🇨🇦 2024 Canadian by-elections

[King of Kensington]

Looking like the Quadra by-election in 2008.

[Benjamin Frank 2.0]

By the time they finish counting, the general election will have been called.

[2952-0-0]

Poor Felix-Antoine Hamel. He's the only candidate with precisely zero votes.

[Benjamin Frank 2.0]

Poor Felix-Antoine Hamel. He's the only candidate with precisely zero votes.

There's always next time: So the last shall be first, and the first last.

[OSR stands with Israel]

Honestly a loss for the liberals might be better than this result as a loss could have resulted in Trudeau actually being forced out of power. This result on the other hand shows that they are as unpopular as the polls say but without the dramatic effect that could result in Trudeau being forced out

[adma]

185:192:

Liberal   Leslie Church   13,008   41.4 %
Conservative   Don Stewart   12,442   39.6 %
NDP-New Democratic Party   Amrit Parhar   3,771   12.0 %
Green Party   Christian Cullis   984   3.1

187:192:

Liberal   Leslie Church   13,103   41.4 %
Conservative   Don Stewart   12,547   39.7 %
NDP-New Democratic Party   Amrit Parhar   3,790   12.0 %
Green Party   Christian Cullis   988   3.1 %

[2952-0-0]

Imagine if they had a British-style counting process. We would be waiting until well into next morning. All 84 candidates would be crowded around the podium, and some of them dressed in funny outfits. Then the returning officer would read each random independent getting 3 votes, 7 votes, etc. And depending on the final result, we would be waiting for the Portillo moment.

[Benjamin Frank 2.0]

There are 4 polls left and they just announced there's a problem and they have to start the count again! (Just Kidding)

Liberal lead is back down to 373. This will likely go to the final poll, so we won't know who won until next year.

[Benjamin Frank 2.0]

Three polls left, lead back up to 491.

[2952-0-0]

Actually, Stewart has taken the lead. Likely over.

[Philly D.]

Three polls left, lead back up to 491.

That... is a Conservative lead now, box 189 to report was certainly the Cedarvale/Forest Hill advance poll: +864 for them vis-a-vis the Liberals!

[Benjamin Frank 2.0]

Actually, Stewart has taken the lead. Likely over.

Wow, I didn't notice the lead had flipped.

[adma]

Conservative   Don Stewart   14,352   41.8 %
Liberal   Leslie Church   13,861   40.3 %
NDP-New Democratic Party   Amrit Parhar   3,876   11.3 %
Green Party   Christian Cullis   1,011   2.9 %

[adma]

Another thing: over 40% turnout (so far)--remarkable for a byelection.

[President Punxsutawney Phil]

Holy cow.

[2952-0-0]

Imagine if they had a British-style counting process. We would be waiting until well into next morning. All 84 candidates would be crowded around the podium, and some of them dressed in funny outfits. Then the returning officer would read each random independent getting 3 votes, 7 votes, etc. And depending on the final result, we would be waiting for the Portillo moment.

So here is the Portillo moment.

[adma]

And there's still a zero-vote candidate (everyone else has at least 2 votes)

[Benjamin Frank 2.0]

2 polls left. 673 Conservative vote lead.

[sudenmorsian]

Surely this means Trudeau will go now?

[Logical]

[Insert zero seats meme with Justin Trudeau's face here]

[Benjamin Frank 2.0]

Final. Conservatives win by 590 votes.

[Flyersfan232]

Honestly a loss for the liberals might be better than this result as a loss could have resulted in Trudeau actually being forced out of power. This result on the other hand shows that they are as unpopular as the polls say but without the dramatic effect that could result in Trudeau being forced out

problem is their options are worst then Trudeau their best option is not a mp

[○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└]

[Insert zero seats meme with Justin Trudeau's face here]

Hey, the Progressive Conservatives managed to keep 2 seats in 1993.

[adma]

Conservative   Don Stewart   15,555   42.1 %
Liberal   Leslie Church   14,965   40.5 %
NDP-New Democratic Party   Amrit Parhar   4,044   10.9 %
Green Party   Christian Cullis   1,059   2.9 %

43.52% turnout.

Top of the indys: Jonathan Schachter (97 votes--surely the surname)

Felix-Antoine Hamel got zero votes.

And in the end, this feels more like a '95 dawn-of-CSR big-tent circumstance.

[adma]

And hey, just in case anyone's interested in the rest of the crowd...

