The Official Obama Approval Ratings Thread
       |           

Welcome, Guest. Please login or register.
Did you miss your activation email?
March 29, 2024, 05:43:31 AM
News: Election Simulator 2.0 Released. Senate/Gubernatorial maps, proportional electoral votes, and more - Read more

  Talk Elections
  Election Archive
  Election Archive
  2012 Elections
  The Official Obama Approval Ratings Thread
« previous next »
Pages: 1 ... 393 394 395 396 397 [398] 399 400 401 402 403 ... 410
Author Topic: The Official Obama Approval Ratings Thread  (Read 1207233 times)
Hoverbored123
Rookie
**
Posts: 117
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9925 on: September 05, 2012, 01:18:28 AM »

I expect whatever "bounce" the candidates get from the Conventions will disappear long before Election Day.  This can be explained by regression toward the mean: any sudden shift in the polls away from the general pattern will tend to correct itself over time.  Also, according to the CU professors' report, the location of the party's National Convention has no significant effect on which way an individual state votes.  So not only will the DNC not have any effect on the nationwide vote, it won't help Obama in Colorado either. 
Logged
J. J.
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 32,892
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9926 on: September 05, 2012, 09:48:28 AM »


Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 47%, -1.

Disapprove 52%, +1.

"Strongly Approve" is at 25%, -2.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at  43%, +1.

Logged
J. J.
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 32,892
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9927 on: September 05, 2012, 01:11:27 PM »


http://www.gallup.com/poll/124922/Presidential-Job-Approval-Center.aspx

Approve: 47% +2

Disapprove: 47% -1

Logged
Lief 🗽
Lief
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,876


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9928 on: September 05, 2012, 01:18:46 PM »

The convention bounce has begun!
Logged
J. J.
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 32,892
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9929 on: September 05, 2012, 01:33:08 PM »


Actually, if you would have read the numbers, you would have seen a 2-3 point slump for Obama on this poll.
Logged
Beet
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,806


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9930 on: September 05, 2012, 07:34:54 PM »


Actually, if you would have read the numbers, you would have seen a 2-3 point slump for Obama on this poll.

Where does Gallup post the single day results?
Logged
J. J.
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 32,892
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9931 on: September 05, 2012, 07:39:29 PM »


Actually, if you would have read the numbers, you would have seen a 2-3 point slump for Obama on this poll.

Where does Gallup post the single day results?

They don't, so far as I can tell.

This wasn't Romney gaining, however.  It was Obama sinking (and he recovered most of it).
Logged
Beet
Atlas Star
*****
Posts: 28,806


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9932 on: September 05, 2012, 07:42:39 PM »


Actually, if you would have read the numbers, you would have seen a 2-3 point slump for Obama on this poll.

Where does Gallup post the single day results?

They don't, so far as I can tell.

This wasn't Romney gaining, however.  It was Obama sinking (and he recovered most of it).

I have no idea what you're even talking about any more.
Logged
Lief 🗽
Lief
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,876


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9933 on: September 05, 2012, 07:45:31 PM »

You're not the only one.
Logged
J. J.
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 32,892
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9934 on: September 05, 2012, 08:25:17 PM »


Actually, if you would have read the numbers, you would have seen a 2-3 point slump for Obama on this poll.

Where does Gallup post the single day results?

They don't, so far as I can tell.

This wasn't Romney gaining, however.  It was Obama sinking (and he recovered most of it).

I have no idea what you're even talking about any more.

Beet, this not a horse race poll.  It is a favorable/unfavorable poll.  Obama's approval numbers dropped, on this poll, when the pre-convention started dropping out.  It did start to recover this week, when there was some distance from the RNC.  He's nearly recovered from it.
Logged
J. J.
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 32,892
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9935 on: September 06, 2012, 09:09:48 AM »



Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 46%, -1.

Disapprove 54%, +2.

"Strongly Approve" is at 25%, u.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at  44%, +1.


