The Official Obama Approval Ratings Thread
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #5475 on: July 27, 2010, 07:00:41 AM »

Obamacare is more socialist than fascist. However, the mandate that forces you to buy the healthcare is indeed a fascist element.

Are you preparing to say that the requirement that people buy automotive liability insurance before driving a motor vehicle is "fascist"?

No one is forced to buy a car.

The huge problem with health care insurance is that it is a profiteering cartel. That is why a public option or a Medicare-like program would be better for all but owners and executives.
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #5476 on: July 27, 2010, 08:41:53 AM »

TN


30%-39%-Dark Dark Red
40%-44%- Dark Red
45-49%- Red
Under 50% approval but approval higher than disapproval- Yellow
50%-54%- Light Green
55%-59%- Green
60%+- Dark Green

Lookin' pretty

Incumbents usually make big gains during campaign season as they can't do when they are focused on governing.
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J. J.
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« Reply #5477 on: July 27, 2010, 09:31:42 AM »



Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 44%, -1.

Disapprove 56% +1.


"Strongly Approve" is at 25%, u.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 45%, +1.

Obama's numbers seem to have declined slightly.  In four out of the last five days, his Approve numbers have been below his Strongly Approve numbers.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #5478 on: July 27, 2010, 10:09:41 AM »

Side note: TN shouldn´t be included in your maps, because it´s an Excellent/Good etc. poll

New polls today:

Maryland (Gonzales Research)Sad 51-38

Alabama (Rasmussen)Sad 39-60

New Hampshire (PPP)Sad 49-47
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CatoMinor
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« Reply #5479 on: July 27, 2010, 10:19:48 AM »
« Edited: July 27, 2010, 10:30:12 AM by SE Gov. JBrase »

NH, MD, & AL


30%-39%-Dark Dark Red
40%-44%- Dark Red
45-49%- Red
Under 50% approval but approval higher than disapproval- Yellow
50%-54%- Light Green
55%-59%- Green
60%+- Dark Green
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #5480 on: July 27, 2010, 10:25:55 AM »

We´ll get some more numbers later today from Rasmussen and PPP:

* Colorado
* California
* Oregon
* Virginia
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CatoMinor
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« Reply #5481 on: July 27, 2010, 10:36:46 AM »

Obamacare is more socialist than fascist. However, the mandate that forces you to buy the healthcare is indeed a fascist element.

Are you preparing to say that the requirement that people buy automotive liability insurance before driving a motor vehicle is "fascist"?

No one is forced to buy a car.

The huge problem with health care insurance is that it is a profiteering cartel. That is why a public option or a Medicare-like program would be better for all but owners and executives.
Obviously we must punish those Bourgeoisie who dare to make a disgustingly evil 2-4% profit.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #5482 on: July 27, 2010, 11:26:05 AM »

Reuters/Ipsos:

48-48

1075 adults, 493 Democrats/Lean Democrats; 453 Republicans/Lean Republicans

http://www.ipsos-na.com/download/pr.aspx?id=9771
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #5483 on: July 27, 2010, 12:07:32 PM »

Virginia (Rasmussen)Sad 49-50
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change08
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« Reply #5484 on: July 27, 2010, 12:26:11 PM »

Side note: TN shouldn´t be included in your maps, because it´s an Excellent/Good etc. poll

New polls today:

Maryland (Gonzales Research)Sad 51-38

Alabama (Rasmussen)Sad 39-60

New Hampshire (PPP)Sad 49-47

Obama going from negative to positive. It's been a while.


Obama 4-5 points more than the national average... in Virginia?
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CatoMinor
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« Reply #5485 on: July 27, 2010, 12:47:11 PM »

CO & VA
CO: (Ras) 42/57
link


30%-39%-Dark Dark Red
40%-44%- Dark Red
45-49%- Red
Under 50% approval but approval higher than disapproval- Yellow
50%-54%- Light Green
55%-59%- Green
60%+- Dark Green
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #5486 on: July 27, 2010, 01:04:58 PM »

CA (PPP): 54-39

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_CA_727.pdf
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #5487 on: July 27, 2010, 01:09:02 PM »
« Edited: July 28, 2010, 08:09:23 AM by pbrower2a »

Colorado Survey of 500 Likely Voters
Conducted July 26, 2010
By Rasmussen Reports

1* How would you rate the job Barack Obama has been doing as President… do you strongly approve, somewhat approve, somewhat disapprove, or strongly disapprove of the job he’s been doing?

