Who is More Likely to Win? Artur Davis or Kendrick Meek?
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  Who is More Likely to Win? Artur Davis or Kendrick Meek?
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Poll
Question: Well?
#1
Davis
 
#2
Meek
 
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Partisan results

Total Voters: 26

Author Topic: Who is More Likely to Win? Artur Davis or Kendrick Meek?  (Read 2256 times)
Lunar
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« on: May 20, 2009, 07:25:16 PM »


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benconstine
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« Reply #1 on: May 20, 2009, 07:35:49 PM »

Unless Crist decides to not run, Davis.
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Lunar
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« Reply #2 on: May 20, 2009, 08:18:12 PM »

No need to insert the "unless"

However, it is possible although improbable that Crist loses his primary.

What was the percentage that Alabama barely supported mixed-race marriages recently?
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Badger
badger
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« Reply #3 on: May 22, 2009, 01:25:01 PM »

No need to insert the "unless"

However, it is possible although improbable that Crist loses his primary.

What was the percentage that Alabama barely supported mixed-race marriages recently?

Only about 60% in a 2000 referendum to symbolically remove an anti-miscegination clause from the state constitution (long legally invalidated by those darn activist federal judges). About half of whites voted against the measure.

In 2004 there was another symbolic referendum to remove an anti-school desegregation clause from the Alabama Constitution which actually lost. IIRC, like the mixed race marriage referendum this measure was overwhelmingly supported by black voters. Though in fairness some of the difference was that some of the far right (Christian Coalition, Roy Moore, etc.) mounted a campaign claiming that removing the post-Brown v. Board of Education language not guaranteeing a public education as a right would open the door to federal lawsuits mandating Alabamans actually spend more than a pittance on their schools. Legal scholars widely derided these claims, but it was arguably enough to just barely put the no vote over the top.

Still, the 2000 referendum results show that there was (is) a broad racist voting block in the state. Good luck, Artur. You'll need it.
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Bleeding heart conservative, HTMLdon
htmldon
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« Reply #4 on: May 28, 2009, 03:01:40 PM »

Meek, and we all know how it would happen.
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Magic 8-Ball
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« Reply #5 on: May 28, 2009, 05:26:19 PM »

Davis, though neither is likely.

What was the percentage that Alabama barely supported mixed-race marriages recently?

Did I miss something?  Tara Davis is black.
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Nym90
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« Reply #6 on: May 28, 2009, 07:27:15 PM »

Davis, though neither is likely.

What was the percentage that Alabama barely supported mixed-race marriages recently?

Did I miss something?  Tara Davis is black.

The point is that the state is so racist that almost 50 percent of residents don't believe interracial marriage should be legal. The percentage who would refuse to vote for a black candidate thus is probably significantly higher than that, or certainly at least that high.
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Magic 8-Ball
mrk
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« Reply #7 on: May 28, 2009, 10:27:38 PM »

Davis, though neither is likely.

What was the percentage that Alabama barely supported mixed-race marriages recently?

Did I miss something?  Tara Davis is black.

The point is that the state is so racist that almost 50 percent of residents don't believe interracial marriage should be legal. The percentage who would refuse to vote for a black candidate thus is probably significantly higher than that, or certainly at least that high.

Ah, that makes more sense.
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Lunar
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« Reply #8 on: June 01, 2009, 10:37:48 PM »

almost an even split now.

Davis's odds have surged now in my opinion since that commandments judge Moore dude is hopping into a five-way primary on the GOP side.


Of course, Davis still has his own competitive primary to win as well
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Miamiu1027
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« Reply #9 on: June 03, 2009, 02:37:33 PM »

almost an even split now.

Davis's odds have surged now in my opinion since that commandments judge Moore dude is hopping into a five-way primary on the GOP side.


Of course, Davis still has his own competitive primary to win as well

I still think Moore would beat him... the racial patterns in AL create a bit of a glass ceiling for a black Democrat
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