Quebec by-elections, 2008-2009

[MaxQue]

52/188

PLQ 57
PQ 30
ADQ 5
PVQ 4
QS 3
PI 0.44

[Hash]

Gonna go do other things. Hopefully the Greenies beat the ADQ for 3rd.

[MaxQue]

Yves Bolduc, the new MNA, was the director of my hospital when he was named to the government.

[MaxQue]

Final results

PLQ 12039 58,49 %
P.Q 6278 30,50 %   
ADQ 955 4,64 %   
PVQ 707 3,43 %   
QS 505 2,45 %   
PI 99 0,48 %   
 

[Хahar 🤔]

LOL PI.

[Hash]

LOL PI.

What's so funny? They were never destined to be a major party.

[Хahar 🤔]

LOL PI.

What's so funny? They were never destined to be a major party.

Eh, I guess so.

[Hash]

Notre-Dame-de-Grâce, likely 2009
Resignation of Russell Copeman



Liberal 61.43%
Greens 15.73%
PQ 10.58%
ADQ 7.20%
QS 4.76%
Marxist-Leninist 0.30%

Best Green seat out there. Allen Nutik, the leader of the new Affiliation Quebec thingee (a federalist party that somehow reminds me of the Equality Party) will run. The Equality Party held this seat once, BTW.

[Хahar 🤔]

The Greens tend to do better in by-elections, no?

[Hash]

The Greens tend to do better in by-elections, no?

In Quebec, not really spectacularly better. Sometimes doing worse than their election results.

[Hatman 🍁]

I think my best friend lives in that riding. He says it's Montreal's version of the Glebe, which is a good analogy I suppose, having been there many times.

[Hash]

I think my best friend lives in that riding. He says it's Montreal's version of the Glebe, which is a good analogy I suppose, having been there many times.

It is a good analogy. NDG does remind me of the Glebe, when I think about it.

[Bono]

Ok, you don't like the ODS because they're evil euroskeptics, what's your excuse for disliking the ADQ?

[Hash]

Ok, you don't like the ODS because they're evil euroskeptics, what's your excuse for disliking the ADQ?

If you followed Quebec politics, you'd understand.

[Hash]

A bit of background since the Liberal majority in December 2008. In February 2009, the CDPQ, which manages public pensions in Quebec announced $39.8 billion loses (25%). It then became known that Charest knew about these loses as early as September 2008, and called a snap election to have a solid governmental majority when the sh**t was going to hit the fan. People have been pissed at Charest, and his nomination of Michael Sabia as the CDPQ director didn't help. Of course, Charest doesn't give a sh**t about all this since this is his last term in office and most Liberal MNAs probably won't seek re-election. There have also been a bunch of crazy rumours that Charest is going to run for leadership of the federal Conservative Party, that he's about to be given some ambassadorship somewhere, and a lot more. The government's approval is now 37%, with 58% disapproving. The PQ is at 40% in the most recent poll, against 33% for the Lieberals, 10% for the ADQ (freefalling since December), QS 8%, Greenies 7%. Marois will probably be the next Prime Minister, barring something important that shifts the tide in favour of the Liberals.

Conveniently, Monique Jérôme Forget, the Minister of Finances, has fled to Spain. 

Marguerite-Bourgeoys, 2009
Resignation of Monique Jérôme Forget, Minister of Finances



Liberal 66.19%
PQ 21.70%
ADQ 8.67%
QS 3.44%

1995: 72.56% NON
28.68% Anglo

Rivière-du-Loup, 2009
Resignation of Super Mario



ADQ 51.77%
Liberal 26.99%
PQ 14.20%
Angry Nat 2.78%
Greenies 2.39%
QS 1.86%

1995: 54.59% OUI
99.3% French

Interesting tidbit: The PLQ vote in Rivière-du-Loup declined between 2007 and 2008.

[MaxQue]

By-elections on June 22.

[MaxQue]

Bump. By-elections tomorrow.

