random Maps Here 3.0

[America Needs R'hllor]

2020 Democratic Primary: Mayor Pete emerges as a darkhorse winner

American Samoa
Guam
Northern Mariana Islands
US Virgin Islands
Democrats Abroad

Mayor Pete Buttigieg (D-IN)- 40.9% ✓
Senator Kamala Harris (D-CA)- 26.3%
Senator Bernie Sanders (D-VT)- 11.3%
Former Vice President Joe Biden (D-DE)- 5.7%
Former U.S. Rep. Beto O'Rourke (D-TX)- 4.8%
Senator Elizabeth Warren (D-MA)- 3.4%
Senator Cory Booker (D-NJ)- 2.2%
Businessman Andrew Yang (D-RI)-1.3%
Governor John Hickenlooper (D-CO)- 1.1%
Governor Jay Inslee (D-WA)- 1.0%
Senator Kirsten Gillibrand (D-NY)- 0.9%
U.S. Rep. Tulsi Gabbard (D-HI)-0.5%
Former Secretary Julián Castro (D-TX)- 0.2%
Senator Amy Klobuchar (D-MN)- 0.1%
Senator Michael Bennet (D-CO)- 0.1%
Former Governor Terry McAuliffe (D-VA)- 0%
U.S. Representative Eric Swalwell (D-CA)- 0%
Former U.S. Rep. John Delaney (D-MD) 0%
Former Senator Mike Gravel (D-AK)- 0%
Mayor Wayne Messam (D-FL)- 0%
Ms. Marianne Williamson (D-CA)- 0%
Others- 0.1%

2020 Presidential Election: President Trump vs Mayor Pete

Mayor Pete Buttigieg (D-IN)\Senator Kirsten Gillibrand (D-NY)- 51.5% (388 EV) ✓
President Donald Trump (R-NY)\Vice President Mike Pence (R-IN)- 45.2% (150 EV)
Businessman Howard Schultz (I-WA)\City Councilwoman Mary Norwood (I-GA)- 1.9%
Mr. Adam Kokesh (L-AZ)\Mr. Arvin Vohra (L-MD)- 0.6% (0 EV)
Youngstown Board of Education Member Dario Hunter (G-OH)\Activist Ian Schlakman (G-MD)- 0.4% (0 EV)
Others- 0.4%

[America Needs R'hllor]

2016 Democratic Primary- Elizabeth Warren runs

2016 Democratic Candidates:
Fmr. Secretary of State Hillary Clinton (D-NY) ✓
Senator Elizabeth Warren (D-MA)
Fmr. Governor Martin O'Malley (D-MD)
Fmr. Senator Jim Webb (D-VA)
Fmr. Governor Lincoln Chafee (D-RI)

2016 General Election- No Change

2020 Democratic Primary- Liz is the One

2020 Democratic Candidates
Senator Elizabeth Warren (D-MA) ✓
Fmr. Vice President Joe Biden (D-DE)
Senator Kamala Harris (D-CA)
Mayor Pete Buttigieg (D-IN)
Fmr. Rep. Beto O'Rourke (D-TX)
Senator Cory Booker (D-NJ)
Others (dropped out before Super Tuesday): Senator Michael Bennet (D-CO), Mayor Bill de Blasio (D-NY), Governor Steve Bullock (D-MT), Fmr. HUD Secretary Julián Castro (D-TX), Fmr. Rep. John Delaney (D-MD), Rep. Tulsi Gabbard (D-HI), Senator Kirsten Gillibrand (D-NY), Mayor Andrew Gillum (D-FL), Fmr. Senator Mike Gravel (D-AK), Fmr. Governor John Hickenlooper (D-CO), Senator Amy Klobuchar (D-MN), Senator Jeff Merkley (D-OR), Mayor Wayne Messam (D-FL), Rep. Seth Moulton (D-MA), Rep. Tim Ryan (D-OH), Rep. Eric Swalwell (D-CA), Ms. Marianne Williamson (D-CA), Mr. Andrew Yang (D-NY)

2020 General Election- the Warren Era Begins

Senator Elizabeth Warren (D-MA)\Mayor Pete Buttigieg (D-IN)- 50.3% (305 Electoral Votes) ✓
President Donald Trump (R-NY)\Vice President Mike Pence (R-IN)- 45.8% (233 Electoral Votes)
CEO Howard Schultz (I-WA)\Fmr. City Councillor Mary Norwood (I-GA)- 2.2% (0 Electoral Votes)
Mr Adam Kokesh (L-AZ)\Mr. Jacob Hornberger (L-VA)- 0.8% (0 Electoral Votes)
Mr Howie Hawkins (G-NY)\Board of Education Member Dario Hunter (G-OH)- 0.7% (0 Electoral Votes)
Others- 0.2% (0 Electoral Votes)

2024 General Election- the Progressive Revolution

President Elizabeth Warren (D-MA)\Vice President Pete Buttigieg (D-IN)- 53.6% (389 Electoral Votes) ✓
Senator Tom Cotton (R-AR)\Fmr. UN Ambassador Nikki Haley (R-SC)- 45.0% (149 Electoral Votes)
Others- 1.4% (0 Electoral Votes)

