2012 Senate (user search)
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Author Topic: 2012 Senate  (Read 5276 times)
DownWithTheLeft
downwithdaleft
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*****
Posts: 18,548
Italy


Political Matrix
E: 9.16, S: -3.13

« on: April 04, 2009, 07:41:18 AM »

Right now I see these as the only Safe Dem seats:

CA, NM, NY, WI
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DownWithTheLeft
downwithdaleft
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 18,548
Italy


Political Matrix
E: 9.16, S: -3.13

« Reply #1 on: April 04, 2009, 10:26:44 AM »

You think the Democrats have twenty Senate seats that are in danger in 2012? I'm sure Carper, Klobuchar, Whitehouse, Sanders, Cardin and Lieberman (just to name a few) are really afraid of Republican challengers.  I can't believe you can honestly only think of 4 safe Democratic seats. 

 The Democrats could be slightly aided by the fact that this tough election year will be during a higher-turnout general election.
I think Klobuchar and Cardin could be in danger.  I missed Rhode Island looking at the map Tongue, and I didn't count Lieberman or Sanders as Democrats.  I honestly, this far out, wouldn't count on the Republicans in any but those four seats (+VT)
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DownWithTheLeft
downwithdaleft
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 18,548
Italy


Political Matrix
E: 9.16, S: -3.13

« Reply #2 on: April 06, 2009, 02:11:37 PM »

Right now I see these as the only Safe Dem seats:

CA, NM, NY, WI

NJ is safe Dem too.
Not in Chrisite wins, it certainly becomes vulnerable.  If Christie loses, no NJ Republicans will win for at least 12+ years
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DownWithTheLeft
downwithdaleft
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*****
Posts: 18,548
Italy


Political Matrix
E: 9.16, S: -3.13

« Reply #3 on: April 06, 2009, 09:20:06 PM »

Alright that's kind of funny
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DownWithTheLeft
downwithdaleft
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*****
Posts: 18,548
Italy


Political Matrix
E: 9.16, S: -3.13

« Reply #4 on: April 10, 2009, 09:18:57 AM »


If you read the entire post, I said that Nelson is safe because he is so popular, nobody will challenge him.  If he got a top notch challenger, then it would be a close race.
Popularity can change in 4 years + its Nebraska so a Dem can't be safe.  Think Lincoln Chafee
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DownWithTheLeft
downwithdaleft
Atlas Icon
*****
Posts: 18,548
Italy


Political Matrix
E: 9.16, S: -3.13

« Reply #5 on: April 10, 2009, 10:59:22 PM »

Hasn't Nelson been around in Nebraska through Democratic popularity lows before?  Like in 1994 he won reelection by one of the highest margins ever in Nebraska...I mean, he is the Senator with one of the highest (used to be THE highest) popularity rating among his own constituents.  But that probably doesn't even mean anything to your noggin
I don't think a gubenatorial race against token opposition can be equated to a senate race especially if a well-funded and liked challenger emerges
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