Hoverbored123
Rookie
Posts: 117
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« on: September 05, 2012, 01:18:28 AM » |
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I expect whatever "bounce" the candidates get from the Conventions will disappear long before Election Day. This can be explained by regression toward the mean: any sudden shift in the polls away from the general pattern will tend to correct itself over time. Also, according to the CU professors' report, the location of the party's National Convention has no significant effect on which way an individual state votes. So not only will the DNC not have any effect on the nationwide vote, it won't help Obama in Colorado either.
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