2018 Congressional Generic Ballot and House Polls Megathread - the original (user search)
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  2018 Congressional Generic Ballot and House Polls Megathread - the original (search mode)
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Author Topic: 2018 Congressional Generic Ballot and House Polls Megathread - the original  (Read 207644 times)
Greedo punched first
ERM64man
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« on: February 20, 2018, 01:10:25 PM »
« edited: February 20, 2018, 01:12:50 PM by ERM64man »
New SurveyUSA poll for CA-49 primary.
Sample size: 510
Margin of error: ±5.4%
Doug Applegate (D): 18%
Rocky Chavez (R): 17%
Diane Harkey: 10%
Mike Levin (D): 8%
Kristin Gaspar (R): 7%
Sara Jacobs (D): 5%
Brian Maryott (R): 2%
Josh Schoonover (R): 2%
Paul Kerr (D): 1%
Jordan Mills (Peace & Freedom): 1%
Christina Prejean (D): 1%
Joshua Hancock (L): 0%
Other: 1%
Undecided: 27%
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Greedo punched first
ERM64man
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« Reply #1 on: February 25, 2018, 06:15:40 AM »
The CA Democratic Party failed to endorse a candidate for CA-49.
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ERM64man
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« Reply #2 on: March 01, 2018, 12:45:48 PM »
I'm still waiting for CA House primary polls that are not internals. Only CA-49 has one: Applegate 18%, Chavez 17%.
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ERM64man
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« Reply #3 on: March 02, 2018, 06:41:01 PM »
« Edited: March 02, 2018, 06:55:04 PM by ERM64man »
FM3 Research CA-49 primary poll (D internal); Applegate still Democratic frontrunner
Poll #1: Chavez and Harkey, 18%; possible R vs. R runoff
Poll #2: Applegate, 19%; Chavez and Harkey, 17%
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ERM64man
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« Reply #4 on: March 03, 2018, 12:06:04 AM »
CA-49 Hypothetical without Jacobs and Kerr shows a possible D vs. D race. Applegate 21%, Levin 20%.
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ERM64man
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« Reply #5 on: March 13, 2018, 06:42:20 PM »
Change Research (D-internal) for CA-48: Rohrabacher, 29; Keirstead, 13.
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ERM64man
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« Reply #6 on: March 13, 2018, 06:47:29 PM »
Quote from: LimoLiberal on March 13, 2018, 06:43:30 PM
Quote from: ERM64man on March 13, 2018, 06:42:20 PM
Change Research (D-internal) for CA-48: Rohrabacher, 29; Keirstead, 13.

Can you link?
This is the poll after candidates were described. Keirstead is the leading Democrat presumably because he's mentioned as the CDP-backed candidate in the alleged candidate description.
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ERM64man
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« Reply #7 on: March 14, 2018, 02:53:31 PM »
CA-39: Change Research; Kim 22, Huff 19
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ERM64man
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« Reply #8 on: March 15, 2018, 11:28:06 AM »
CA-39: Kim 15, Huff 12
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ERM64man
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« Reply #9 on: March 21, 2018, 04:34:53 PM »
Change Research CA-49 runoff polls (click the link in poll source box to see PDF):
Applegate +4 vs. Chavez
Jacobs +4 vs. Chavez
Kerr +4 vs. Chavez
Levin +2 vs. Chavez
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ERM64man
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« Reply #10 on: March 21, 2018, 07:27:30 PM »
Change Research CA-39: Kim 15, Huff 12
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ERM64man
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« Reply #11 on: March 21, 2018, 09:07:10 PM »
« Edited: March 21, 2018, 09:55:31 PM by ERM64man »
It was taken just days before he dropped out.

UC Berkeley; CA-25: Knight -10
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ERM64man
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« Reply #12 on: March 22, 2018, 01:37:49 PM »
And an internal poll for Porter.

"Yes or no" "horse race" polls  from UC Berkeley:
CA-07: Bera +4
CA-25: Knight -18
CA-48: Rohrabacher -10
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ERM64man
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« Reply #13 on: March 24, 2018, 04:27:15 PM »
Change Research; CA-39 runoff: Generic R 44, Generic D 43
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ERM64man
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« Reply #14 on: March 24, 2018, 05:56:45 PM »
Quote from: darthpi on March 24, 2018, 05:51:45 PM
I just read through this entire thread trying to find individual district polls.

It's amazing how predictable the responses of some people in here are.
I put up UC Berkeley polls for CA-07, CA-25, and CA-48. I also put up a Change Research poll for CA-39 (R 44%%, D 43%). Still no new polls for CA-25, CA-45, CA-10, and CA-21.
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ERM64man
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« Reply #15 on: April 12, 2018, 05:34:47 PM »
Full SurveyUSA poll:
Rocky Chavez (R): 16%
Doug Applegate (D): 12%
Mike Levin (D): 9%
Diane Harkey (R): 8%
Paul Kerr (D): 8%
Sara Jacobs (D):7%
Kristin Gaspar (R): 5%
Brian Maryott (R); 5%
Mike Schmitt (R): 3%
Joshua Hancock (L): 1%
David Medway (R): 1%
Jordan Mills (PFP): 1%
Craig Nordal (R): 1%
Josh Schoonover (R): 1%
Robert Pendleton (K9): 0%
Danielle St. John (G): 0%
Undecided: 21%
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« Reply #16 on: April 26, 2018, 07:00:26 PM »
Tulchin Research CA-39 primary: Cisneros 19, Nelson 13.
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ERM64man
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« Reply #17 on: May 12, 2018, 10:34:28 PM »
I just added another poll to Wikipedia. CA-48 Democratic internal poll for Hans Keirstead: Rohrabacher 31, Baugh 15.
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« Reply #18 on: May 15, 2018, 10:50:40 PM »
CA-10 Harder internal: Denham 42, Harder 13. Howze only at 4. R vs. R runoff is extremely unlikely.
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ERM64man
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« Reply #19 on: May 23, 2018, 12:37:49 PM »
Tulchin Research-CA-39: Cisneros 20, Kim and Huff with 14
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« Reply #20 on: May 23, 2018, 03:21:19 PM »
Do you take the Change Research polls (non-internals, Cisneros is leading Democrat) with a grain of salt?
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