Why did Cajun country reject Obama so strongly?
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  Why did Cajun country reject Obama so strongly?
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Author Topic: Why did Cajun country reject Obama so strongly?  (Read 7370 times)
DariusNJ
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« on: July 10, 2009, 08:38:31 PM »

I was looking over county results from Lousiana, and Obama did a LOT worse in many counties in Cajun country.

Can anyone explain why they rejected him so resoundingly?
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Smash255
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« Reply #1 on: July 10, 2009, 09:39:48 PM »

He's black
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War on Want
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« Reply #2 on: July 10, 2009, 10:06:43 PM »

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Zarn
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« Reply #3 on: July 11, 2009, 02:20:44 AM »

They don't agree with his policies...
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The Night Owlditor
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« Reply #4 on: July 11, 2009, 03:26:08 AM »

Why did the Cajuns reject Obama? Hm. Oh, I know!

1) He's black.
2) He's a liberal.
3) He's a Democrat.
4) He's from Chicago.
5) He's an intellectual.
6) He supports the killing of babies.
7) He wants to destroy the sanctity of marriage.
Cool He wants to take away our guns.
9) He's a Muslim.
10) He's not a Christian.

..clearly you get where I'm going with this.. or maybe he just doesn't like craw fish. Cheesy
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phk
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« Reply #5 on: July 11, 2009, 03:53:42 AM »

Cajuns are the primary reason why LA is colored blue in the trend/swing maps.
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minionofmidas
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« Reply #6 on: July 11, 2009, 04:07:49 AM »

6) He supports the killing of babies.
he just doesn't like craw fish. Cheesy
While Cajuns just don't like babies, and support the killing of crawfishes.
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DariusNJ
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« Reply #7 on: July 11, 2009, 10:59:44 AM »

Lol. Allright, I get the picture guys. Tongue

I was just wondering because they rejected him much more strongly than other whites in the Deep South, which surprised me.
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« Reply #8 on: July 11, 2009, 11:20:06 AM »

The other whites in the Deep South were already voting Republican, so they had no room to swing.
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phk
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« Reply #9 on: July 11, 2009, 11:49:44 AM »
« Edited: July 11, 2009, 11:53:17 AM by phknrocket1k »

Lol. Allright, I get the picture guys. Tongue

I was just wondering because they rejected him much more strongly than other whites in the Deep South, which surprised me.

They were residually still sort of Democratic in 2004, but less so than 2000.

Similar to residual pro-Dem Appalachian Whites who became less loyal in 2000, less loyal again in 2004 and even less loyal to the Dems in 2008.

The highpoint of Cajun's and Dem's in Presidential Elections was 1996 with pushing LA over 50% for Bill Clinton.

 They had room to swing.
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Rob
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« Reply #10 on: July 11, 2009, 12:33:06 PM »

Why did the Cajuns reject Obama? Hm. Oh, I know!

1) He's black.
2) He's a liberal.
3) He's a Democrat.
4) He's from Chicago.
5) He's an intellectual.
6) He supports the killing of babies.
7) He wants to destroy the sanctity of marriage.
Cool He wants to take away our guns.
9) He's a Muslim.
10) He's not a Christian.

..clearly you get where I'm going with this.. or maybe he just doesn't like craw fish. Cheesy

Don't forget he wants to ban fossil fuels.
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DariusNJ
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« Reply #11 on: July 11, 2009, 12:55:49 PM »

Lol. Allright, I get the picture guys. Tongue

I was just wondering because they rejected him much more strongly than other whites in the Deep South, which surprised me.

They were residually still sort of Democratic in 2004, but less so than 2000.

Similar to residual pro-Dem Appalachian Whites who became less loyal in 2000, less loyal again in 2004 and even less loyal to the Dems in 2008.

The highpoint of Cajun's and Dem's in Presidential Elections was 1996 with pushing LA over 50% for Bill Clinton.

 They had room to swing.

Oh, okay. Makes sense. Smiley
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TeePee4Prez
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« Reply #12 on: July 11, 2009, 09:32:17 PM »

Lol. Allright, I get the picture guys. Tongue

I was just wondering because they rejected him much more strongly than other whites in the Deep South, which surprised me.

They were residually still sort of Democratic in 2004, but less so than 2000.

Similar to residual pro-Dem Appalachian Whites who became less loyal in 2000, less loyal again in 2004 and even less loyal to the Dems in 2008.

The highpoint of Cajun's and Dem's in Presidential Elections was 1996 with pushing LA over 50% for Bill Clinton.

 They had room to swing.

I think a white Catholic from the South would swing the area strongly back to the Dems in the future (Tim Kaine).
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« Reply #13 on: July 12, 2009, 12:42:14 AM »

I think a white Catholic from the South would swing the area strongly back to the Dems in the future (Tim Kaine).

Any Southerner who isn't painted as a liberal can swing them back.  He doesn't need to be Catholic.

How did Landrieu do, btw?
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DariusNJ
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« Reply #14 on: July 12, 2009, 11:24:29 AM »

https://uselectionatlas.org/RESULTS/index.html

The region overall looks like it split 50-50 between Landrieu and Kennedy.

The region overall voted about 65-70 % for McCain.
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« Reply #15 on: July 12, 2009, 12:19:06 PM »

https://uselectionatlas.org/RESULTS/index.html

The region overall looks like it split 50-50 between Landrieu and Kennedy.

The region overall voted about 65-70 % for McCain.

