The Official Obama Approval Ratings Thread
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Author Topic: The Official Obama Approval Ratings Thread  (Read 1086249 times)
Sbane
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« Reply #4150 on: March 16, 2010, 01:24:36 AM »

I only take Rasmussen's approval numbers seriously. They are probably pushing the undecideds towards disapproval. Right now they are serving as a propaganda machine for the Republicans. By the time election season rolls around they will give us the "real" results (although I would take their approval numbers over any other pollsters).
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jfern
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« Reply #4151 on: March 16, 2010, 01:26:59 AM »

Strategic Vision is back !

Georgia:

37% Approve
50% Disapprove

The results are based on telephone interviews with 800 likely voters in Georgia, aged 18+, and conducted March 5-8, 2010 by telephone. The margin of sampling error is 3.5 percentage points.

http://www.strategicvision.biz/political/georgia_poll_031510.htm

7 is the 2nd most likely digit for them to end with, while 0 is the 5th most likely. 1 is the rarest, so they weren't so likely to give him a 51% disapproval rating.
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #4152 on: March 16, 2010, 07:35:02 AM »

Strategic Vision is back !

Georgia:

37% Approve
50% Disapprove

The results are based on telephone interviews with 800 likely voters in Georgia, aged 18+, and conducted March 5-8, 2010 by telephone. The margin of sampling error is 3.5 percentage points.

http://www.strategicvision.biz/political/georgia_poll_031510.htm

The huge gap between approval and disapproval indicates the uselessness of that poll. I'd have to show it with the letter "S" (spurious, suspicious, screwy, shady)... except that such would crowd out another and more reliable poll.

I will not use this one. 
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Small Business Owner of Any Repute
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« Reply #4153 on: March 16, 2010, 07:50:24 AM »
« Edited: March 16, 2010, 07:55:53 AM by Mr. Moderate »

Strategic Vision is back !

Georgia:

37% Approve
50% Disapprove

The results are based on telephone interviews with 800 likely voters in Georgia, aged 18+, and conducted March 5-8, 2010 by telephone. The margin of sampling error is 3.5 percentage points.

http://www.strategicvision.biz/political/georgia_poll_031510.htm

The huge gap between approval and disapproval indicates the uselessness of that poll. I'd have to show it with the letter "S" (spurious, suspicious, screwy, shady)... except that such would crowd out another and more reliable poll.

I will not use this one.  

I usually don't even post in this thread, but I just want to clarify for my own amusement: You don't want to include this SV poll of Georgia, showing Obama at a "huge" -13, because he couldn't possibly be underwater in Georgia?
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Badger
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« Reply #4154 on: March 16, 2010, 07:51:23 AM »

Strategic Vision is back !

Georgia:

37% Approve
50% Disapprove

The results are based on telephone interviews with 800 likely voters in Georgia, aged 18+, and conducted March 5-8, 2010 by telephone. The margin of sampling error is 3.5 percentage points.

http://www.strategicvision.biz/political/georgia_poll_031510.htm

The huge gap between approval and disapproval indicates the uselessness of that poll. I'd have to show it with the letter "S" (spurious, suspicious, screwy, shady)... except that such would crowd out another and more reliable poll.

I will not use this one. 

I'd reconsider, PBrower. 13% undecided is hardly out of line. It just indicates they don't pistol whip undecideds to leaning the way Scotty apparantly does with his "0% undecided" results. Nor are these numbers overall particularly out of line for GA.

And thank you all for sparing the ubiquitous "of course he'll exclude it cause it's bad for Obama and he's a hack" response.
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J. J.
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« Reply #4155 on: March 16, 2010, 09:26:43 AM »




Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 45%

Disapprove 54%

Both unchanged.


"Strongly Approve" is at 25%, -1.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 43%, +1.

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Oakvale
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« Reply #4156 on: March 16, 2010, 10:11:15 AM »

Strategic Vision is back !