2028 General Election- Enforcing the Legacy

Vice President Pete Buttigieg (D-IN)\Senator Sharice Davids (D-KS)- 51.4% (331 Electoral Votes) ✓
Fmr. Governor Ron DeSantis (R-FL)\Fmr. Governor Bill Lee (R-TN)- 46.8% (207 Electoral Votes)
Others- 1.8% (0 Electoral Votes)

2032 General Election- Locking Up the Re-Alignment

President Pete Buttigieg (D-IN)\Vice President Sharice Davids (D-KS)- 54.5% (418 Electoral Votes) ✓
Fmr. Governor Ron DeSantis (R-FL)\Fmr. Rep. Dan Crenshaw (R-TX)- 44.4% (120 Electoral Votes)
Others- 1.1% (0 Electoral Votes)

2036 General Election- a New Party

Governor Erin Stewart (R-CT)\Senator Abby Huntsman (R-UT)- 49.7% (280 Electoral Votes) ✓
Vice President Sharice Davids (D-KS)\Senator Mark Kelly (D-AZ)- 49.3% (258 Electoral Votes)
Others- 1.0% (0 Electoral Votes)

Note: I know the EC numbers will change. Just pretend it's adjusted, it'll just be a change of a few EVs every year anyway

[America Needs R'hllor]

I'm doing this Israeli scenario here because there's no other relevant thread for proportional parliamentary system election results and government formation.

Israeli Legislative Election (September 2019) Results
Blue and White (Benny Gantz)- 33 Seats
Likud (Benjamin Netanyahu)- 32 Seats
Joint List (Ayman Odeh)- 13 Seats
Shas (Aryeh Deri)- 9 Seats
Yisrael Beiteinu (Avigdor Lieberman)- 8 Seats
United Torah Judaism (Ya'akov Litzman)- 7 Seats
Yamina (Ayelet Shaked)- 7 Seats
Labour-Gesher (Amir Peretz)- 6 Seats
Democratic Camp (Nitzan Horovitz)- 5 Seats

Scenario: In November 2019, after two legislative elections and the possibility of a third one looming close, the government formation mandate of Blue and White leader Benny Gantz was about to expire. Afterwards, there would be 21 days in which 61 members of Knesset would need to support a candidate for Prime Minister or an election would be triggered. And so, Gantz decided on a bold solution- a minority government, supported from outside by the Arabic parties and with the abstention of Yisrael Beiteinu's Avigdor Lieberman. The government was framed as a temporary solution, until Prime Minister Netanyahu is formally indicted.

And so, coalition agreements were formalized with two ally parties, Labour-Gesher and the Democratic Camp- for the former, Gantz agreed to raise the minimum wage, invest in the periphery and ban contract employment, and for the latter, Gantz agreed to begin a large-scale Green New Deal plan advocated by them during the election. B&W also agreed on various issues with the Joint Arab List, including comprehensive plans to reduce crime in the Arab public and to start peace negotiations with the Palestinians. With Yisrael Beiteinu, Gantz agreed to advance a number of Lieberman's campaign promises such as increased pensions for retired Israelis, civil marriage and religious conversion reform that favour Russian immigrants.

Coalition (44 Seats)- Blue and White (33 Seats), Labour-Gesher (6 Seats), Democratic Camp (5 Seats)

Supply and Demand (13 Seats)- Joint List (13 Seats)

Opposition (Abstention)- Yisrael Beiteinu (8 Seats)

Opposition (Opposing)- Likud (32 Seats), Shas (9 Seats), United Torah Judaism (7 Seats), Yamina (7 Seats)

35th Israeli Government:

Prime Minister: Benny Gantz (B&W)
Foreign Minister: Yair Lapid (B&W)
Defense Minister: Gabby Ashkenazi (B&W)
Finance Minister: Amir Peretz (Labour-Gesher)
Justice Minister: Nitzan Horovitz (Democratic Camp)
Education Minister: Moshe "Bogie" Ya'alon (B&W)
Health Minister: Orly Levy-Abekasis (Labour-Gesher)
Home Minister: Yair Golan (Democratic Camp)
Economy and Industry Minister: Avi Nissankorn (B&W)
Internal Security Minister: Orna Barbivai (B&W)
Construction and Housing Minister: Ofer Shelah (B&W)
Transportation and Road Safety Minister: Yael German (B&W)
Communications Minister: Miki Haimovich (B&W)
Labour, Welfare and Social Services Minister: Itzik Shmuli (Labour-Gesher)
Agriculture and Rural Development Minister: Merav Michaeli (Labour-Gesher)
Periphery, Negev and Galilee Development Minister: Michael Biton (B&W)
Energy and Water Minister: Orit Farkash-Hacohen (B&W)
Environmental Protection Minister: Stav Shaffir (Democratic Union)
Science and Technology Minister: Merav Cohen (B&W)
Culture and Sports Minister: Hili Trooper (B&W)
Tourism Minister: Assaf Zamir (B&W)
Immigration and Integration Minister: Yoel Razvozov (B&W)
Social Equality and Minority Affairs Minister: Karin Elharar (B&W)
Jerusalem and Diaspora Affairs Minister: Yoaz Hendel (B&W)
Religious Affairs Minister: Elazar Stern (B&W)