      

       29% Strongly approve

       13% Somewhat approve

         8% Somewhat disapprove

       49% Strongly disapprove

         0% Not sure

TN -- EGFP poll removed, NH, MD, VA updates.



Key:


<40% with Disapproval Higher: 40% Orange (50% if 60%-69% or higher disapproval, 90% if >70%)
40-43% with Disapproval Higher: 50% Yellow  
44% with Disapproval Higher: 40% Yellow  
45-49% with Disapproval Higher: 30% Yellow  
<50% with Approval Equal: 10% Yellow (really white)

<50%  Approval greater: 30% Green
50-55%: 40% Green
56-59%: 60% Green
60%+: 80% Green


Months (All polls are from 2010):

A -  January     G -  July
B -  February   H -  August
C -  March        I -  September
D -  April          J  -  October
E -  May           K -  November
F -   June         L -   December

C* -- March 2010, after the passage of Health Care Reform legislation in the House.

S - suspect poll (examples for such a qualification: strange crosstabs, likely inversion of the report (for inversions, only for polls above 55% or below 45%...  let's say Vermont 35% approval or Oklahoma 65% approval), or more than 10% undecided. Anyone who suggests that a poll is suspect must explain why it is suspect.

Partisan polls and polls for special interests (trade associations, labor unions, ethnic associations) are excluded.

Z- no recent poll

49 states have checked in since HCR legislation was passed in the House.  The exception is Montana among the states. DC has yet to be polled.





deep red                  Obama 10% margin or greater  144
medium red              Obama, 5-9.9% margin  74
pale red                   Obama, margin under 5% 111
white                        too close to call  6
pale blue                  Republican  under 5%  64
medium blue             Republican  5-9.9% margin  47
deep blue                 Republican over 10% 116
 

44% approval is roughly the break-even  point (50/50) for an incumbent's win.  I add 6% for approval between 40% and 46%, 5% at 46%, 4% between 47% and 50%, 3% for 51%, 2% for 52% or 53%, 1% for 54% and nothing above 55% or below 40% for an estimate of the vote.

 This model applies only to incumbents, who have plenty of advantages unless they are demonstrable failures.

......

Is the interstate polarization that so marked 2008 weakening?
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Nhoj
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« Reply #5488 on: July 27, 2010, 03:21:27 PM »
« Edited: July 27, 2010, 05:14:28 PM by آزادی برای ایران »

Apparently Brian Schweitzer is the Gov of VA.

Edit:looks like he fixed it now.
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Rowan
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« Reply #5489 on: July 27, 2010, 04:26:24 PM »

We´ll get some more numbers later today from Rasmussen and PPP:

* Colorado
* California
* Oregon
* Virginia

Where do you find (on Rasmussen) where it says he'll be polling next?

Go to the website and on the left it says "Sign Up For Free Daily Updates". Just enter your e-mail address and you will get an e-mail each morning. In the e-mail it has what he plans on releasing during the day.
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Donald Trump’s Toupée
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« Reply #5490 on: July 27, 2010, 08:37:46 PM »

Obamacare is more socialist than fascist. However, the mandate that forces you to buy the healthcare is indeed a fascist element.

Are you preparing to say that the requirement that people buy automotive liability insurance before driving a motor vehicle is "fascist"?


One issue is that people are being paid so poorly or are being worked (part time work only available) so that they cannot get medical insurance and that it is extremely expensive.
Another is that people in their fifties are being cast off because of the expense of medical insurance as a benefit.



But the Government can't require you to buy a car. That's the difference.
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #5491 on: July 27, 2010, 10:12:38 PM »

Obamacare is more socialist than fascist. However, the mandate that forces you to buy the healthcare is indeed a fascist element.

Are you preparing to say that the requirement that people buy automotive liability insurance before driving a motor vehicle is "fascist"?


One issue is that people are being paid so poorly or are being worked (part time work only available) so that they cannot get medical insurance and that it is extremely expensive.
Another is that people in their fifties are being cast off because of the expense of medical insurance as a benefit.



But the Government can't require you to buy a car. That's the difference.

Sure, but the government can establish transportation policies and building practices that all but necessitate access to a private automobile.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #5492 on: July 27, 2010, 11:58:59 PM »

Oregon (Rasmussen)Sad 48-52
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Donald Trump’s Toupée
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« Reply #5493 on: July 28, 2010, 12:45:54 AM »
« Edited: July 28, 2010, 12:48:50 AM by Mitt Romney's Hair »

Obamacare is more socialist than fascist. However, the mandate that forces you to buy the healthcare is indeed a fascist element.

