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  Talk Elections
  Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
  Presidential Election Trends (Moderator: Virginiá)
  2040 electoral map
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Author Topic: 2040 electoral map  (Read 45149 times)
liberalkid
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« on: July 13, 2009, 11:47:23 am »

Hello. i am working on a book with several people, and consitering who would win in 2040. with democraphics changing the electoral landskape, could anyone simulate a 2040 electoral map? thanks
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Antonio V
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« Reply #1 on: July 13, 2009, 12:14:57 pm »

I did this map sometimes ago, representing the Electoral College structure in the 2030-2040 years. The shades doesn't indicate percentages, but the closeness of the state ( light=leaning, average=solid, dark=safe ). This map is in a situation of toss-up election, so you should correct it if you plan to make it a democratic or republican victory.

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liberalkid
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« Reply #2 on: July 13, 2009, 12:18:53 pm »

i was going to make it a runaway democratic landslide, with the 3rd party getting more votes than the republicans, but this tempers me. i'm also trying to find the number of electoral votes per state, as democraphics will change it immensly,
thanks, and i'll utilize this
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Calvin and Hobbes
catmusic
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« Reply #3 on: July 13, 2009, 12:20:53 pm »

2040? You cannot tell what is going to happen in 30 years. Who knows what might happen? There may not be Dems and Reps. Idaho could turn safe democrat, for all we know. 30 years ago, the west was Republican, The east was not reliably Democratic (except for Mass.)  
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tmthforu94
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« Reply #4 on: July 13, 2009, 12:21:23 pm »

Excellent thread, as I will be a candidate in 2040...
My thoughts of a map, under a close scenario...
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JewishConservative
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« Reply #5 on: July 13, 2009, 12:26:44 pm »

By 2040 I hope to be a Governor!


Anyways here's my map :


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liberalkid
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« Reply #6 on: July 13, 2009, 12:31:59 pm »

concivably, i could run for the first time in 2032- i hope my math is right, but still, experience counts
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NE Assembyman electoraljew2
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« Reply #7 on: July 13, 2009, 12:35:00 pm »

By 2040 I expect to be the senator of New York
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Antonio V
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« Reply #8 on: July 13, 2009, 12:39:57 pm »

i was going to make it a runaway democratic landslide, with the 3rd party getting more votes than the republicans, but this tempers me. i'm also trying to find the number of electoral votes per state, as democraphics will change it immensly,
thanks, and i'll utilize this

I can't really help you on this domain. Though I have a certain idea of the last 50 years demographic trends, it's hard to say precisely what they will be in 2040. I see VA, NC, SC, GA, TX, AZ, CO, UT, NV, WA and OR gaigning at least one more seat, and NY, PA, OH, MI, IL and CA losing at least one.
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Holmes
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« Reply #9 on: July 13, 2009, 12:43:10 pm »

Well this might not be maps for 2040... more like in a few election seasons. I think it depends on the popular vote.

Lean dem



Lean rep



Perhaps.
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JewishConservative
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« Reply #10 on: July 13, 2009, 02:50:45 pm »

By 2040 I expect to be the senator of New York

Hope to see you in politics! I want to be Governor of the best state (New York)
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Antonio V
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« Reply #11 on: July 13, 2009, 02:57:15 pm »

By 2040 I expect to be the senator of New York

Hope to see you in politics! I want to be Governor of the best state (New York)

LOL

A ridiculous ultraconservative like you has no chance outside UT, WY, ID, OK and AL.
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JewishConservative
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« Reply #12 on: July 13, 2009, 02:59:18 pm »

By 2040 I expect to be the senator of New York

Hope to see you in politics! I want to be Governor of the best state (New York)

LOL

A ridiculous ultraconservative like you has no chance outside UT, WY, ID, OK and AL.

No. I know how to hide my social conservatism.

I LIKE UNIONS
CRIME IS BAD
CORRUPTION IS BAD
DRUGS ARE BADZ
I LOVE NYC!
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Antonio V
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« Reply #13 on: July 13, 2009, 03:02:41 pm »
« Edited: July 13, 2009, 03:04:25 pm by Antonio V »


In English, you have a word for that. Let me see... "lie" ? "trick" ?
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JSojourner
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« Reply #14 on: July 13, 2009, 03:51:31 pm »

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JewishConservative
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« Reply #15 on: July 13, 2009, 04:32:21 pm »


In English, you have a word for that. Let me see... "lie" ? "trick" ?

Um.. I am a supporter of unions you twit. Also I'm a Giuliani on crime and am a law and order conservative

I love NYC, as I was living there for my whole life (until now)

and i'm strongly anti-corruption

so no i'm not lying. I
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Antonio V
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« Reply #16 on: July 13, 2009, 05:25:08 pm »

Ok, ok...
So, just hope that when you will introduce a law to ban again abortion, New Yorkers will not notice that.
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JewishConservative
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« Reply #17 on: July 13, 2009, 05:34:56 pm »

Ok, ok...
So, just hope that when you will introduce a law to ban again abortion, New Yorkers will not notice that.

Who said I'm going to last more then one term?
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Calvin and Hobbes
catmusic
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« Reply #18 on: July 13, 2009, 05:39:53 pm »

Oh what the heck. Here is a map:



I still have no idea what will happen, this was just a map a made for the fun of making a map.
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Antonio V
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« Reply #19 on: July 13, 2009, 05:41:17 pm »

Ok, ok...
So, just hope that when you will introduce a law to ban again abortion, New Yorkers will not notice that.

Who said I'm going to last more then one term?

You're right : having you as Senator for six years, that's enough !
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Antonio V
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« Reply #20 on: July 13, 2009, 05:43:48 pm »

Oh what the heck. Here is a map:



I still have no idea what will happen, this was just a map a made for the fun of making a map.

It would be nice if you tried to do a serious and intelligent map one time...
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JewishConservative
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« Reply #21 on: July 13, 2009, 05:45:24 pm »

Ok, ok...
So, just hope that when you will introduce a law to ban again abortion, New Yorkers will not notice that.

Who said I'm going to last more then one term?

You're right : having you as Senator for six years, that's enough !

I'm mean as Governor. I'm not gonna run for senator.

I'm hoping for this to happen :


5-6 terms in U.S House
1-2 terms as Governor
Then become a talk show host
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Calvin and Hobbes
catmusic
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« Reply #22 on: July 13, 2009, 06:18:08 pm »

Oh what the heck. Here is a map:



I still have no idea what will happen, this was just a map a made for the fun of making a map.

It would be nice if you tried to do a serious and intelligent map one time...

I think I'm right about WV and AZ.
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Hashemite
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« Reply #23 on: July 13, 2009, 06:19:56 pm »

Wow, I never thought a thread could be so fail. I was proven wrong due to the eternal brains of Catmusic and JewishConservative.
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Antonio V
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« Reply #24 on: July 13, 2009, 06:21:01 pm »

Oh what the heck. Here is a map:



I still have no idea what will happen, this was just a map a made for the fun of making a map.

It would be nice if you tried to do a serious and intelligent map one time...

I think I'm right about WV and AZ.

WV has been trending republican for two decades, and is now almost unwinnable for dems.
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