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  Talk Elections
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  The Official Obama Approval Ratings Thread
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Author Topic: The Official Obama Approval Ratings Thread  (Read 1030740 times)
Rowan
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« Reply #7025 on: January 02, 2011, 12:38:27 pm »

But yet PPP polls are fine? They both should be included.
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #7026 on: January 02, 2011, 01:39:42 pm »


Because Magellan Strategies has ties predominately to the GOP and its candidate, its poll will not be shown on my map.

Don't worry. Within a couple of months there will be plenty of polls on the popularity of incoming Governors and Senators. Greatest attention will be paid to those who have taken over in states that have recently voted largely on the blue side of purple. Honeymoons will likely be short, especially if those politicians seem to better fit the political norms of Oklahoma or Alabama instead of Pennsylvania or Wisconsin.

It should mostly not be shown on your map because it's FAVORABLES, not APPROVAL ratings.

That, too.

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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #7027 on: January 02, 2011, 01:41:56 pm »

But yet PPP polls are fine? They both should be included.

PPP always measures approvals, not favorables.
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Rowan
RowanBrandon
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« Reply #7028 on: January 02, 2011, 04:13:20 pm »

But yet PPP polls are fine? They both should be included.

PPP always measures approvals, not favorables.

I know. But Pbrower was making a partisan decision and I was just pointing that out.
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Poundingtherock
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« Reply #7029 on: January 02, 2011, 05:40:38 pm »

Unless you think his approval rating in Nebraska is higher than his favorable rating, the distinction you are drawing is irrelevant.  In all likelihood, Pbrower should include Obama's nebraska rating in his map because to do so would actually be favorable to obama.
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #7030 on: January 02, 2011, 08:14:58 pm »

Unless you think his approval rating in Nebraska is higher than his favorable rating, the distinction you are drawing is irrelevant.  In all likelihood, Pbrower should include Obama's nebraska rating in his map because to do so would actually be favorable to obama.

I took much heat for including "favorability" polls, and I am not going to take any more heat for doing so. Besides, Nebraska has three Congressional districts that vote very differently.
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When Tables Deserve To Die
The Obamanation
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« Reply #7031 on: January 03, 2011, 02:12:43 am »

How does his end of the year approvals compare to:

Bush 2002
Clinton 1994
Bush 1990
Reagan 1982
Carter 1978

and any further back if possible?
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #7032 on: January 03, 2011, 02:33:04 am »

How does his end of the year approvals compare to:

Bush 2002
Clinton 1994
Bush 1990
Reagan 1982
Carter 1978

and any further back if possible?

Bush was at 61%
Clinton was at 40%
Bush Sen. was at 58%
Reagan was at 37%
Carter was at 50%
Ford: no polling data for this timespan
Nixon was at 56%
Johnson was at 59%
Kennedy was at 74%
Eisenhower at 70%
Truman was at 48%
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J. J.
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« Reply #7033 on: January 03, 2011, 07:20:38 am »

I'll post the Rasmussen numbers early this evening, but I'll be out this morning.
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Zarn
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« Reply #7034 on: January 03, 2011, 10:42:46 am »

Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 47%, -1.

Disapprove 52%, +1.

"Strongly Approve" is at 26%, +1.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 39%, +2.

Don't kill me. I was just trying to help. Wink
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #7035 on: January 03, 2011, 01:58:30 pm »

Gallup is 50% Approve, 42% Disapprove today.

Btw, Rasmussen went to a more heavily GOP sample today for their tracking poll:

37.0% GOP
33.7% DEM
29.3% OTH

The 3-month benchmark for the tracking survey now is:

35.5% GOP
34.9% DEM
29.6% OTH

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/mood_of_america/partisan_trends
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Poundingtherock
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« Reply #7036 on: January 03, 2011, 02:02:25 pm »

I see Tender is pimping Gallup now that Obama is back up (he'll fall back down in around two days in Gallup) and now is casting asperions on Rasmussen after praising his national approval rating polling.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #7037 on: January 03, 2011, 02:03:59 pm »

I see Tender is pimping Gallup now that Obama is back up (he'll fall back down in around two days in Gallup) and now is casting asperions on Rasmussen after praising his national approval rating polling.

