The Official Obama Approval Ratings Thread

[sentinel]

Do you think Obama will have a big bump due to the passage of health care?  He's at 51% on gallup now and was 46% last week

[sentinel]

I want to make a prediction. Obama's approval will have a high of 53% by the end of this week.

[sentinel]

I want to make a prediction. Obama's approval will have a high of 53% by the end of this week.

What poll?  State or national?

National. Lets go with Gallup.

[sentinel]

I want to make a prediction. Obama's approval will have a high of 53% by the end of this week.

What poll?  State or national?

National. Lets go with Gallup.

I'd be far more interested in knowing why you think this is going to happen.

Whenever a President gives a national speech his approvals go up, generally its around 5 points. Its a soft bump, but lets wait and see if it happens.

[sentinel]

I want to make a prediction. Obama's approval will have a high of 53% by the end of this week.

What poll?  State or national?

National. Lets go with Gallup.

I'd be far more interested in knowing why you think this is going to happen.

Whenever a President gives a national speech his approvals go up, generally its around 5 points. Its a soft bump, but lets wait and see if it happens.

Did you watch the speech?  I didn't, but apparently it was poorly received by pretty much everybody.  You don't get a boost in your approval from a speech people didn't like!

I did see it. It was alright. I'll keep my bet there though because the people on the left who felt alienated as of late might come right back home now.

[sentinel]

I want to make a prediction. Obama's approval will have a high of 53% by the end of this week.

What poll?  State or national?

National. Lets go with Gallup.

I'd be far more interested in knowing why you think this is going to happen.

Whenever a President gives a national speech his approvals go up, generally its around 5 points. Its a soft bump, but lets wait and see if it happens.

Did you watch the speech?  I didn't, but apparently it was poorly received by pretty much everybody.  You don't get a boost in your approval from a speech people didn't like!

I did see it. It was alright. I'll keep my bet there though because the people on the left who felt alienated as of late might come right back home now.

I loose. It dropped to 46%.

[sentinel]

Maybe a new local water commissioner would turn those frowns upside-down...

[sentinel]

I based this on the decent aggregate of polls that Wikipedia has for state head-to-head polling.

This is for an Perry-Obama matchup without me including any of my own opinions. Took the most recent poll, regardless of how close it was or who had a majority (or lack there of).

Obama-178
Perry - 17
No poll: 343

If I throw in the states that we can pretty much call already...(shaded 90%)

Obama - 385
Perry - 153

Now I think it'd be a little weird if Texas went Democrat and Georgia or Arizona didn't --so this exact result is unrealistic --but the way Perry is polling even when Obama's numbers are down isn't great.

[sentinel]

Do you support or oppose requiring girls entering the 6th grade to be vaccinated against the human papilloma virus, also known as HPV?

22% Support (27% D, 17% R, 21% I)
57% Oppose (51% D, 64% R, 56% I)

I am astonished the opposition figure is so high, even among Democrats and Independents.

I think if you changed the question a little you would see the figures flip.

[sentinel]

It's probably been discussed before but anyone want to comment on why Gallup seems like the outlier as of late?

[sentinel]

There's a sudden lack of posts in here

[sentinel]

gallup is saying that Romney didn't get a bounce at all
http://www.gallup.com/poll/157262/romney-gets-no-bounce-last-week-gop-convention.aspx