The Official Obama Approval Ratings Thread

[J. J.]

Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 46%, +2.

Disapprove 53%, -1.

"Strongly Approve" is at 26%, +2.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 42%, -2.

[J. J.]

Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 47%, +1.

Disapprove 52%, -1.

"Strongly Approve" is at 28%, +2.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 41%, -1.

Numbers are well off the lows.  A bit of a rebound?

[You kip if you want to...]

Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 47%, +1.

Disapprove 52%, -1.

"Strongly Approve" is at 28%, +2.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 41%, -1.

Numbers are well off the lows.  A bit of a rebound?

America's love a bit've split government.

[Tender Branson]

I´m trusting Rasmussen more now with the approval ratings, because of his performance similar to the Exit polls.

Gallup on the other hand seems to be idiotic, they blew it twice now. In 2008 they overestimated Democrats by a huge margin and this year they overestimated Republicans by about 10 points.

[J. J.]

Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 47%, +1.

Disapprove 52%, -1.

"Strongly Approve" is at 28%, +2.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 41%, -1.

Numbers are well off the lows.  A bit of a rebound?

America's love a bit've split government.

Well, his number dropped a bit after the election. 

[nhmagic]

Obama losing ME... come on.

These polls are only reflecting what the feeling is at this current time.  Considering (irregardless of LePage's minority win) that republicans took back control of the legislature (which to most people was unthinkable) there is the opportunity for some potential of a republican win in the state, particularly in the 2nd CD.  Republicans in Maine can now put together a functioning state party apparatus again - that's critical.  With that said, it's pretty doubtful that the GOP will win the state, but who knows...

[J. J.]

Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 46%, -1.

Disapprove 53%, +1.

"Strongly Approve" is at 28%, u.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 41%, u.

[Bull Moose Base]

http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2010/11/15/cnn-poll-election-not-a-mandate-for-gop/

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And Democrats more favorably viewed than Republicans (though both parties negatively)

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[J. J.]

Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 45%, -1.

Disapprove 54%, +1.

"Strongly Approve" is at 27%, -1.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 43%, +2.

[J. J.]

http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2010/11/15/cnn-poll-election-not-a-mandate-for-gop/

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And Democrats more favorably viewed than Republicans (though both parties negatively)

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Actually somewhat consistent with Rasmussen, which showed some very low Obama numbers in September.

[Penelope]

Added Virginia.

[J. J.]

Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 44%, -1.

Disapprove 55%, +1.

"Strongly Approve" is at 26%, -1.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 42%, -1.

[pbrower2a]

Starting over after the 2010 midterms. It surprises me that there are any post-election polls, but as opinions of incoming Senators and Governors begin to appear, then so will those for the President. MT and VA have checked in, and anyone who thinks that any Republican has a chance to win DC is nuts, so:



Key:


<40% with Disapproval Higher: 40% Orange (50% if 60%-69% or higher disapproval); 90% red if >70%
40-43% with Disapproval Higher: 50% Yellow  
44% with Disapproval Higher: 40% Yellow  
45-49% with Disapproval Higher: 30% Yellow  
<50% with Approval Equal: 10% Yellow (really white)
<50%  Approval greater: 30% Green
50-55%: 40% Green
56-59%: 60% Green
60%+: 80% Green
DC, what else could you expect?

Months (All polls are from 2010):

A -  January     G -  July
B -  February   H -  August
C -  March        I -  September
D -  April          J  -  October
E -  May           K -  November
F -   June         L -   December

 

S - suspect poll (examples for such a qualification: strange crosstabs, likely inversion of the report (for inversions, only for polls above 55% or below 45%...  let's say Vermont 35% approval or Oklahoma 65% approval), or more than 10% undecided. Anyone who suggests that a poll is suspect must explain why it is suspect.

Partisan polls and polls for special interests (trade associations, labor unions, ethnic associations) are excluded.

Z- no recent poll

MY CURRENT PREDICTION OF THE 2012 PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION

(before any campaigning begins in earnest)

assuming no significant changes before early 2012 -- snicker, snicker!



District of Columbia, assumed to be about a 90% win for Obama, 3                 
deep red                  Obama 10% margin or greater 
medium red              Obama, 5-9.9% margin 
pale red                   Obama, margin under 5%
white                        too close to call 
pale blue                  Republican  under 5%   
medium blue             Republican  5-9.9% margin
deep blue                 Republican over 10%   



44% approval is roughly the break-even  point (50/50) for an incumbent's win.  I add 6% for approval between 40% and 46%, 5% at 46%, 4% between 47% and 50%, 3% for 51%, 2% for 52% or 53%, 1% for 54% and nothing above 55% or below 40% for an estimate of the vote.

