The Megathread for All Things Hoosier!
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June 28, 2024, 05:17:52 AM
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Chancellor Tanterterg
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« Reply #450 on: June 18, 2024, 07:44:46 AM »



Honestly, this just seems like sore-loser dooming by the IN GOP establishment.  Beckwith is a lunatic, a grifter, or both.  However, this race is basically a lock for Braun barring some freak unforeseeable event even if there was a swap out for Donnelly (spoiler alert: there won’t be).  

And even then, it might not matter.  The so-called “minor and inconsequential issues” Morales was attacked for were misrepresenting the nature of his military service and - in a September surprise - sexually assaulting multiple women (as in grabbing and forcibly kissing them after they rejected his advances, as well as pinning one of them against the wall and repeatedly rubbing his junk against her when she wouldn’t stop struggling to get away).  Morales won the IN SoS race by solid double-digits, beating expectations.  

Outside of huge freak circumstances, I’d argue Indiana has been gone for Democrats in statewide elections since 2016 at the latest.  2012 was really the last hurrah where at least the Governor’s race was genuinely competitive (people forget how weak and unpopular a statewide candidate Pence was prior to being picked as Trump’s VP).
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« Reply #451 on: June 18, 2024, 09:45:10 AM »



Honestly, this just seems like sore-loser dooming by the IN GOP establishment.  Beckwith is a lunatic, a grifter, or both.  However, this race is basically a lock for Braun barring some freak unforeseeable event even if there was a swap out for Donnelly (spoiler alert: there won’t be).  

And even then, it might not matter.  The so-called “minor and inconsequential issues” Morales was attacked for were misrepresenting the nature of his military service and - in a September surprise - sexually assaulting multiple women (as in grabbing and forcibly kissing them after they rejected his advances, as well as pinning one of them against the wall and repeatedly rubbing his junk against her when she wouldn’t stop struggling to get away).  Morales won the IN SoS race by solid double-digits, beating expectations.  

Outside of huge freak circumstances, I’d argue Indiana has been gone for Democrats in statewide elections since 2016 at the latest.  2012 was really the last hurrah where at least the Governor’s race was genuinely competitive (people forget how weak and unpopular a statewide candidate Pence was prior to being picked as Trump’s VP).

If anything, Braun might underperform Trump and win by 10-15%(Like Stitt did in OK) while Trump wins somewhere between 20-30% percent but at the end of the day, they'll both win after 7PM when the first polling places close.
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Duke of York
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« Reply #452 on: June 18, 2024, 10:29:33 AM »



Braun is going win but will probably underperform. I simply don't see a scenario where McCormick wins.
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« Reply #453 on: June 18, 2024, 11:45:47 AM »



Braun is going win but will probably underperform. I simply don't see a scenario where McCormick wins.

I don't even know why democrats would even vote for her. She's only been a dem since 2021.
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