The Official Obama Approval Ratings Thread
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Author Topic: The Official Obama Approval Ratings Thread  (Read 1206995 times)
Alcon
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« Reply #6525 on: October 17, 2010, 07:14:57 PM »

Washington Registered voters
http://www.washingtonpoll.org/results/oct15_2010.pdf

Obama: 52/45 favorable/unfavorable

A 45% unfavorable rating in Washington gets Obama to around 50% unfavorables nationwide with registered voters.

I like to cite favorable/unfavorable to dispute the liberal narrative that people still like Obama personally but only disapprove of his actions.

I imagine that, when asked if they have a "favorable opinion of President Obama," a significant chunk of people think job performance and not personality.  I know we call them "favorables" but I still think they're distinct from personal favorables.
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Poundingtherock
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« Reply #6526 on: October 17, 2010, 08:02:24 PM »

Couldn't you say that about anybody?
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Fmr President & Senator Polnut
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« Reply #6527 on: October 18, 2010, 12:52:53 AM »


Indeed you could, and it's probably correct there too in some cases...
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Alcon
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« Reply #6528 on: October 18, 2010, 04:23:48 AM »


I think that people would be more likely to think politically when asked about Barack Obama than, say, Arnold Schwarzenegger, or even Joe Manchin.  There are a lot of factors to consider about a politician -- political ideology, political performance, personal approval.  My only point was that "do you have a favorable opinion of ____?" is not explicitly a personal approval question, and various degrees of the former two inevitably enter it.  So, your conclusion doesn't follow as obviously as you were making it seem.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #6529 on: October 18, 2010, 08:28:41 AM »

Today (Rasmussen):

49% Approve (+2)
50% Disapprove (-2)
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J. J.
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« Reply #6530 on: October 18, 2010, 08:42:03 AM »

Today (Rasmussen):

49% Approve (+2)
50% Disapprove (-2)

I can't get it yet.  Sad
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J. J.
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« Reply #6531 on: October 18, 2010, 08:58:42 AM »

Up finally.

Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 49%, +2.

Disapprove 50%, -2.

"Strongly Approve" is at 28%, u.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 41%, -1.

In their description, Rasmussen notes Disapprove is at 51%, but their chart says 50%.  Typo or rounding?

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Citizen (The) Doctor
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« Reply #6532 on: October 18, 2010, 09:02:40 AM »

Up finally.

Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 49%, +2.

Disapprove 50%, -2.

"Strongly Approve" is at 28%, u.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 41%, -1.

In their description, Rasmussen notes Disapprove is at 51%, but their chart says 50%.  Typo or rounding?



I would say typo.  There's not much point in rounding out approval numbers.Tongue

Anybody think he'll break even tomorrow or over the course of the week?
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J. J.
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« Reply #6533 on: October 18, 2010, 09:24:38 AM »

Up finally.

Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 49%, +2.

Disapprove 50%, -2.

"Strongly Approve" is at 28%, u.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 41%, -1.

In their description, Rasmussen notes Disapprove is at 51%, but their chart says 50%.  Typo or rounding?



I would say typo.  There's not much point in rounding out approval numbers.Tongue

Anybody think he'll break even tomorrow or over the course of the week?

Well, which is the typo, the chart or the text?
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #6534 on: October 18, 2010, 09:26:56 AM »

I think probably an abnormally bad sample dropped off and was replaced by an abnormally good one.
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Phony Moderate
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« Reply #6535 on: October 18, 2010, 11:01:30 AM »

Swing back?
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #6536 on: October 18, 2010, 12:07:58 PM »

Gallup today:

46-46 (+2, -2)
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J. J.
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« Reply #6537 on: October 18, 2010, 12:28:50 PM »


Maybe.

Obama's numbers were obviously off the lows.  There has been some swing back.
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Dgov
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« Reply #6538 on: October 18, 2010, 06:36:22 PM »


Well, Obama's 4-point Gain a few days ago just screams "Really bad Obama sample replaced with really good one" so expect that one to come out and have his numbers fall back down a bit in a few days.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #6539 on: October 19, 2010, 09:08:19 AM »

It seems a very favorable Obama-sample has rolled in @ Rasmussen today (and yesterday):

49% Approve (nc)
50% Disapprove (nc)

30% Strongly Approve (+2)
40% Strongly Disapprove (-1)

This is the best index (-10) for Obama since August 8.
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J. J.
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« Reply #6540 on: October 19, 2010, 09:09:06 AM »

Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 49%, u.

Disapprove 50%, u. (possibly -1)

"Strongly Approve" is at 30%, +2.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 40%, -1.

Thursday and Friday should show the trend.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #6541 on: October 19, 2010, 12:05:05 PM »

Gallup goes up again today:

48% Approve (+2)
44% Disapprove (-2)

This is the best rating for Obama since mid July.
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J. J.
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« Reply #6542 on: October 20, 2010, 08:54:36 AM »


Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 47%, -2

Disapprove 52%, +2

"Strongly Approve" is at 30%, u.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 42%, +2.

Strange.  We should get a better idea by the weekend.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #6543 on: October 20, 2010, 12:04:04 PM »

Gallup also down today:

46-46 (-2, +2)
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Poundingtherock
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« Reply #6544 on: October 20, 2010, 12:37:31 PM »

We say and see the same thing every week.

He goes up on the weekends then comes back to reality on the weekdays.

We pretty much repeat everything we say as we did the last week.

New York has his favorables/unfavorables at 56/41 according to Siena.  Now, unlike the Washington Poll I cited, this poll is of likely voters so Obama could argue that his favorables are higher among registered voters.  HOwever, Siena's likely voter polling appears indistinguishable from registered voter polling.

This poll provides more evidence that Obama's unfavorable rating is at 50%.
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J. J.
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« Reply #6545 on: October 20, 2010, 02:49:08 PM »

We say and see the same thing every week.

He goes up on the weekends then comes back to reality on the weekdays.



Saturday's poll still showed Obama down by a lot.  It isn't a weekly cycle.
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Poundingtherock
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« Reply #6546 on: October 20, 2010, 07:34:38 PM »



Among registered voters:

Alaska: 36/59
Arkansas: 33/61
Ohio: 45/49
Florida: 43/50

I guess Obama would take these numbers considering that they would place him at around 49% disapproval and around 46% approval.  His numbers are 6-7 points from his win percentage with the exception of Alaska.  I didn't think I'd ever see the day where a Democrat would have a 33% approval rating in Arkansas.
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Poundingtherock
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« Reply #6547 on: October 20, 2010, 07:35:01 PM »

Those numbers come from this CNN poll

http://i2.cdn.turner.com/cnn/2010/images/10/20/topstate7.pdf
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Associate Justice PiT
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« Reply #6548 on: October 20, 2010, 09:41:53 PM »

     Interesting that he has slipped to 36% in Alaska. Even when his numbers were at their worst, his approval rating in Alaska was stubbornly clinging to the low 40s.
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Dgov
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« Reply #6549 on: October 21, 2010, 05:08:08 AM »

Obama's down to 44.7% Approval this quarter according to Gallup (Poll of adults)

He's also seeing a negative favorable rating for the first time (47-50), and by 39-54 Americans say he does not deserve re-election.

I'd love  to see these number put through the Gallup likely voter screen, but either way, this is bad news for Obama.

http://www.gallup.com/poll/143921/Obama-Approval-Rating-New-Low-Recent-Quarter.aspx
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