It could just be a bad sample.
Logged
J. J.
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 32,892
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9936 on: September 06, 2012, 09:37:02 AM »

Gallup's weekly approval for Obama is 44%, which is the lowest since the second week of December 2011.  I suspect that this was due to the RNC and he will recover during this week.
Logged
Yank2133
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,387


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9937 on: September 06, 2012, 12:02:02 PM »

Gallup

Approve- 49%
Disapprove-45%

Logged
Lief 🗽
Lief
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,876


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9938 on: September 06, 2012, 12:14:34 PM »

That's +2 approval and -2 disapproval from yesterday.
Logged
J. J.
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 32,892
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9939 on: September 06, 2012, 12:25:42 PM »



http://www.gallup.com/poll/124922/Presidential-Job-Approval-Center.aspx

Approve: 49% +2

Disapprove: 45% -2

RNC bounce dropping out or a bad sample?


Logged
J. J.
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 32,892
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9940 on: September 07, 2012, 09:20:42 AM »




Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 47%, +1.

Disapprove 52%, -2.

"Strongly Approve" is at 27%, +2.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at  44%, u.


My guess is a bad sample dropped.
Logged
Yank2133
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,387


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9941 on: September 07, 2012, 12:02:27 PM »

Gallup

Approve-52
Disapprove-43

Bill Clinton putting in work........
Logged
Likely Voter
Moderators
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,344


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9942 on: September 07, 2012, 12:56:34 PM »

when was the last time Obama's Gallup was over 50?  Not since OBL dead in May 2011?
Logged
後援会
koenkai
Jr. Member
***
Posts: 1,265


Political Matrix
E: 0.71, S: -2.52

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9943 on: September 07, 2012, 01:39:16 PM »

Fun fact: George W. Bush's approval among adults also hit 52% after the 2004 Republican National Convention.

Caveat: "Adults" is a group more Democrat-leaning than registered voters, which is more Democrat-leaning than likely voters.
Logged
Lief 🗽
Lief
Atlas Legend
*****
Posts: 44,876


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9944 on: September 07, 2012, 01:40:18 PM »
« Edited: September 07, 2012, 01:43:10 PM by Lief »

The convention bump, IT HAS BEGUN!

As far as I can tell this is the highest Gallup has had him since he got that bump from killing Osama bin Laden.
Logged
Likely Voter
Moderators
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,344


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9945 on: September 07, 2012, 02:22:43 PM »

I looked it up and Obama hasn't been at 52 since OBL dead, however there were two days in 2011 where he hit 51. He hasnt been over 50 for a sustained period since May 2011 so if this sticks, it will be significant
Logged
Warren 4 Secretary of Everything
Clinton1996
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 5,203
United States


Political Matrix
E: -1.94, S: -4.70

Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9946 on: September 07, 2012, 02:34:31 PM »

I looked it up and Obama hasn't been at 52 since OBL dead, however there were two days in 2011 where he hit 51. He hasnt been over 50 for a sustained period since May 2011 so if this sticks, it will be significant
June 24th 2012.
Logged
Likely Voter
Moderators
Junior Chimp
*****
Posts: 8,344


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9947 on: September 07, 2012, 02:44:07 PM »
« Edited: September 07, 2012, 02:47:22 PM by Invisible Voter »

sorry I mean two days in 2012 where he hit 51 for one day: May 3rd and June 24th.

Essentially starting in the summer of 2010 he has been in the 40s except for two periods where he had sustained 50+ rating: the lame duck session where they actually got some stuff done in late 2010 and Killing OBL in May 2011. Since then he has been stuck in the 40s for the most part.
Logged
J. J.
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 32,892
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9948 on: September 07, 2012, 04:35:13 PM »

The convention bump, IT HAS BEGUN!

As far as I can tell this is the highest Gallup has had him since he got that bump from killing Osama bin Laden.

Or a bad sample.

I'd prefer to wait 2-3 more days.
Logged
J. J.
Atlas Superstar
*****
Posts: 32,892
United States


Show only this user's posts in this thread
« Reply #9949 on: September 07, 2012, 04:37:26 PM »

It was a +1/-1 shift in the horse race numbers today.
Logged
Pages: 1 ... 393 394 395 396 397 [398] 399 400 401 402 403 ... 410  
« previous next »
Jump to:  


Login with username, password and session length

Terms of Service - DMCA Agent and Policy - Privacy Policy and Cookies

Powered by SMF 1.1.21 | SMF © 2015, Simple Machines

Page created in 0.044 seconds with 11 queries.