Prime Group/CSOR-D: Biden leads WI, PI, MI, tie in NV, Trump leads GA, NC, FL, AZ

[MR DARK BRANDON]

I take these with a grain of salt. The Nevada result is interesting because we now have Nevada tied in two polls today. The Georgia poll is only one point different compared to Morning Consult. The Rust belt polls are a bit rosy for Biden but I could definitely see MI as Biden +1 and PA and WI tied

True but Yeah I could very well see 276-262 as the final outcome

[MR DARK BRANDON]

275/219

Unfortunately it is still very much not game over, but some encouraging news today nonetheless.

[MR DARK BRANDON]

Are these gonna be added into the database?

[MR DARK BRANDON]

I mean if you take these polls at face value and assume the other states don't flip (except NE 2) then Biden wins unless I'm missing something. So umm, that's good. lol

Also including RFK et al. doesn't flip any of these states.

At the very least it does appear that Biden's easiest path is through the rust belt trio plus NE-2, and maybe Nevada. As far as I'm concerned, a tie in Nevada is winnable for Biden, given the state's pecularities.

Arizona and Georgia are gravy, though would certainly still be nice to keep.

I do think AZ will vote slightly left of nv but they are the states I am least confident about collectively

[MR DARK BRANDON]

I mean if you take these polls at face value and assume the other states don't flip (except NE 2) then Biden wins unless I'm missing something. So umm, that's good. lol

Also including RFK et al. doesn't flip any of these states.

At the very least it does appear that Biden's easiest path is through the rust belt trio plus NE-2, and maybe Nevada. As far as I'm concerned, a tie in Nevada is winnable for Biden, given the state's pecularities.

Arizona and Georgia are gravy, though would certainly still be nice to keep.

I do think AZ will vote slightly left of nv but they are the states I am least confident about collectively

Lol there are polling biases in NV you should know that already

I do not deny that.