 This model applies only to incumbents, who have plenty of advantages but not enough to rescue an unqualified failure.

[Ben Romney]

Zogby Interactive: Obama Holds at 42%; Percentage Who Strongly Disapprove at 48%


Approval from Democrats Dips Below 80%

[Penelope]

@pbrower2a:

 Virginia would actually be 30% green, as the results of the PPP poll were 50-45-5.

[Oakvale]

Zogby Interactive: Obama Holds at 42%; Percentage Who Strongly Disapprove at 48%


Approval from Democrats Dips Below 80%

lol

[Zarn]

The 46% A, 50% D on the NJ poll was November 9.

[J. J.]

Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 45%, +1.

Disapprove 54%, -1.

"Strongly Approve" is at 25%, -1.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 42%, u.

[pbrower2a]

I'll be honest...Nevada and Colorado seem to be trending left.

I'm not certain Reid doesn't also beat Lowden and Tark or Bennett doesn't also beat Norton.

It looks like the West in general is moving to the left while the Midwest is moving heavily to the right.

The Northeast and South are what they are but there are some bright spots in both areas for the GOP and Dems (south carolina in the south and new hampshire in the north).

Seems like this state is trending left, and for the worst IMO. It'll be a messed up state in a few decades just watch, similar like CA and the leftcoast, runned to hell. It won't matter cause I'll find another place to move.

What I'd say the midwest and the rustbelts are trending right.

Right-wing, anti-tax policies are to blame for California's predicament.

Good thing they voted out all those evil Conservative Republicans who've controlled the state government for the last 40-odd years.

Prop 13 and the 2/3rds budget requirement have hurt California more than any politician in the last 40 years.

And the voters want it.

Yes, but that doesn't change the facts. Also getting rid of Prop 13 immediately in this kind of housing market would be bad policy. But it needs to be done eventually, and most definitely for businesses.

Proposition 13 overvalues housing for someone who already owns the house and devalues it for a potential buyer, creates incentives for people to make otherwise-irrational decisions on choices of employment,  pushes taxes onto new entrants to the housing market, rewards slumlords, and makes redevelopment nearly impossible. Much of California housing is old before its time (the part built cheaply in the 1960s and 1970s -- no insulation, crowded together on postage-stamp lots, poor materials).  The state is infested with suburban sprawl and has 50-mile one-way commutes that people tolerate nowhere else. I can hardly imagine worse public policy on housing and even transportation.  



  

[You kip if you want to...]

I know we don't matter, but Obama has a 54 to 19% approval rating in the UK:
http://today.yougov.co.uk/politics/Brits-back-Barack

We're all just dirty socialists.

[Associate Justice PiT]

I know we don't matter, but Obama has a 54 to 19% approval rating in the UK:
http://today.yougov.co.uk/politics/Brits-back-Barack

We're all just dirty socialists.

     Not to mention dirty undecideds, seeing as how 27% of you were to indecisive to register an opinion.

[You kip if you want to...]

I know we don't matter, but Obama has a 54 to 19% approval rating in the UK:
http://today.yougov.co.uk/politics/Brits-back-Barack

We're all just dirty socialists.

     Not to mention dirty undecideds, seeing as how 27% of you were to indecisive to register an opinion.

We're just a woefully ill informed nation.

[Zarn]

I know we don't matter, but Obama has a 54 to 19% approval rating in the UK:
http://today.yougov.co.uk/politics/Brits-back-Barack

We're all just dirty socialists.

     Not to mention dirty undecideds, seeing as how 27% of you were to indecisive to register an opinion.

We're just a woefully ill informed nation.

Is that why you choose to complain about the weather?

[Ben Romney]

Obama is at 40%  by YouGov

http://www.facebook.com/l.php?u=http%3A%2F%2Fbig.assets.huffingtonpost.com%2F20101116.pdf&h=e8505

[Penelope]

Obama is at 40%  by YouGov

http://www.facebook.com/l.php?u=http%3A%2F%2Fbig.assets.huffingtonpost.com%2F20101116.pdf&h=e8505

Okay, we get it, you don't like Obama. This doesn't mean you have to go cherrypicking polls that have the lowest approval ratings for him.