2040 electoral map

[RINO Tom]

I used FiveThirtyEight's demographic calculator to determine what would happen if all blacks, Hispanics, Asians, and college educated whites voted Democratic while all non-college educated whites voted Republican. This is the result.

Seems completely accurate, to be honest.

All those groups are in the party that they, ya know, actually voted for last election except for one: college educated Whites.  They literally stayed loyal to Republicans in the most likely matchup for them to possibly flip, and now they're considered a part of the future Democratic base, LOL.  Give it up, Atlas.

[RINO Tom]

I used FiveThirtyEight's demographic calculator to determine what would happen if all blacks, Hispanics, Asians, and college educated whites voted Democratic while all non-college educated whites voted Republican. This is the result.

Seems completely accurate, to be honest.

All those groups are in the party that they, ya know, actually voted for last election except for one: college educated Whites.  They literally stayed loyal to Republicans in the most likely matchup for them to possibly flip, and now they're considered a part of the future Democratic base, LOL.  Give it up, Atlas.

I found Non-Swing Voter's incessant harping on this to be annoying as well, but I don't know why it offends you so much. You should check out NYT Upshot's voter analysis based on Census Bureau data and additional polling. Exit polls seem to underestimate Democratic support from college-educated whites:

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Those swings are hard to ignore.

Because for my entire life (and for their party's entire history), Democrats have incessantly harped on their moral superiority - Republicans were the party of the rich, Republicans were the party of racism, Republicans were the party of killing the environment, Republicans were the party that would send your kid to die in a war for their own gain, etc .... I usually roll my eyes at this, but the development I see now - among a very small group of liberals, to be sure - is a ploy to simply gain *all* superiority over their opposition.  They're not just going to be these FFs who protect the modern world from the evils of conservatism, they're simply better (wealthier, smarter, more educated, more worldly, etc.), and bragging about the latter is directly contradictory to the former.  The hypocrisy of being smug about both - and I have no faith that these liberals I've mentioned would be fine with dropping either talking point - is infuriatingly stupid.

[RINO Tom]

I used FiveThirtyEight's demographic calculator to determine what would happen if all blacks, Hispanics, Asians, and college educated whites voted Democratic while all non-college educated whites voted Republican. This is the result.

Seems completely accurate, to be honest.

All those groups are in the party that they, ya know, actually voted for last election except for one: college educated Whites.  They literally stayed loyal to Republicans in the most likely matchup for them to possibly flip, and now they're considered a part of the future Democratic base, LOL.  Give it up, Atlas.

I found Non-Swing Voter's incessant harping on this to be annoying as well, but I don't know why it offends you so much. You should check out NYT Upshot's voter analysis based on Census Bureau data and additional polling. Exit polls seem to underestimate Democratic support from college-educated whites:

You must be logged in to read this quote.

Those swings are hard to ignore.

Because for my entire life (and for their party's entire history), Democrats have incessantly harped on their moral superiority - Republicans were the party of the rich, Republicans were the party of racism, Republicans were the party of killing the environment, Republicans were the party that would send your kid to die in a war for their own gain, etc .... I usually roll my eyes at this, but the development I see now - among a very small group of liberals, to be sure - is a ploy to simply gain *all* superiority over their opposition.  They're not just going to be these FFs who protect the modern world from the evils of conservatism, they're simply better (wealthier, smarter, more educated, more worldly, etc.), and bragging about the latter is directly contradictory to the former.  The hypocrisy of being smug about both - and I have no faith that these liberals I've mentioned would be fine with dropping either talking point - is infuriatingly stupid.

At least we haven't claimed to be more fu ckable than the opposition.

Ya know, friend, I made a very distinct effort to not lump all liberals together.  I was very clear that it's a minority of liberals who are acting in this deplorable manner, and I didn't project it onto every Democrat, so kindly extend me the same favor.  I have never claimed conservatives were more "fu ckable" than liberals.

[RINO Tom]

Fun fact: if you took 1984's trend map and partisanship (ie 44 years ago) and extrapolated it to today, this is what the election would look like roughly:

In some aspects it's not too bad but in others it's terrible lol

And if we extrapolate 2016 trends to 2040, we probably won't be any more accurate than this, LOL.