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Author Topic: 2020 Generic Ballot / Recruitment / Fundraising / Ratings Megathread  (Read 169367 times)
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #1075 on: April 30, 2019, 02:12:28 PM »



Could be nothing, either way, likely R.
I doubt Feehan wins in 2020 if he couldn't win an open seat in 2018. Still, might as well spend some money here.
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America Needs a 13-6 Progressive SCOTUS
Solid4096
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #1076 on: April 30, 2019, 04:39:39 PM »


Disgusting. Must make sure Spanberger wins re-election.
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Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
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« Reply #1077 on: April 30, 2019, 11:55:03 PM »

OMG HAHAHAHAHAHAHAHAHHAHAHAHA!



Must have a kink for getting beaten up by a female mma fighter, I will try not to judge too much lol.
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Pericles
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« Reply #1078 on: May 01, 2019, 12:37:12 AM »

It'll probably be double digits this time lol.
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Chancellor Tanterterg
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« Reply #1079 on: May 01, 2019, 03:48:51 AM »

The main reason why Tenney lost is because she's a woman. A man that abrasive would just come of as Trump to the GOP base.

No, it's because she is a horrible candidate who ran a piss-poor campaign against an A-list Democrat who fits the district like a glove.

Mike Bost won and he's crazy.

Exactly. Mike Bost said a lot of crazy sh**t but that makes him populist Purple heart. Claudia Tenney said a lot of crazy sh**t more than the avg GOP congressperson but its not that out of line. She would have won if she was a man.

Mike Bost was basically a generic Republican, Tenney is not.
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Skunk
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« Reply #1080 on: May 02, 2019, 01:32:44 PM »

Yoder not running after all.
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Gracile
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Junior Chimp
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« Reply #1081 on: May 06, 2019, 11:04:17 AM »
« Edited: May 06, 2019, 11:12:52 AM by gracile »

IL-03: Newman (D) receives endorsements from key Democratic groups -



----

NY-11: Malliotakis (R) and Grimm (R) trade jabs ahead of possible primary -

https://www.buzzfeednews.com/article/alexislevinson/trump-2020-congress-grimm-rose
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Zaybay
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #1082 on: May 06, 2019, 12:41:06 PM »

IL-03: Newman (D) receives endorsements from key Democratic groups -



----

NY-11: Malliotakis (R) and Grimm (R) trade jabs ahead of possible primary -

https://www.buzzfeednews.com/article/alexislevinson/trump-2020-congress-grimm-rose

I guess the DCCC has to blacklist Emily’s List now Tongue.
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Pollster
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« Reply #1083 on: May 06, 2019, 02:13:03 PM »

Former Cobb County Democratic Party chairman Michael Owens, a Marine Corps veteran who unsuccessfully challenged David Scott in 2014, is seeking a rematch against the nine-term congressman in Georgia’s 13th Congressional District.
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Gustaf
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« Reply #1084 on: May 06, 2019, 06:03:55 PM »


I wouldn't be so sure. Tenney is an underperformer, but even she would benefit from what is likely to be a more favorable environment in this particular district in 2020. Her loss in 2018 wasn't even that bad, all things considered, especially since she ran against a popular state legislator who was considered a "good fit" for NY-22.

I generally agree. But this "popular state legislator" is an incumbent Congressman now, and that's, most likely, a plus...

Maybe, but the fundamentals of this district are awful for Democrats. I think Brindisi would have a tough time in a neutral environment. Not only was NY-22 the most Republican district that Democrats flipped last fall in terms of Trump's margin of victory, but it was also the second most Republican-trending seat that flipped based on 2016 trendlines (only IA-01 trended more Republican). At least places like OK-05 and SC-01 have a democratic trend working in their incumbent's favor. The low-propensity voters in this seat who didn't show up for the midterm are likely conservatives who will show up with Trump on the ballot, which will be a detriment to Brindisi.