50-50? Looks a tad more favourable to Landrieu than 50-50, depending on the definition of Cajun country. Isn't Landrieu part Cajun or something, with a name like that?
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phk
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« Reply #16 on: July 12, 2009, 12:31:20 PM »

https://uselectionatlas.org/RESULTS/index.html

The region overall looks like it split 50-50 between Landrieu and Kennedy.

The region overall voted about 65-70 % for McCain.

50-50? Looks a tad more favourable to Landrieu than 50-50, depending on the definition of Cajun country. Isn't Landrieu part Cajun or something, with a name like that?

Yes. Shes part or full Cajun herself.
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RI
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« Reply #17 on: July 12, 2009, 02:23:10 PM »

Could a Dem ever win them like this or this again? I would think you'd need a "real" Catholic nominee, and from looking at 1960, they might not need to be from the South.
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bgwah
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« Reply #18 on: July 12, 2009, 02:39:44 PM »

Could a Dem ever win them like this or this again? I would think you'd need a "real" Catholic nominee, and from looking at 1960, they might not need to be from the South.

I don't think the Catholic-Protestant divide is a big deal anymore like it was in 1928 or 1960.
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hcallega
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« Reply #19 on: July 12, 2009, 03:17:47 PM »

https://uselectionatlas.org/RESULTS/index.html

The region overall looks like it split 50-50 between Landrieu and Kennedy.

The region overall voted about 65-70 % for McCain.

50-50? Looks a tad more favourable to Landrieu than 50-50, depending on the definition of Cajun country. Isn't Landrieu part Cajun or something, with a name like that?

Yes. Shes part or full Cajun herself.


No's shes not Cajun. I'm half Cajun, which means that your ancestors are French-Canadien and generally that you are from rural stock. However Landrieu is creole, not Cajun as her ancestors are urban and I believe from France directly. Either way she is not from Cajun Country so she dosen't have the same appeal.

Landrieu won all but seven of the counties in what is considered Cajun Country, and those were mostly in the central part of cajun country, primarily because of the issue of oil and abortion. Interestingly Lafayette voted for Dick Nixon in 1960 over Kennedy. Landrieu did her best in the areas with large numbers of blacks.

To contrast this, Obama only won three counties that were very heavily black and closer to Baton Rouge and New Orleans (though the New Orleans suburbs are the most "republican" area in the state). Kerry carried four counties, though he didn't get walloped as badly as Obama did.

Here is my theory: In urban America and in the D.C. suburbs we see a very strong Democratic Party.  This is because the voters see the Democrats as defending them, their jobs, and their way of life. Again, jobs here is the key. In the D.C. suburbs many are reliant on government jobs, and see Republicans as a natural threat. The same is the case in Southern Louisiana on a national scale. They not only see Obama as an outsider who has very different values, but also as a threat to their jobs. When the average income is under 20,000 a year, you make sure you keep it. An interesting side note is that in 1988 Dukakis carried Acadiana without carrying the state.
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #20 on: July 13, 2009, 09:02:07 PM »

I think a white Catholic from the South would swing the area strongly back to the Dems in the future (Tim Kaine).

Any Southerner who isn't painted as a liberal can swing them back.  He doesn't need to be Catholic.

How did Landrieu do, btw?

Do Cajuns really have much in common with Appalachian whites? White people in northern Louisiana? Of course. That region has long had cultural affinities with northeastern Texas.
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hcallega
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« Reply #21 on: July 15, 2009, 10:01:00 AM »

I think a white Catholic from the South would swing the area strongly back to the Dems in the future (Tim Kaine).

Any Southerner who isn't painted as a liberal can swing them back.  He doesn't need to be Catholic.

How did Landrieu do, btw?

Do Cajuns really have much in common with Appalachian whites? White people in northern Louisiana? Of course. That region has long had cultural affinities with northeastern Texas.

Cajuns are really much more common with the immigrant cultures of the northeast and midwest. They have the same religion, similar views on family and lifestyles, and just have more in common with them than, say Arkansas whites. Voting wise they are very similar to Appalachian whites however. I believe they would vote for a Mark Warner or a Tim Kaine however, maybe just not enough to swing the state.
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Freezer69
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« Reply #22 on: July 15, 2009, 02:46:06 PM »

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Mr.Bakari-Sellers
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« Reply #23 on: July 15, 2009, 04:10:47 PM »
« Edited: July 15, 2009, 04:15:13 PM by WEB Dubois »

In 1994 Gingrich Revolution and Bob Livingston, Louisiana was trending republican then. Only the popularity of John Breaux and Byrd, did Clinton manage to win Louisiana and West Virginia cresent  But when Susan Heik Terrell almost beat Mary Landrieu in 2002, the GOP trend was almost complete.
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« Reply #24 on: July 16, 2009, 04:51:54 PM »

Why did the Cajuns reject Obama? Hm. Oh, I know!

1) He's black.
2) He's a liberal.
3) He's a Democrat.
4) He's from Chicago.
5) He's an intellectual.
6) He supports the killing of babies.
7) He wants to destroy the sanctity of marriage.
Cool He wants to take away our guns.
9) He's a Muslim.
10) He's not a Christian.

..clearly you get where I'm going with this.. or maybe he just doesn't like craw fish. Cheesy

You forgot to mention he was surely born in Kenya and is plotting with Zimbabwe to take over American Wink

Seriously, Why I am not suprised these people can believe this all sh*t?
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