Georgia:

37% Approve
50% Disapprove

The results are based on telephone interviews with 800 likely voters in Georgia, aged 18+, and conducted March 5-8, 2010 by telephone. The margin of sampling error is 3.5 percentage points.

http://www.strategicvision.biz/political/georgia_poll_031510.htm

The huge gap between approval and disapproval indicates the uselessness of that poll. I'd have to show it with the letter "S" (spurious, suspicious, screwy, shady)... except that such would crowd out another and more reliable poll.

I will not use this one. 

I'd reconsider, PBrower. 13% undecided is hardly out of line. It just indicates they don't pistol whip undecideds to leaning the way Scotty apparantly does with his "0% undecided" results. Nor are these numbers overall particularly out of line for GA.

And thank you all for sparing the ubiquitous "of course he'll exclude it cause it's bad for Obama and he's a hack" response.

Mainly because Strategic Vision tends to, uh, make up poll results. Literally.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #4157 on: March 16, 2010, 10:19:47 AM »

California (Rasmussen)Sad

58% Approve
42% Disapprove

This telephone survey of 500 Likely Voters in California was conducted by Rasmussen Reports on March 11, 2010. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections2/election_2010/election_2010_senate_elections/california/toplines/toplines_2010_california_senate_march_11_2010
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #4158 on: March 16, 2010, 10:46:46 AM »

Strategic Vision is back !

Georgia:

37% Approve
50% Disapprove

The results are based on telephone interviews with 800 likely voters in Georgia, aged 18+, and conducted March 5-8, 2010 by telephone. The margin of sampling error is 3.5 percentage points.

http://www.strategicvision.biz/political/georgia_poll_031510.htm

The huge gap between approval and disapproval indicates the uselessness of that poll. I'd have to show it with the letter "S" (spurious, suspicious, screwy, shady)... except that such would crowd out another and more reliable poll.

I will not use this one.  

I usually don't even post in this thread, but I just want to clarify for my own amusement: You don't want to include this SV poll of Georgia, showing Obama at a "huge" -13, because he couldn't possibly be underwater in Georgia?

Strategic Vision is now also - for the first time ever - publishing crosstabs:

https://docs.google.com/leaf?id=0B_KEK8-LWmzhMWQ1YmZhYzMtMmQ0ZC00MDRiLTk4NGQtOWZiZjhmZWVkYWU4&hl=en

Interestingly, 22% of GA Blacks are undecided about Obama`s approval, while just 8% of Whites are.
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #4159 on: March 16, 2010, 01:03:49 PM »

55 electoral votes, and a new poll:



Key:


<40% with Disapproval Higher: 40% Orange (50% if 60% or higher disapproval)
40-44% with Disapproval Higher: 50% Yellow  
45-49% with Disapproval Higher: 30% Yellow
<50% with Approval Equal: 10% Yellow (really white)

<50%  Approval greater: 30% Green
50-55%: 40% Green
56-60%: 60% Green
>60%: 80% Green


Months:

A -  January     G -  July
B -  February   H -  August
C -  March        I -  September
D -  April          J  -  October
E -  May           K -  November
F -   June         L -   December

S - suspect poll (examples for such a qualification: strange crosstabs, likely inversion of the report (for inversions, only for polls above 55% or below 45%...  let's say Vermont 35% approval or Oklahoma 65% approval), and more than 10% undecided. Anyone who suggests that a poll is suspect must explain why it is suspect.

Z- no recent poll (maximum 180 days) before December 1, 2009 except Montana (November 2009), which rarely gets polled.
 
Now for the anticlimax: it's California, great place to visit, but the political life is dull in contrast to some place that really draws attention -- like Ohio.

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J. J.
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« Reply #4160 on: March 17, 2010, 08:42:08 AM »



Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 44% (-1)

Disapprove 55% (+1)


"Strongly Approve" is at 24%, -1.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 42%, -1.

Basically, BHO's numbers have been stable, except for his strongly approve number which has shown a 13 point range since the first of February.


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MArepublican
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« Reply #4161 on: March 17, 2010, 12:09:02 PM »

Gallup for the first time has Obama negative
46 aprrove
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Zarn
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« Reply #4162 on: March 17, 2010, 12:38:24 PM »

Gallup for the first time has Obama negative
46 aprrove

47 Disapprove

Obviously, Gallup is a hack pollster run secretly by Rasmussen Reports who are a puppet of Fox, who are a puppet of the Republican Party, who are a puppet of the 'States Rights' Movement, who are a puppet of the Ku Klux Klan, who are a puppet of massive corporations that benefit from picking on the little guy, who want to reinstate slavery.

