Some numbers fun:
Distribution of the 150 direct seats:
AP 64, SV 6, SP 9, V 2, KrF 5, H 27, FRP 37
Note the overrepresentation of rural areas and the resulting highered SP take.
Distribution of seats if 169 seats were nationally distributed without a threshold:
R 2, AP 61, SV 11, SP 11, KrF 9, V 7, H 29, FRP 39
No majority for either camp!
Note that I didn't see a detailed breakdown of minors. If one party among them took about a third or more of the "other" vote, it wins one seat. And I forgot to jot down at whose expense. Alternatively, imagine a threshold of 1%.
With a four percent threshold:
AP 64, SV 11, SP 11, KrF 10, H 31, FRP 42
86-83, just as really happened.
Obviously, V gets to keep its two seats, so this really was recalculated for 167 seats:
AP 63, SV 11, SP 11, KrF 10, H 31, FRP 41
Except that AP gets to keep its 64th seat anyways too:
SV 11, SP 11, KrF 10, H 30, FRP 41
For net equalization mandates of:
SV 5, SP 2, KrF 5, H 3, FRP 4
I don't speak enough Norwegian to fully grasp their description of how these are distributed to the provinces. Provincial party lists are ordered somehow, and then granted seats from highest preference downwards except that every province gets only one seat and thus a list among the top 19 but below another party's list from that province is ignored etc. This much is pretty obvious, but ordered by what, exactly?
Anyways, parties that would win the next seat in each province if that province just had one seat more and the second distribution didn't exist (as before the election system was last tampered with):
R 1, AP 2, SV 1, SP 3, V 1, KrF 1, H 7, FRP 3
National tally in that case:
R 1, AP 66, SV 7, SP 12, V 3, KrF 6, H 34, FRP 40
Smallest possible majority. Note that AP is overrepresented because such a system would benefit large parties, and SP and to a lesser extent H because of their rural base. Also note that both R and V were actually
hurt by the equalization mandates.
And a final one. Seat distribution with the same system as right now except without the threshold (or with a 1% threshold.) AP gets to keep its surplus mandates now...
R 2, AP 64, SV 10, SP 10, KrF 9, V 7, H 29, FRP 38
For equalizing mandates of:
R 2, SV 4, SP 1, KrF 4, V 5, H 2, FRP 1
