The Official Obama Approval Ratings Thread

[Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee]

In Michigan Obama Approval Rating
55% Disapprove
44% Approve

Do you have a source?

Also, welcome to the forum

With numbers like that, it's probably a Rasmussen, Zogby or something.  I just have a hard time believing -11 in Michigan...

EPIC-MRI - a local Michigan poling company out of Lansing - I find them to be pretty accurate for election polling.  Not sure about approval rating polls though.

Ah, alright, thanks for the reference.  I've personally never heard of that polling agency.

They only do Michigan polls, but they're the main Michigan polling company (at least non-partisan company, that is).

I remember them from both 2006 and the 2008 Republican primaries.

[Queen Mum Inks.LWC]

In Michigan Obama Approval Rating
55% Disapprove
44% Approve

Do you have a source?

Also, welcome to the forum

With numbers like that, it's probably a Rasmussen, Zogby or something.  I just have a hard time believing -11 in Michigan...

EPIC-MRI - a local Michigan poling company out of Lansing - I find them to be pretty accurate for election polling.  Not sure about approval rating polls though.

Ah, alright, thanks for the reference.  I've personally never heard of that polling agency.

They only do Michigan polls, but they're the main Michigan polling company (at least non-partisan company, that is).

I remember them from both 2006 and the 2008 Republican primaries.

2006 primary for what?

[CJK]

Obama approval average for 2009 (gallup):

58% approve

34% disapprove

Trends for comparison:

Carter: 62/20 (1977)

Reagan: 57/28 (1981)

Bush I: 64/17 (1989)

Clinton: 49/41 (1993)

Bush II 56/31 (2001, before 9/11)

[Psychic Octopus]

The Michigan poll is probably an outlier, but Obama probably has net negatives there.

[Southern Senator North Carolina Yankee]

In Michigan Obama Approval Rating
55% Disapprove
44% Approve

Do you have a source?

Also, welcome to the forum

With numbers like that, it's probably a Rasmussen, Zogby or something.  I just have a hard time believing -11 in Michigan...

EPIC-MRI - a local Michigan poling company out of Lansing - I find them to be pretty accurate for election polling.  Not sure about approval rating polls though.

Ah, alright, thanks for the reference.  I've personally never heard of that polling agency.

They only do Michigan polls, but they're the main Michigan polling company (at least non-partisan company, that is).

I remember them from both 2006 and the 2008 Republican primaries.

2006 primary for what?

2006 midterms and the 2008 Republican Primaries.


That better?

[Associate Justice PiT]

In Michigan Obama Approval Rating
55% Disapprove
44% Approve

Do you have a source?

Also, welcome to the forum

With numbers like that, it's probably a Rasmussen, Zogby or something.  I just have a hard time believing -11 in Michigan...

EPIC-MRI - a local Michigan poling company out of Lansing - I find them to be pretty accurate for election polling.  Not sure about approval rating polls though.

Ah, alright, thanks for the reference.  I've personally never heard of that polling agency.

They only do Michigan polls, but they're the main Michigan polling company (at least non-partisan company, that is).

I remember them from both 2006 and the 2008 Republican primaries.

     Yeah I remember them too. They only poll one state, but they seem to be fairly prolific nevertheless.

[Tender Branson]

Massachusetts (Rasmussen)

57% Approve
42% Disapprove

(Gov. Deval Patrick)

41% Approve
57% Disapprove

This telephone survey of 500 Likely Voters in Massachusetts was conducted by Rasmussen Reports January 4, 2010. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections2/election_2010/election_2010_senate_elections/massachusetts/toplines/toplines_massachusetts_special_election_january_4_2010

[Tender Branson]

On the national level, Rasmussen now has him at:

49% Approve
51% Disapprove

His best rating since early December.

Don't know if the 5-point-increase has more to do with the holidays (people are more relaxed about politicians) or with the fact that Rasmussen was hammered in the news and now he`s "upping" the numbers to make them more in line with other polls.

[pbrower2a]

Massachusetts. First poll of 2010 (letter A) :



Colorado and Florida are averages. Louisiana is excellent-good-fair-poor.

