The Official Obama Approval Ratings Thread

[Derek]

I saw 49% approve and 51% disapprove but that seems kinda good for him these days.  That was Rasmussen, it's the most conservative and most accurate. Something funny?

[Derek]

He has been at 47% everyday this week. That seems like a steady number for him. Rasmussen was the most conservative poll during the 2008 Presidential Election and the most accurate. They had Obama winning 52-46 and to my recollection that's what it came out to. The more conservative the better let me tell you.

[Derek]

I lovet that pic of Muhammad. Did you see the 200th episodes? Those guys are the best.

[Derek]

Bobby Jindal and Mitch Daniels have higher numbers.

[Derek]

Yea if 3 ppl are running instead of 2. If he isn't at 49% you can right him off as well as any other president in such a situation. People don't vote for those that haven't done well according to them.

[Derek]

What candidates do you consider to be weak? I think Huckabee, Romney, and Daniels would beat Obama.

[Derek]

What candidates do you consider to be weak? I think Huckabee, Romney, and Daniels would beat Obama.

Romney probably reduces President Obama's 2008 margins in the Blue Firewall under almost any circumstances, but not enough to win a state like Minnesota or Pennsylvania unless President Obama is a disaster. He probably fares weaker in the South than did John McCain under most circumstances.

By releasing a murderer who eventually became a cop-killer, Mike Huckabee has become the right-wing version of Mike Dukakis.

Mitch Daniels? We don't really know him well. The Toll Road deal isn't popular in Ohio or Michigan; Daniels will need to win Ohio to win. 

Those are good points however there are other things to consider. One is that by not knowing about Mitch Daniels, he has the advantage. We didn't know much about Clinton either. Romney would not need to win PA or MN to be elected because Bush won both times without either one. Also, Ohio will not have to be in the GOP column anymore. The 2012 electoral map will make it possible for the GOP to win with FL and a combination of states such as IA, NV, CO, and NM. If you took the 2004 map and gave Kerry Ohio but plugged in the 2012 electoral votes, Bush would still have about 273, 274, or 275.

[Derek]

Delaware would've been a little closer without Biden on the ticket; about 59-40.

[Derek]

Obama loves being in the 40's lol. Wonder how much he'll like it on election night.

[Derek]

You forgot to mention that he has a member of NAMBLA as a czar that would be all I focused on when talking to families with children.

[Derek]

That's what I'm talking about! Bye Bye Barack.

[Derek]

What kind of age demographics are these national polls (Rasmussen, Gallup) using? If they are using a LV screen for the midterms to get these numbers, they are vastly underestimating the number of young voters who will turn out to vote in 2012. If this is the case, wouldn't Obama's approval be a few points higher amongst a 2012 electorate than is being shown by the current polls?

In theory, but if Obama is prancing around college campuses instead of fighting Al-Qaida, then the GOP will more than make up for it with TV ads showing that's what he is doing.

[Derek]

Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 48% +2

Disapprove 51% -2


"Strongly Approve" is at 30%, u.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 40%, -1.

how terrible

[Derek]

61% seems a little high for Illinois even though that's his home state and it's a democrat stronghold. I'd put it in the top 5 democrat states at the presidential level with NY, RI, VT, and HI.

[Derek]

61% seems a little high for Illinois even though that's his home state and it's a democrat stronghold. I'd put it in the top 5 democrat states at the presidential level with NY, RI, VT, and HI.

I severely doubt the Right Wing Thailand party has much strength in Illinois, New York, or any of the states you mentioned for that matter.

That's what I was saying thanks.

[Derek]

What is with the now-dissipated bounce on Gallup?  He went from -3 approval to +7 in about a week, and is now back down to about even.  Am I reading too much into that, or does it seem like more than statistical noise?

It's the liberal media what do you expect. Palin says it best..... lamestream!

[Derek]

I can't get over Obama being at 47% in Florida. That seems way too high for how he is doing nationally. Florida is usually about 5 points to the right of the nation at the presidential level.

[Derek]

I can't get over Obama being at 47% in Florida. That seems way too high for how he is doing nationally. Florida is usually about 5 points to the right of the nation at the presidential level.

The fact that SD is actually red should worry people more.

Of course, poll data did suggest (Nov 2008) that Florida would go McCain and SD to Obama.

What is the margin of error usually between polls and actual elections?

5 points, but I'm referring to actual results and not polling. Are you sure about SD polls because I don't remember seeing any polls there with Obama leading? The closest I remember was McCain by 4 and that was a big Democratic year. Under these conditions I see SD going back to 60% GOP. Most likely upper 50's though.

[Derek]

Us conservatives need to find a way to knock that guy's numbers down in Ohio. That's very scary.

[Derek]

Rasmussen has Obama at 48 in Ohio but 45 nationally.

[Derek]

is that for his entire presidency? I doubt he has a 47% in AZ and SC but only 45% in PA. How old are those numbers? Rasmussen is the most accurate too. Look at their data for 2004 and 2008. They didn't miss a single state in 2004.

[Derek]

Only rank amateurs would discuss the 2012 election using current "approval" data without employing the "add six (or sometimes four in the case of Ohio)" rule. When you do, you'll see that we're in the midst of an unstoppable Obama landslide barring the appearance of the "next Reagan."

it's still fun to do even if you are a so called expert

[Derek]

Thats not hard to believe but I'd give a GOP NC too.

[Derek]

oh wait fair? come on it should be approve or disapprove that poll is misleading the American ppl.

[Derek]

That's why I hope we win 215 in the House and 50 in the senate. That allows us to blame Obama and not be blamed for stopping legislation with the help of a few "moderate" democrats. When being blamed the GOP can say if Obama's idea's are so great, then why did ppl in his own party vote against his agenda? Or maybe he is looking like Carter of 1980.