I just observe what's going on ...
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CJK
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« Reply #7038 on: January 03, 2011, 02:14:42 pm »

Obama Approval rating December 2010 (Gallup)

46% Approve

46% Disapprove

Trends for comparison

Carter 51/34 (December 1978)

Reagan 41/50 (December 1982)

Bush I 61/32 (December 1990)

Clinton 41/52 (December 1994)

Bush II 63/32 (December 2002)
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CJK
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« Reply #7039 on: January 03, 2011, 02:17:31 pm »

Obama Average Approval Rating for all of 2010 (Gallup)

47% Approve

46% Disapprove

Trends for comparison

Carter 46/37 (1978)

Reagan 42/46 (1982)

Bush I 66/23 (1990)

Clinton 46/45 (1994)

Bush II 72/22 (2002)
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Yelnoc
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« Reply #7040 on: January 03, 2011, 02:34:06 pm »

Obama Average Approval Rating for all of 2010 (Gallup)

47% Approve

46% Disapprove

Trends for comparison

Carter 46/37 (1978)

Reagan 42/46 (1982)

Bush I 66/23 (1990)

Clinton 46/45 (1994)

Bush II 72/22 (2002)

Interesting how close Obama is to Clinton's approvals at the time.
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Bull Moose Base
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« Reply #7041 on: January 03, 2011, 02:57:29 pm »

Obama Approval rating December 2010 (Gallup)

46% Approve

46% Disapprove

Trends for comparison

Carter 51/34 (December 1978)

Reagan 41/50 (December 1982)

Bush I 61/32 (December 1990)

Clinton 41/52 (December 1994)

Bush II 63/32 (December 2002)


Two years before...
The 2 least approved ended up easily re-elected. 
The 3 most approved either lost big or won narrowly with <50% approval.
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J. J.
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« Reply #7042 on: January 03, 2011, 03:06:42 pm »

Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 47%, -1.

Disapprove 52%, +1.

"Strongly Approve" is at 26%, +1.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 39%, +2.

Don't kill me. I was just trying to help. Wink

Thanks, it helps when you keep the format the same; you made it easier for the next one.
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #7043 on: January 03, 2011, 05:50:57 pm »

Obama Approval rating December 2010 (Gallup)

46% Approve

46% Disapprove

Trends for comparison

Carter 51/34 (December 1978)

Reagan 41/50 (December 1982)

Bush I 61/32 (December 1990)

Clinton 41/52 (December 1994)

Bush II 63/32 (December 2002)


Two years before...
The 2 least approved ended up easily re-elected. 
The 3 most approved either lost big or won narrowly with <50% approval.

Explanation: Reagan, Clinton, and Obama took their chances early and could explain (or let others explain) what they were going to do in a second term. If there should be frustration with things going too fast too early and too slow when the Opposition took over all or part of Congress, then such works for the President.

Carter was one of the least-effective Presidents ever, got into trouble, and had to make fresh promises of what he would do if he were re-elected.  Why would people trust hum after a weak first term that culminated in the Iranian Hostage Crisis? The elder Bush rode the laurels of the fall of Communism and had no idea of what to do in a second term.  They younger Bush was a disaster worse than either Carter or his father, but he got away with a couple of wars that spurred patriotic support for the President but had yet to go sour.
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J. J.
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« Reply #7044 on: January 04, 2011, 10:18:56 am »


Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 47%, u.

Disapprove 53%, +1.

"Strongly Approve" is at 26%, u.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 41%, +2.

I would not read too much into the Strongly Disapprove increase; it looks like a sample issue.

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Ben Romney
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« Reply #7045 on: January 04, 2011, 07:58:16 pm »

Obama  in surveyUSA

CA:51/41
KS:31/66
OH:40/57
OR:40/57
WA:49/47

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Liberalrocks
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« Reply #7046 on: January 04, 2011, 11:37:26 pm »

Obama  in surveyUSA

CA:51/41
KS:31/66
OH:40/57
OR:40/57
WA:49/47



Those are approvals but when you see his head to head match up polls against a pitifully weak republican fireld he does much better. He still is competitive in VA and NC.
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Poundingtherock
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« Reply #7047 on: January 04, 2011, 11:52:43 pm »

Uh no.  He's doing better against the Republican according to Elaine Marshall's pimp.  SurveyUSA will almost certainly show him doing much worse.
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5280
MagneticFree
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« Reply #7048 on: January 05, 2011, 12:15:38 am »

Can someobdy please put up some maps WITH the surveyUSA polls?
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #7049 on: January 05, 2011, 12:20:03 am »

Can someobdy please put up some maps WITH the surveyUSA polls?

Sorry -- I don't know how to paste an image derived from a coloring book, which is about how I see SurveyUSA polls.

Who commissioned them? 
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