Don't fall for this pro-slavery propaganda!!!
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change08
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« Reply #4163 on: March 17, 2010, 12:43:05 PM »

Gallup for the first time has Obama negative
46 aprrove

47 Disapprove

Obviously, Gallup is a hack pollster run secretly by Rasmussen Reports who are a puppet of Fox, who are a puppet of the Republican Party, who are a puppet of the 'States Rights' Movement, who are a puppet of the Ku Klux Klan, who are a puppet of massive corporations that benefit from picking on the little guy, who want to reinstate slavery.

Don't fall for this pro-slavery propaganda!!!

True dat.
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Zarn
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« Reply #4164 on: March 17, 2010, 12:56:46 PM »

Problem is some might actually believe it.
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J. J.
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« Reply #4165 on: March 17, 2010, 01:34:54 PM »

Gallup for the first time has Obama negative
46 aprrove

47 Disapprove

Obviously, Gallup is a hack pollster run secretly by Rasmussen Reports who are a puppet of Fox, who are a puppet of the Republican Party, who are a puppet of the 'States Rights' Movement, who are a puppet of the Ku Klux Klan, who are a puppet of massive corporations that benefit from picking on the little guy, who want to reinstate slavery.

Don't fall for this pro-slavery propaganda!!!

You forgot to mention the Illuminati!

Actually, Obama's disapproval numbers have been consistently higher than Reagan's for the same point in time, and Reagan still had a higher approval than disapproval rate in March of 1982, on Gallup.

http://www.usatoday.com/news/washington/presidential-approval-tracker.htm
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Sbane
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« Reply #4166 on: March 17, 2010, 01:35:15 PM »

Problem is some might actually believe it.

Yeah Rasmussen's disapproval numbers are perfectly innocent. Roll Eyes Anyways his approval numbers are what matters. And when election time comes around, it will be Rasmussen polls that I trust.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #4167 on: March 17, 2010, 01:47:03 PM »

Pennsylvania (Rasmussen)Sad

48% Approve
51% Disapprove

This telephone survey of 1,000 Likely Voters in Pennsylvania was conducted by Rasmussen Reports March 15, 2010. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 3 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections2/election_2010/election_2010_senate_elections/pennsylvania/toplines/toplines_2010_pennsylvania_senate_march_15_2010
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Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
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« Reply #4168 on: March 17, 2010, 02:29:34 PM »

Obama favorable ratings in key swing districts according to GOP firm Ayres, McHenry & Associates (400 Likely Voters in each district, MoE=4.9%, March 8-10, 2010):

AZ-08: 47% Favorable, 48% Unfavorable (2008: McCain 52%, Obama 46%)

CO-04: 41% Favorable, 52% Unfavorable (2008: McCain 50%, Obama 49%)

FL-02: 39% Favorable, 55% Unfavorable (2008: McCain 54%, Obama 45%)

NC-08: 46% Favorable, 41% Unfavorable (2008: Obama 52%, McCain 47%)

NV-03: 46% Favorable, 50% Unfavorable (2008: Obama 55%, McCain 43%)

NY-24: 47% Favorable, 43% Unfavorable (2008: Obama 50%, McCain 48%)

OH-01: 47% Favorable, 46% Unfavorable (2008: Obama 55%, McCain 44%)

PA-04: 44% Favorable, 48% Unfavorable (2008: McCain 55%, Obama 44%)

TX-17: 36% Favorable, 54% Unfavorable (2008: McCain 67%, Obama 32%)

VA-02: 50% Favorable, 43% Unfavorable (2008: Obama 50%, McCain 48%)

http://innovation.cq.com/atlas/district_08
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #4169 on: March 17, 2010, 03:23:31 PM »

Pennsylvania checks in, category change:



Key:


<40% with Disapproval Higher: 40% Orange (50% if 60% or higher disapproval)
40-44% with Disapproval Higher: 50% Yellow  
45-49% with Disapproval Higher: 30% Yellow
<50% with Approval Equal: 10% Yellow (really white)

<50%  Approval greater: 30% Green
50-55%: 40% Green
56-60%: 60% Green
>60%: 80% Green


Months:

A -  January     G -  July
B -  February   H -  August
C -  March        I -  September
D -  April          J  -  October
E -  May           K -  November
F -   June         L -   December

S - suspect poll (examples for such a qualification: strange crosstabs, likely inversion of the report (for inversions, only for polls above 55% or below 45%...  let's say Vermont 35% approval or Oklahoma 65% approval), and more than 10% undecided. Anyone who suggests that a poll is suspect must explain why it is suspect.

Z- no recent poll (maximum 180 days) before December 1, 2009 except Montana (November 2009), which rarely gets polled.
 


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Badger
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« Reply #4170 on: March 17, 2010, 04:39:51 PM »

Strategic Vision is back !

Georgia:

37% Approve
50% Disapprove

The results are based on telephone interviews with 800 likely voters in Georgia, aged 18+, and conducted March 5-8, 2010 by telephone. The margin of sampling error is 3.5 percentage points.

http://www.strategicvision.biz/political/georgia_poll_031510.htm

The huge gap between approval and disapproval indicates the uselessness of that poll. I'd have to show it with the letter "S" (spurious, suspicious, screwy, shady)... except that such would crowd out another and more reliable poll.

I will not use this one.  

I usually don't even post in this thread, but I just want to clarify for my own amusement: You don't want to include this SV poll of Georgia, showing Obama at a "huge" -13, because he couldn't possibly be underwater in Georgia?

Strategic Vision is now also - for the first time ever - publishing crosstabs:

https://docs.google.com/leaf?id=0B_KEK8-LWmzhMWQ1YmZhYzMtMmQ0ZC00MDRiLTk4NGQtOWZiZjhmZWVkYWU4&hl=en

Interestingly, 22% of GA Blacks are undecided about Obama`s approval, while just 8% of Whites are.

"22% of GA blacks undecided"? I may've spoke too soon in support of this poll.
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J. J.
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« Reply #4171 on: March 17, 2010, 08:56:50 PM »

Strategic Vision is back !

Georgia:

37% Approve
50% Disapprove

The results are based on telephone interviews with 800 likely voters in Georgia, aged 18+, and conducted March 5-8, 2010 by telephone. The margin of sampling error is 3.5 percentage points.

http://www.strategicvision.biz/political/georgia_poll_031510.htm

The huge gap between approval and disapproval indicates the uselessness of that poll. I'd have to show it with the letter "S" (spurious, suspicious, screwy, shady)... except that such would crowd out another and more reliable poll.

I will not use this one.  

I usually don't even post in this thread, but I just want to clarify for my own amusement: You don't want to include this SV poll of Georgia, showing Obama at a "huge" -13, because he couldn't possibly be underwater in Georgia?

Strategic Vision is now also - for the first time ever - publishing crosstabs:

https://docs.google.com/leaf?id=0B_KEK8-LWmzhMWQ1YmZhYzMtMmQ0ZC00MDRiLTk4NGQtOWZiZjhmZWVkYWU4&hl=en

Interestingly, 22% of GA Blacks are undecided about Obama`s approval, while just 8% of Whites are.

"22% of GA blacks undecided"? I may've spoke too soon in support of this poll.

Obama is getting some criticism from the Black Caucus.  It could be the Uber liberal s in the Black community.
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J. J.
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« Reply #4172 on: March 18, 2010, 09:10:03 AM »





Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 45% (+1)

Disapprove 55%


"Strongly Approve" is at 23%, -1.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 43%, +1.


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Vepres
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« Reply #4173 on: March 18, 2010, 02:08:50 PM »

Obama's disapprovals are higher than his approvals for the first time in his Presidency on the RCP.com average.
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DariusNJ
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« Reply #4174 on: March 18, 2010, 02:50:55 PM »

Gallup also has him in negative territory, first time ever I believe.

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