DE-Sen: Castle(R) 44% - Biden(D) 36%

[HAnnA MArin County]

Given how blue Delaware is, I think under normal circumstances it would be easy for any Democrat to carry the seat but Castle is definitely a strong candidate for the Republicans. What generally happens in these scenarios, i.e. when you have a red or blue state in which case the state's lone representative in the House challenges a Senate incumbent or newbie from the party that the state favors? The poll shows that Castle is favored over Beau Biden; think that's because Castle has won statewide election in a blue state or that voters in Delaware don't feel the need to crown Biden out of nepotism? Beau may hope to ride to victory on his daddy's coattails in the state but I'll give it to the Republicans, they do have a good (and moderate) candidate who may very well win. Right now, though, despite the poll, I give the edge to Biden.

A similar situation may occur with the South Dakota Senate race. John Thune just narrowly squeaked by in 2002 in a red state. There's been speculation that the state's sole congresswoman, Rep. Stephanie Herseth Sandlin (D-S.D.), may challenge him. She, too, has experience at winning statewide election running as a Democrat in a fairly red state. Maybe if Castle wins in Delaware, she could win in South Dakota and this would cancel out each party's "gains."

[HAnnA MArin County]

Thanks for the clarification, Mr. Moderate.

I just saw somewhere where Christine O'Donnell (R), the right-wing neoconservative who's against "pornography and premarital sex" who ran against Joe Biden in 2008 and was crushed by a two-to-one margin, is going to run again in 2010. Maybe if she gets into a primary battle with Castle, they'll bloody each other up and this will make it much easier for Beau Biden to win election to his daddy's seat.