Are you preparing to say that the requirement that people buy automotive liability insurance before driving a motor vehicle is "fascist"?


One issue is that people are being paid so poorly or are being worked (part time work only available) so that they cannot get medical insurance and that it is extremely expensive.
Another is that people in their fifties are being cast off because of the expense of medical insurance as a benefit.



But the Government can't require you to buy a car. That's the difference.

Sure, but the government can establish transportation policies and building practices that all but necessitate access to a private automobile.

Not really. I just got a job this week. I am in walking distance of my office. I will be walking every day. Wow. Did the government force me to buy a car? No. If they did force me to buy a car by threatening sanction otherwise, would that be unconstitutional? Yes. Hmm.....

And you miss the point, anyway. Can the government indirectly influence people as you suggest? Sure. But the mandate in the health care bill is DIRECTLY INFLUENCING PEOPLE. You lose the argument right there. So there's no need for me to carry on.

Stop trying to defend the once Messiah. He's fallen from grace -- and how!
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Sbane
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« Reply #5494 on: July 28, 2010, 01:02:06 AM »


So Obama has a lower approval rating in Oregon than in Virginia?
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J. J.
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« Reply #5495 on: July 28, 2010, 10:25:25 AM »




Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 46%, +2.

Disapprove 53%, -3 .


"Strongly Approve" is at 27%, +2.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 42%, -3.

A bit of a bounceback.
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #5496 on: July 28, 2010, 01:14:10 PM »


Apparently.

...

MONTANA (Rasmussen):

42% Approve
57% Disapprove

(Brian Schweitzer)

63% Approve
38% Disapprove

LINK
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #5497 on: July 28, 2010, 02:51:03 PM »
« Edited: July 28, 2010, 06:08:22 PM by pbrower2a »


CA, NV updates.

Montana is probably the only state with three electoral votes that could be interesting in the 2012 Presidential election. A nationwide campaign, if necessary for the political survival of President Obama, would make the state close.

Can Brian Schweitzer be that popular in Montana? I'm beginning to think of him as Presidential material.



Key:


<40% with Disapproval Higher: 40% Orange (50% if 60%-69% or higher disapproval, 90% if >70%)
40-43% with Disapproval Higher: 50% Yellow  
44% with Disapproval Higher: 40% Yellow  
45-49% with Disapproval Higher: 30% Yellow  
<50% with Approval Equal: 10% Yellow (really white)

<50%  Approval greater: 30% Green
50-55%: 40% Green
56-59%: 60% Green
60%+: 80% Green


Months (All polls are from 2010):

A -  January     G -  July
B -  February   H -  August
C -  March        I -  September
D -  April          J  -  October
E -  May           K -  November
F -   June         L -   December

C* -- March 2010, after the passage of Health Care Reform legislation in the House.

S - suspect poll (examples for such a qualification: strange crosstabs, likely inversion of the report (for inversions, only for polls above 55% or below 45%...  let's say Vermont 35% approval or Oklahoma 65% approval), or more than 10% undecided. Anyone who suggests that a poll is suspect must explain why it is suspect.

Partisan polls and polls for special interests (trade associations, labor unions, ethnic associations) are excluded.

Z- no recent poll

49 ALL states have checked in since HCR legislation was passed in the House. The exception is Montana among the states. DC has yet to be polled.





deep red                  Obama 10% margin or greater  144
medium red              Obama, 5-9.9% margin  74
pale red                   Obama, margin under 5% 111
white                        too close to call  0
pale blue                  Republican  under 5%  73
medium blue             Republican  5-9.9% margin  47
deep blue                 Republican over 10% 116
 

44% approval is roughly the break-even  point (50/50) for an incumbent's win.  I add 6% for approval between 40% and 46%, 5% at 46%, 4% between 47% and 50%, 3% for 51%, 2% for 52% or 53%, 1% for 54% and nothing above 55% or below 40% for an estimate of the vote.

 This model applies only to incumbents, who have plenty of advantages unless they are demonstrable failures.

......

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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #5498 on: July 28, 2010, 02:55:25 PM »

pbrower, in case you didn´t notice it, there was a recent Mason-Dixon Missouri poll:

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President No-I'm-The President
The Obamanation
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« Reply #5499 on: July 28, 2010, 03:03:49 PM »

Go ahead and give D.C. Obama, because D.C. always goes to the democrats. Even Reagan couldn't win there.
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