Key:


<40% with Disapproval Higher: 70% Yellow (90% if 60% or higher disapproval)
40-44% with Disapproval Higher: 50% Yellow  
45-49% with Disapproval Higher: 30% Yellow
<50% with Approval Equal: 10% Yellow (really white)
<50%  Approval greater: 30% Green
51-55%: 40% Green
56-60%: 60% Green
>60%: 80% Green

Months:

A -  January     G -  July
B -  February   H -  August
C -  March        I -  September
D -  April          J  -  October
E -  May           K -  November
F -   June         L -   December

S - suspect poll (examples for such a qualification: strange crosstabs, likely inversion of the report (for inversions, only for polls above 55% or below 45%...  let's say Vermont 35% approval or Oklahoma 65% approval). Anyone who suggests that a poll is suspect must explain why it is suspect.

Z- no recent poll (maximum 180 days) before December 1, 2009 except Maryland and Montana (November), which rarely get polled.

[Rowan]

Updated with Massachusetts.

[GLPman]

Updated with Massachusetts.

Keep up the good work

[J. J.]

On the national level, Rasmussen now has him at:

49% Approve
51% Disapprove

His best rating since early December.

Don't know if the 5-point-increase has more to do with the holidays (people are more relaxed about politicians) or with the fact that Rasmussen was hammered in the news and now he`s "upping" the numbers to make them more in line with other polls.

Or, it is a band sample size.  I think some of those numbers, like the 56% disapproval were just a bad sample (which is the reason I didn't mention it).

[Kaine for Senate '18]

Keep up the good work

[Psychic Octopus]

Keep up the good work

[Psychic Octopus]

Personally, I used Pollster for polling. It actually has him at net-disapprove, somehow.

But, all Democrats should follow Rasmussen and all Republicans should follow Gallup.

[You kip if you want to...]

Connecticut - 54-38

PPP - http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_CT_106925424.pdf

[Rowan]

Connecticut gets a little lighter.

[Rowan]

AR(Rasmussen)

Approve 38%
Disapprove 61%

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections2/election_2010/election_2010_senate_elections/arkansas/toplines/toplines_2010_arkansas_senate_race_january_5_2010

No change to the color, just the date.

[Zarn]

I would like to see new NJ (I know I'm being a little greedy), WI, and NM polls.

IN and AZ, too.

I find the NC and VA situation rather interesting. If one was off, I would guess NC, because of the following: OH, MI, PA, WI, IA. I would not expect these states to all be so negative with NC being lukewarm. Same thing with AZ.

[pbrower2a]

I would like to see new NJ (I know I'm being a little greedy), WI, and NM polls.

IN and AZ, too.

I find the NC and VA situation rather interesting. If one was off, I would guess NC, because of the following: OH, MI, PA, WI, IA. I would not expect these states to all be so negative with NC being lukewarm. Same thing with AZ.

Obama seems to be doing unusually well in Louisiana and South Carolina; if those hold, then any Republican nominee will be in deep trouble.

I'd also like to see Florida, Georgia, and Tennessee as well. How about West Virginia?

Virginia negative for Obama and North Carolina positive? It could be a honeymoon for newly-elected GOP politicians in Virginia. Look how long Obama was sailing along with 60% approval ratings.

The screwy New Hampshire poll begs for a replacement.

I have just added another adjective for which "S" can apply -- "screwy".  

[Rowan]

Colorado(Rasmussen)

Approve 45%
Disapprove 54%

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections2/election_2010/election_2010_governor_elections/colorado/toplines/toplines_2010_colorado_governor_race_january_6_2010

Colorado becomes a little lighter. Slight improvement from the previous poll there.

[Rowan]

Connecticut(Rasmussen)

Approve 56%
Disapprove 43%

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections2/election_2010/election_2010_senate_elections/connecticut/toplines/toplines_election_2010_connecticut_senate_election_january_6_2010

Connecticut gets a little darker. The previous poll(PPP) had him at 54%.

[pbrower2a]

Small state, but lots of electoral votes for its minuscule area (Connecticut). Arkansas and Colorado updated with no real change:




Senator Chris Dodd announced his impending retirement, so apparently an iffy Democratic Senate seat becomes less vulnerable in 2010.

[Poundingtherock]

Daily Kos/Research 2K

Favorable/Unfavorable

Obama 40/55

Obama won almost 45% of the vote there.

[Poundingtherock]

Here's the link to the North Dakota poll:

http://www.dailykos.com/statepoll/2010/1/6/ND/421