Speaker of the Knesset: Meir Cohen (B&W)
Chairperson of the Finance Committee: Zvi Hauser (B&W)
Chairperson of the Foreign Affairs and Defense Committee: Omer Bar Lev (Labour-Gesher)

Later, I'm gonna make a post for a scenario in which another election is held. There is a B&W-Yisrael Beiteinu-Labour scenario that is way more likely than the one I'm presenting here, btw, but that's just simply not fun enough so I'm doing this one.

[America Needs R'hllor]

Scenario 2: In November 2019, Blue and White leader Benny Gantz's attempts to form a unity government with Likud leader Netanyahu fail, and he's also unable to form a minority government due to the opposition of Yisrael Beiteinu's Avigdor Lieberman. 21 days later, the attempts to form a government of 61 MKs fails too, and a new election is triggered for March 31st, 2020.

The campaign sees a new level of dirty tactics, after the already-dirty two previous elections.  By the end of November, during the 21-days period, Netanyahu was indicted for bribery, fraud and breach of trust, and with the indictment official his polling numbers were harmed even more. Polls show a picture in which the right-religious bloc bleeds even more seats, and Netanyahu's Likud employs a racist campaign that focuses on Gantz's attempts to cooperate with the Joint List. Meanwhile, Blue and White focuses on accusing Netanyahu of forcing the election due to his ego and criminal indictment. Turnout for the election threatened to be low, with many desperate of the stagnation, but the feeling of a grave decision motivated many to go out and vote. In the end, the result showed where the winds of the Israeli population were blowing.

Israeli Legislative Election (March 2020) Results
Blue and White (Benny Gantz)- 34 Seats ↑ (+1)
Likud (Benjamin Netanyahu)- 28 Seats ↓ (-4)
Joint List (Ayman Odeh)- 15 Seats ↑ (+2)
Shas (Aryeh Deri)- 9 Seats = (+-0)
Yisrael Beiteinu (Avigdor Lieberman)- 8 Seats = (+-0)
United Torah Judaism (Ya'akov Litzman)- 8 Seats ↑ (+1)
Labour-Gesher (Amir Peretz)- 8 Seats ↑ (+2)
Democratic Camp (Nitzan Horovitz)- 5 Seats = (+-0)
United Right Wing Parties (Rafi Peretz)- 5 Seats ↓ (-2)

In the end, it seemed, the gamble did not pay off for Netanyahu. The public viewed him overwhelmingly as the one to blame for the election, with many Likud or Yamina voters unsatisfied with their parties sticking by Netanyahu staying home. Meanwhile, Blue and White voters were motivated to go out in droves and vote, and even many new voters decided that Netanyahu had to be punished and went out to vote for center-left parties. Lieberman, despite bleeding some Russian immigrant support, was rewarded with support of some Likud voters, while the Arab turnout surged again with the possibility of more participation in the government and the Joint List reached an unprecedented number of 15 Seats. The United Right Wing Parties, despite absorbing the Kahanists again, fell down to their original 5 Seats, but Shaked and Bennet joining Likud didn't do the ruling party any favours due to the loss of support in other ways. Labour-Gesher, meanwhile, managed to use the fact that they kept their word and didn't join Netanyahu after the previous election, as well as an economically populist campaign that appealed to people who were tired of Netanyahu, to gain sunstantially in the periphery areas.

But Netanyahu refused to step down as leader and, having won the Likud leadership primary against Gideon Sa'ar in late 2019, it wasn't possible to remove him from within, despite increasing grumbling from Likud MKs who saw the collapse in the election while Netanyahu lead them. With Netanyahu refusing a unity government unless he's the first in the rotation or receives an immunity from his indictment, there was no other choice- Gantz signed coalition agreements with Labour-Gesher and the Democratic Camp, and with the Joint List for outside support in exchange for many legislative concessions to Israeli Arabic interests. the reduced Netanyahu bloc of 50 strongly opposed the government and contineud to fan the flames, some Likud MKs calling Gantz "a traitor", and Yisrael Beiteinu also opposed it strongly, though Lieberman said that he's hopeful Likud would join the unity government after "waking up from Netanyahu's delusions".

Coalition (47 Seats)- Blue and White (34 Seats), Labour-Gesher (8 Seats), Democratic Camp (5 Seats)

Supply and Demand (15 Seats)- Joint List (15 Seats)

Opposition- Likud (28 Seats), Shas (9 Seats), Yisrael Beiteinu (8 Seats), United Torah Judaism (8 Seats), United Right Wing Parties (5 Seats)

The Ministries are pretty much what I presented in my previous post.