Madison County is probably one of the places Biden could flip in Alabama. Jones won it in 2017, it was close in 2020, and had a big trend leftward 16-20. I think Trump only won it by 8. Since then, I think some of this stuff that the Alabama Supreme Court and Senator Tuberville have done probably have turned off some people there.
It was Haley's best county in the state by far though technically only Trump's second-worst since he got a lower percentage in a very low-population county (Wilcox) where there were a lot of votes cast for candidates who had dropped out.
My guess is Trump still narrowly ekes out a win here.
