NY-20 Special Election
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Author Topic: NY-20 Special Election  (Read 179899 times)
Alcon
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« Reply #500 on: March 31, 2009, 09:02:06 PM »
I have 68,394 to 66,891 (+1497).
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Dan the Roman
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« Reply #501 on: March 31, 2009, 09:03:18 PM »
I am liking something in the area of 700 votes at the final margin.
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Lunar
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« Reply #502 on: March 31, 2009, 09:03:24 PM »
oops, actually twice that:

http://www.politico.com/blogs/scorecard/0309/Will_the_race_be_called_tonight.html

SARATOGA SPRINGS, N.Y. -- Just chatted with Saratoga County Republican party chairman Jasper Nolan here at Republican Jim Tedisco's party.

Nolan said he doesn’t think that the race will be called tonight because there are about 10,000 outstanding absentee ballots left to be counted -- and he thinks that tonight’s margin will be within that number.
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○∙◄☻¥tπ[╪AV┼cVê└
jfern
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« Reply #503 on: March 31, 2009, 09:03:49 PM »
Quote from: Bandit3 the Worker on March 31, 2009, 08:54:23 PM
Why did anyone even listen to those who said it was a good idea to appoint Hillary as Secretary of State?

New York's idiot governor could have appointed someone else to replace her.
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Alcon
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« Reply #504 on: March 31, 2009, 09:03:58 PM »
A Murphy >70 precinct just came in.  Looks like there's some chance that the remaining Saratoga precincts trend Springs.  Hard to imagine it will be enough.

Tedisco 68,641 (50.5%)
Murphy 67,322 (49.5%)

Tedisco +1,319
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Lunar
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« Reply #505 on: March 31, 2009, 09:05:04 PM »
Quote from: Alcon on March 31, 2009, 09:03:58 PM
A Murphy >70 precinct just came in.  Looks like there's some chance that the remaining Saratoga precincts trend Springs.  Hard to imagine it will be enough.

Tedisco 68,641 (50.5%)
Murphy 67,322 (49.5%)

Tedisco +1,319

But will those 10k absentees tilt GOP or Dem?
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Zarn
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« Reply #506 on: March 31, 2009, 09:05:49 PM »
I think my question got lost. It seems some overseas votes may have not come in, and it appears they are given more time (days). Apparently, most of the counties sent ballots late for overseas New Yorkers. Does anyone have any details on this? I lost the article that I read. Sad

If true, and there are overseas votes yet to have been counted (which generally favor Republicans), is this going to have an huge impact, or does it look like Tedisco already has it?
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Alcon
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« Reply #507 on: March 31, 2009, 09:06:35 PM »
Later Saratoga precincts seem to be disproportionally Democratic.  This could tighten.

Tedisco 69,369 (50.5%)
Murphy 68,122 (49.5%)

Margin: Tedisco +1,247
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cinyc
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« Reply #508 on: March 31, 2009, 09:06:42 PM »
« Edited: March 31, 2009, 09:08:47 PM by cinyc »
All but 11 Saratoga precincts (plus the missing Delaware and Columbia county precincts) in:
Tedesco 69,369 (50.45%)
Murphy  68,122 (49.55%)
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Meeker
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« Reply #509 on: March 31, 2009, 09:06:49 PM »
« Edited: March 31, 2009, 09:08:20 PM by VP Meeker »
I imagine a lot of those absentees are military.
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Meeker
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« Reply #510 on: March 31, 2009, 09:10:25 PM »
Murphy down by 102 now...
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #511 on: March 31, 2009, 09:11:33 PM »

Wow...
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Alcon
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« Reply #512 on: March 31, 2009, 09:11:45 PM »
Damn.

Tedisco 74,413 (50.1%)
Murphy 74,183 (49.9%)
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Purple State
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« Reply #513 on: March 31, 2009, 09:12:24 PM »
Quote from: Alcon on March 31, 2009, 09:11:45 PM
Damn.

Tedisco 74,413 (50.1%)
Murphy 74,183 (49.9%)

Just saw that too. That got much closer very quickly.
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RI
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« Reply #514 on: March 31, 2009, 09:12:30 PM »
Most, but not all, of Columbia just came in. *holding out hope*
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #515 on: March 31, 2009, 09:12:35 PM »
This is crazy! I love it!
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Alcon
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« Reply #516 on: March 31, 2009, 09:12:46 PM »
28 votes

Tedisco 75,692 (50.0%)
Murphy 75,664 (50.0%)

3 left in Saratoga, 8 in Columbia
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Meeker
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« Reply #517 on: March 31, 2009, 09:12:57 PM »
Delaware ended up only +26 Tedisco.

Still 8 precincts out from Columbia and 14 from Saratoga, plus all the absentees...

We aren't going to know a winner tonight.
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cinyc
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« Reply #518 on: March 31, 2009, 09:13:04 PM »

More of Columbia and Delaware came in on the AP feed:
Tedesco 75,692 (50.01%)
Murphy 75,664 (49.99%)
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Sam Spade
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« Reply #519 on: March 31, 2009, 09:13:44 PM »
Tedisco really underperformed in Delaware.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #520 on: March 31, 2009, 09:13:53 PM »
Good god. I'm so pissed that my brother didn't vote now.
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Keystone Phil
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« Reply #521 on: March 31, 2009, 09:14:16 PM »
Oh. My. God.
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Dan the Roman
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« Reply #522 on: March 31, 2009, 09:14:32 PM »
Quote from: VP Meeker on March 31, 2009, 09:12:57 PM
Delaware ended up only +26 Tedisco.

Still 8 precincts out from Columbia and 14 from Saratoga, plus all the absentees...

We aren't going to know a winner tonight.

11 of the Saratoga ones went Murphy by about 50 votes. He should win tonight by 200 or so.
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Zarn
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« Reply #523 on: March 31, 2009, 09:14:46 PM »
Looks like my question is becoming more and more relevant.
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Purple State
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« Reply #524 on: March 31, 2009, 09:14:51 PM »
Quote from: Eraserhead on March 31, 2009, 09:13:53 PM
Good god. I'm so pissed that my brother didn't vote now.

I swear if Murphy loses by one...
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