People's Party - PPC   Dennis Wilson   234   0.6 %
Independent   Jonathan Schachter   97   0.3 %
Independent   Mário Stocco   82   0.2 %
Marxist-Leninist   Meñico Turcotte   57   0.2 %
Parti Rhinocéros Party   Sean Carson   51   0.1 %
Independent   Thibaud Mony   49   0.1 %
No Affiliation   Stephen Davis   45   0.1 %
Independent   Glen MacDonald   42   0.1 %
Independent   Mélodie Anderson   40   0.1 %
Independent   Demetrios Karavas   38   0.1 %
Independent   Jordan Wong   31   0.1 %
Marijuana Party   Danny Légaré   29   0.1 %
Independent   Alex Banks   28   0.1 %
Centrist   Ali Mohiuddin   27   0.1 %
Independent   Jaël Champagne Gareau   23   0.1 %
Independent   John Dale   18   0.0 %
Independent   Joshua Bram Hieu Pham   18   0.0 %
Independent   Michael Bednarski   17   0.0 %
Independent   Pierre Larochelle   17   0.0 %
Independent   Marie-Hélène LeBel   17   0.0 %
Independent   Guillaume Paradis   17   0.0 %
Independent   Charles Currie   13   0.0 %
Independent   Daniel Andrew Graham   13   0.0 %
Independent   Julie St-Amand   13   0.0 %
Independent   Loren Hicks   12   0.0 %
Independent   Pierre Granger   11   0.0 %
Independent   Blake Hamilton   11   0.0 %
Independent   Matéo Martin   11   0.0 %
Independent   Erle Stanley Bowman   10   0.0 %
Independent   Cory Deville   10   0.0 %
Independent   Alexandra Engering   10   0.0 %
Independent   Daniel Stuckless   10   0.0 %
Independent   Line Bélanger   9   0.0 %
Independent   Mark Dejewski   9   0.0 %
Independent   Anthony Hamel   9   0.0 %
Independent   Agnieszka Marszalek   9   0.0 %
Independent   Pascal St-Amand   9   0.0 %
Independent   MarthaLee Aykroyd   8   0.0 %
Independent   Sébastien CoRhino   8   0.0 %
Independent   Daniel Gagnon   8   0.0 %
Independent   Olivier Renaud   8   0.0 %
Independent   Patrick Strzalkowski   8   0.0 %
Independent   Donald Gagnon   7   0.0 %
Independent   Kevin Krisa   7   0.0 %
Independent   Benjamin Teichman   7   0.0 %
Independent   Myriam Beaulieu   6   0.0 %
Independent   Kubera Desai   6   0.0 %
Independent   Donovan Eckstrom   6   0.0 %
Independent   Lorant Polya   6   0.0 %
Independent   Roger Sherwood   6   0.0 %
Independent   Elliot Wand   6   0.0 %
Independent   Michal Wieczorek   6   0.0 %
Independent   Maxime Boivin   5   0.0 %
Independent   Martin Acetaria Caesar Jubinville   5   0.0 %
Independent   Léthycia-Félix Corriveau   4   0.0 %
Independent   Ysack Dupont   4   0.0 %
Independent   Dji-Pé Frazer   4   0.0 %
Independent   Zornitsa Halacheva   4   0.0 %
Independent   Krzysztof Krzywinski   4   0.0 %
Independent   Alain Lamontagne   4   0.0 %
Independent   Renée Lemieux   4   0.0 %
Independent   Danimal Preston   4   0.0 %
Independent   Spencer Rocchi   4   0.0 %
Independent   Yogo Shimada   4   0.0 %
Independent   Darcy Vanderwater   4   0.0 %
Independent   Mylène Bonneau   3   0.0 %
Independent   Jean-Denis Parent Boudreault   3   0.0 %
Independent   Alain Bourgault   3   0.0 %
Independent   Guillaume Gagnier-Michel   3   0.0 %
Independent   Kerri Hildebrandt   3   0.0 %
Independent   Connie Lukawski   3   0.0 %
Independent   Wallace Richard Rowat   3   0.0 %
Independent   Gavin Vanderwater   3   0.0 %
No Affiliation   Manon Marie Lili Desbiens   2   0.0 %
Independent   Gerrit Dogger   2   0.0 %
Independent   Samuel Ducharme   2   0.0 %
Independent   Yusuf Kadir Nasihi   2   0.0 %
Independent   Winston Neutel   2   0.0 %
Independent   Jacques Saintonge   2   0.0 %
Independent   Felix-Antoine Hamel   0   0.0 %