The Official Obama Approval Ratings Thread

[foodgellas]

Unfortunately Oakvale, your buddies in the Democrat Party all pointed to how Obama's approval rating in Gallup was at its highest point and how his disapproval was now under 40% when he hit 53/39 two days ago.

Now that he's back down to a mediocre 48/44 and may fall tomorrow as well, I'm going to point it out.

I love how irritated the righties get when Obama goes up in opinion polls. "But... but.. he's a socialist!"

[foodgellas]

I'm a big fan of your posts and the work you put into your maps.

However, don't you find them a little too good to be true? How is Obama going to win OH with the unemployment rate there nearly 10%? If he can't win OH, then forget about PA or IN.

Also, in what universe is Obama winning TN? I saw one poll that indicates such a possibility, and all candidates barely registered in it. No way Obama wins TN, AZ or GA in 2012. These states were all out of reach while he had the strongest wind at his back in 2008. Demographic changes haven't come fast enough for them to move in his direction with current economic headwinds. I cherish the possibility, but I don't see how it could happen.

I still say Obama will win re-election, but not by a larger margin than in 2008. Worst case winning scenario, he wins all of the Gore states + VA, NH and NE's 1 EV. Best case winning scenario, he repeats the exact same electoral map he had last time.