The Official Obama Approval Ratings Thread

[Saxwsylvania]

Biggest ones left: Michigan, Georgia, Arizona, Indiana, Maryland, and Colorado.   

... If Obama is above 50% in Tennessee, then that suggests that the GOP has its work cut out.

Dude.  It's called a honeymoon.  We're less than two months into Obama's term.  Quit being a moron.  When it's this time in 2012 and these are Obama's numbers, then you can gloat.  Until then, regard Obama's approval as mere trivia.

[Saxwsylvania]

Rasmussen Reports and pollster.com shows Obama's approval dipping to his lowest yet.  Unsurprisingly, this thread has been relatively quiet today.

Here is a handy-dandy chart:



Obama is now less popular than Eisenhower, Kennedy, Nixon, Carter, Bush 41, and Bush 43 at this point in their Presidencies.

Go Obama go!

[Saxwsylvania]

Rasmussen Reports and pollster.com shows Obama's approval dipping to his lowest yet.  Unsurprisingly, this thread has been relatively quiet today.

Here is a handy-dandy chart:



Obama is now less popular than Eisenhower, Kennedy, Nixon, Carter, Bush 41, and Bush 43 at this point in their Presidencies.

Go Obama go!

No statistical significance. One can say nothing, so one might as well remain quiet.

What are you talking about, 'no statistical significance'?  It's inherently statistically significant because it's a statistic!

I could shut up about the whole thing.  But then, why have the thread at all?

[Saxwsylvania]

CA-8 SurveyUSA

Approve 84%
Disapprove 13%

http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=2328c94e-0f2f-4290-9293-7d4f2e11cd74

Why?  Just why?

[Saxwsylvania]

CA-8 SurveyUSA

Approve 84%
Disapprove 13%

http://www.surveyusa.com/client/PollReport.aspx?g=2328c94e-0f2f-4290-9293-7d4f2e11cd74

Why?  Just why?

Because it is San Francisco and Obama got 85% there ?

Alas, my question was not one of despair, but of bewilderment.  Who in the world blows their money on a poll for San Francisco?

[Saxwsylvania]

No of course it's a pipe dream! Pbrower knows all!

No -- I just know how Obama campaigned in 2008 and expect much the same in 2012.

Obama, unlike McCain, waged a most positive spirited campaign in 2008 (and with that came the positive media coverage) and, God willing, the president will have a positive record to run on in 2012

The McCain-Palin campaign was a sickening spectacle, by comparison. Palin's rallies, during which she incited hatred on the stump towards a political opponent, undoubtedly, alienated many swing voters

Correct, Obama ran one of the most positive campaigns of all time.  Throughout the election and this current health care debate, he has not once distorted his opponent's arguments.  Saintly Sarah will go down as one of the most vile, hateful politicians in U.S. history, along the lines of Huey Long or Theodore Bilbo.  Her speeches were directly responsible for the burnings of several black churches in Alabama and the violent death of a census worker.  Meanwhile, President Obama has remained a pragmatic, center-left Christian Democrat.  If he wasn't, then why would Hawk support him?

[Saxwsylvania]

Mason Dixon (South Carolina)

50% Approve
44% Disapprove

The statewide survey of 500 South Carolina registered voters was conducted Nov. 8-12, 2009. The margin of error is +/- 4.5 percent at a 96 percent level of confidence.

http://www.pollster.com/blogs/poll_masondixon_south_carolina.php

[Saxwsylvania]

A bit late but...

Obama Gallup approval in February 2010:

50% Approve

43% Disapprove

Trends for comparsion:

Carter: 49/34 (February 1978)

Reagan: 47/43 (February 1982)

Bush I: 73/16 (February 1990)

Clinton: 53/41 (February 1994)

Bush II: 82/14 (February 2002)

So he's closest to where Reagan was, huh?  Hmm ... this must mean a 1984-style landslide is on the way.

[Saxwsylvania]

SurveyUSA

Ohio
42% Approve
52% Disapprove

Indiana
49% Approve
40% Disapprove

Washington
46% Approve
49% Disapprove

Oregon
48% Approve
50% Disapprove

[Saxwsylvania]

Obama's numbers can improve ... but don't expect it to happen this year.  His best bet is to have Republicans take back both houses of Congress, then shift to the center a la Clinton.  The problem is that Obama is no Clinton, he's too much an ideologue.  If a Republican takeover occurs, expect deadlock and government shutdowns and no legislation passed.  Obama should then hope for Sarah Palin as his opponent or that the economy recovers.  From November 2010 to January 2013, he'll be effectively a lame duck.

[Saxwsylvania]

who has been reelected with a 44% approval rating since they started keeping track of that?

That's about where George W. Bush was in the spring of 2008. He won, if feebly, despite being a weak campaigner.

Freudian slip?

No. Just a plain, simple typo. 2004.

Dubya may have been dreadful, but he still won.

Well there's still controversy to that (with the Ohio factor)

No serious person thinks that Ohio was stolen in 2004.

[Saxwsylvania]

Obama's going to win in a landslide because Pat Toomey and Marco Rubio might be unpopular in 2012? 

Hey, pbrower!

[Saxwsylvania]

I was one of those predicting just a small and temporary bounce, but those Rasmussen numbers seem quite ridiculous.

Obama's had a big runup in the Ras poll in the week PRIOR to the OBL killing...this runup is already reflected in the numbers.  so Ras is not saying Obama has not improved, it is say Obama's improvement was already taking place in the week prior to the killing.

Epic fail as an explanation. That run-up was more likely the result of the President's swift and effective response to the tornadoes. People in the Midwest hear about spring tornadoes in Dixie in the spring and ask whether they are next. Americans used to take disaster management for granted -- until Hurricane Katrina. Now they don't. Maybe they can again. Something is different now -- or back to normal. Take your choice.

And here I was thinking the movement was the result of the President's swift and effective exhibition of his birth certificate.

[Saxwsylvania]

TX (University of Texas)

Approve: 46%
Disapprove: 45%
Not sure: 9%

http://www.laits.utexas.edu/txp_media/html/poll/files/201105-summary.pdf