I don't think it's clear that we can talk about trend in some of the Trump districts - as I recall, the data suggests some areas that were competitive pre-Trump swung back pretty heavily. The flip itself would suggest that to some extent.
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Co-Chair Bagel23
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« Reply #1085 on: May 06, 2019, 08:49:44 PM »
« Edited: May 06, 2019, 08:58:46 PM by Prolocutor Bagel23 »

David Young might try again



tilt R
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Chancellor Tanterterg
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« Reply #1086 on: May 06, 2019, 11:00:48 PM »

David Young might try again



tilt R

Lean D, Young ran an awful campaign, is a lazy campaigner, and won't have incumbency advantages anymore.
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Zaybay
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #1087 on: May 07, 2019, 10:07:16 AM »
« Edited: May 07, 2019, 01:17:58 PM by Councilor Zaybay »

Thats actually a rather surprising map. The entire district shifted by almost the same amount, 15 points. Des Moins shifted 15 points, and so did the farming areas, by almost the exact same amount. You dont usually see a shift like that.
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Yang2020
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« Reply #1088 on: May 07, 2019, 10:51:08 AM »


Lol no chance
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OneJ
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« Reply #1089 on: May 07, 2019, 11:48:32 AM »

I really like how Polk and the rest of the district remained their exact shares of the vote.
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Obama-Biden Democrat
Zyzz
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« Reply #1090 on: May 07, 2019, 06:51:14 PM »

Maybe this will be the start of Big Don's comeback.

Blankenship sues Trump Jr.

Former coal magnate Don Blankenship has added Donald Trump Jr. to a laundry list of media outlets, personalities and "swamp" Republicans that the ex-convict is suing for defamation.

The complaint filed last week is nearly identical to another that Blankenship filed against more than 75 news companies, political organizations, media personalities and reporters in circuit court in Mingo County, W.Va., where Blankenship grew up and still owns a home (Greenwire, March 15).

https://www.eenews.net/stories/1060260161
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Co-Chair Bagel23
Bagel23
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« Reply #1091 on: May 07, 2019, 07:33:54 PM »

Maybe this will be the start of Big Don's comeback.

Blankenship sues Trump Jr.

Former coal magnate Don Blankenship has added Donald Trump Jr. to a laundry list of media outlets, personalities and "swamp" Republicans that the ex-convict is suing for defamation.

The complaint filed last week is nearly identical to another that Blankenship filed against more than 75 news companies, political organizations, media personalities and reporters in circuit court in Mingo County, W.Va., where Blankenship grew up and still owns a home (Greenwire, March 15).

https://www.eenews.net/stories/1060260161

lol Purple heart
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Yang2020
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« Reply #1092 on: May 09, 2019, 10:09:23 AM »

Former CIA Officer Valerie Plame running for NM-03:

https://twitter.com/jmartNYT/status/1126496160456134656?s=20
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Young Conservative
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« Reply #1093 on: May 09, 2019, 11:29:54 AM »
« Edited: May 09, 2019, 11:58:46 AM by Young Conservative »

Former CIA Officer and notorious anti-semite Valerie Plame running for NM-03:

https://twitter.com/jmartNYT/status/1126496160456134656?s=20
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GeorgiaModerate
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« Reply #1094 on: May 09, 2019, 11:39:01 AM »
« Edited: May 09, 2019, 01:42:37 PM by GeorgiaModerate »


If you're going to mangle people's quotes, you should at least spell check the result.
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Young Conservative
youngconservative
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« Reply #1095 on: May 09, 2019, 11:59:14 AM »


If you're going to mangle people's quotes, your should at least spell check the result.

My bad. I fixed it.
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Yang2020
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« Reply #1096 on: May 09, 2019, 01:30:19 PM »


How is she an anti-semite? Regardless, it's a Safe D seat.
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Obama-Biden Democrat
Zyzz
Junior Chimp
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« Reply #1097 on: May 09, 2019, 07:07:46 PM »


Isn't she the one who had her CIA cover leaked by Cheney and Scooter Libby?
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Yang2020
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« Reply #1098 on: May 09, 2019, 08:58:05 PM »


Isn't she the one who had her CIA cover leaked by Cheney and Scooter Libby?

Yep
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Chancellor Tanterterg
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« Reply #1099 on: May 09, 2019, 09:59:07 PM »


She tweeted an article on Rosh Hashanah called "Jews are Driving America's Wars."  The article literally called for labeling Jews whenever we appear on TV the same way as a bottle of rat poison.  Plame initially doubled-down on her agreement with the article (which came from a website featuring such thoughtful critiques of Israeli policy as "It's Time for America to Rethink David Duke") and claimed she was a victim of the Jewish Neocon smear machine or some such nonsense.  She's also falsely claimed that Israelis were dancing in the streets on 9/11.  Plame is pretty clearly a hardline anti-Semite, but fortunately, she should get steamrolled in the primary. 
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