[Hatman 🍁]

RdL should be interesting. It's been a while since Dumont wasnt on the ballot.

[Hash]

29/196 in Marguerite-Bourgeoys

Liberal 77.55
PQ 14.44
ADQ 3.07
Green 2.37
QS 1.19

5/164 in Riviere-du-Loup

Liberal 44.22
PQ 41.25
ADQ 13.20

[Kevinstat]

Liberals up 9.30% (PQ in second) in RIVIÈRE-DU-LOUP with 68/164 precints in.

[Kevinstat]

Has the Charest Government had a sudden increase in popularity?  I know they had a "star candidate" in the safe seat of MARGUERITE-BOURGEOYS where they (capitalized because of cut and paste) but I just read their candidate in RIVIÈRE-DU-LOUP had had some difficulty.

[Hash]

Has the Charest Government had a sudden increase in popularity?  I know they had a "star candidate" in the safe seat of MARGUERITE-BOURGEOYS where they (capitalized because of cut and paste) but I just read their candidate in RIVIÈRE-DU-LOUP had had some difficulty.

According to polls, yes. People have probably forgotten the CDPQ scandal and that Charest is a piece of crap since the media isn't over it anymore (a stupid Canadiens-being-sold-to-Molson-but-I-don't-give-a-crap thingee is, and people are much more interested by that crap than actually important stuff). You know, people get all angry over this stuff for a while, then they stop caring when the media's obsession ends.

[Kevinstat]

Results with all precincts in:

MARGUERITE-BOURGEOYS

Gignac, Clément (P.L.Q./Q.L.P.) 7 753 72,32%
Normandin, Christine (P.Q.) 1 826 17,03% 
Charbonneau, Diane (A.D.Q.) 397 3,70% 
Leclerc, Julien (P.V.Q./G.P.Q.) 300 2,80% 
Black St-Laurent, Valérie (Q.S.) 265 2,47% 
Tremblay, Sylvie R. (IND) 75 0,70% 
Poulin, Érik (P.I.) 65 0,61% 
Millette, Régent (IND) 40 0,37%

Gignac's (P.L.Q./Q.L.P.) margin of victory: 5 927 55,28%
P.L.Q./Q.L.P. Hold

RIVIÈRE-DU-LOUP

D'Amour, Jean (P.L.Q./Q.L.P.) 10 076 47,69%
Crête, Paul (P.Q.) 7 540 35,69% 
Côté, Gilberte (A.D.Q.) 3 099 14,67% 
Poirier, Martin (P.V.Q./G.P.Q.) 151 0,71% 
Beaulieu, Victor-Lévy (IND) 93 0,44% 
Renaud, Benoît (Q.S.) 89 0,42% 
Couture, Denis (P.R.F.) 42 0,20% 
Tremblay, Éric (P.I.) 38 0,18%

D'Amour's (P.L.Q./Q.L.P.) margin of victory: 2 536 12,00%
P.L.Q./Q.L.P. Gain from A.D.Q.

[Edited to remove the use of "majority" to mean margin, which I don't like.]

[Hash]

An important defeat for the PQ in Rivière-du-Loup, a 99% Franco and relatively nationalist - though conservative - constituency. Talking heads say this is due Marois' new plan for a "sovereign Québec" and former Premier Jacques Parizeau saying an economic crisis is perfect time for independence (words which Charest did not hesitate to spin).

If you ever needed proof the ADQ was a one-man party a la Forza Italia, there you have it. This plus their fringe result in Marguerite-Bourgeoys only serves to prove that Québec is returning, for now, to a quite strict two-party system.

Oh, and lol @ Beaulieu again. Go burn books, you maniac.

Québecois voters are stuck with a Francophone redneck in Ottawa and an incompetent klouk in Québec - which they know seem to like (again).

[Hatman 🍁]

The ADQ is officially dead. Even though this isn't even ADQ territory (demographically). It's too bad, really. As much as I hate the ADQ (well, all 3 major parties in Quebec), I do love 3 party races.

Quebec politics make my head hurt.