The Official Obama Approval Ratings Thread
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Author Topic: The Official Obama Approval Ratings Thread  (Read 1206145 times)
Alexander Hamilton
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« Reply #2525 on: September 20, 2009, 05:48:28 AM »

Change your avatar. It would be for the best. Just ask Rowanbrandon how free he feels now.

Lol RowanBrandon is a joke. He's not a real Republican
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #2526 on: September 20, 2009, 07:00:54 AM »

Virginia (Washington Post):

53% Approve
47% Disapprove

Iowa (Des Moines Register):

53% Approve
41% Disapprove

Map revised:



Consider the Virginia result an average.
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Rowan
RowanBrandon
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« Reply #2527 on: September 20, 2009, 08:25:51 AM »

Hahaha, so you include the VA poll when it's positive but dismiss the NJ poll when it's negative. You sir are not just a moron, but a HACK.
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Kaine for Senate '18
benconstine
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« Reply #2528 on: September 20, 2009, 09:28:43 AM »


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Rowan
RowanBrandon
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« Reply #2529 on: September 20, 2009, 09:50:45 AM »


Uhh what? Where have I ever suggested that Obama is going to lose no matter what?
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Zarn
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« Reply #2530 on: September 20, 2009, 09:56:57 AM »

Change your avatar. It would be for the best. Just ask Rowanbrandon how free he feels now.

No, this is for Iran.
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Person Man
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« Reply #2531 on: September 20, 2009, 10:21:51 AM »

Change your avatar. It would be for the best. Just ask Rowanbrandon how free he feels now.

No, this is for Iran.
That's reasonable...for a while at least. I wonder where that Iran thing is going, anyway. I wounder how the first few months of the last revolution were reported. Is this thing eventually going to go away? Maybe if the rebellion gets put down/ the protesters get boreda nd Iran isn't developing nukes after all, maybe we should just go back to ignoring them if they are neither a threat or opportunity.
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #2532 on: September 20, 2009, 11:53:36 AM »

Hahaha, so you include the VA poll when it's positive but dismiss the NJ poll when it's negative. You sir are not just a moron, but a HACK.

The Virginia result comes from an average between a 49-50 and a 53-47 poll.

I maintain that an odd-year election has a significantly-different electorate than an even-year election. The NJ result that some ballyhoo won't likely hold. Show one after the gubernatorial election -- or show that the participation in the election is essentially the same as in 2008 in New Jersey, and I will "unfreeze"  the result.

I recognized recent polls in Wisconsin and Iowa that did not look good for Obama.  Those polls were valid. (So was the one that negated the Iowa poll that showed Obama in trouble there.

I see no difference between rejecting the recent poll in New Jersey and rejecting a poll commissioned by the NAACP or the NRA. Neither does polls, but you can just imagine what bias either would show.
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Rowan
RowanBrandon
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« Reply #2533 on: September 20, 2009, 11:54:36 AM »

Then why are you including ANY VA polls? Those are from a 2009 electorate. You are brain dead.
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #2534 on: September 20, 2009, 12:17:14 PM »

Then why are you including ANY VA polls? Those are from a 2009 electorate. You are brain dead.

Because they are consistent with 2008 and not with an incumbent trying to save a failing governorship.
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tmthforu94
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« Reply #2535 on: September 20, 2009, 12:28:19 PM »


The New Jersey poll relates to a gubernatorial race in 2010.  NH is a 50-50 tie; a lesser tie (let us say 49-49) would be white.

I'll ignore the fact that you posted that the governor race is in 2010...
So basically, from what I understand from how you determine this with the `09 Governor race states, if Obama's negative is higher than positive, it doesn't count because it refers to the 2009 election. BUT, if Obama has a positive rating, the poll is consistant with 2008.

Then why are you including ANY VA polls? Those are from a 2009 electorate. You are brain dead.

Because they are consistent with 2008 and not with an incumbent trying to save a failing governorship.
Are you seriously out of your mind? You are saying the New Jersey poll shouldn't count because they have a bad Governor. That is extremely ignorant. A lot of states have bad Democratic governors, so lets ignore those states too, since Obama will probably have bad approvals there.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #2536 on: September 20, 2009, 12:42:43 PM »

Virginia (Washington Post):

53% Approve
47% Disapprove

Iowa (Des Moines Register):

53% Approve
41% Disapprove

Not bad.
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Rowan
RowanBrandon
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« Reply #2537 on: September 20, 2009, 01:12:44 PM »

Then why are you including ANY VA polls? Those are from a 2009 electorate. You are brain dead.

Because they are consistent with 2008 and not with an incumbent trying to save a failing governorship.

LOL hack.
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Fmr. Pres. Duke
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« Reply #2538 on: September 20, 2009, 02:06:14 PM »

p2bower is now spinning himself in circles. None of what he is doing is making a lick of sense.
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Person Man
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« Reply #2539 on: September 20, 2009, 02:37:20 PM »

Basically, if we take everything at face value, and adjust Rasmussen numbers to comply with the field, this is what we get:

RCP Average: 53%
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Alcon
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« Reply #2540 on: September 20, 2009, 02:51:22 PM »

Hahaha, so you include the VA poll when it's positive but dismiss the NJ poll when it's negative. You sir are not just a moron, but a HACK.

For the third time, why are you advocating for the inclusion of a poll of likely 2009 voters?

Is the Virginia poll likely 2009 voters, too?  If not, why shouldn't it be inclusion?
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Rowan
RowanBrandon
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« Reply #2541 on: September 20, 2009, 03:39:03 PM »

Hahaha, so you include the VA poll when it's positive but dismiss the NJ poll when it's negative. You sir are not just a moron, but a HACK.

For the third time, why are you advocating for the inclusion of a poll of likely 2009 voters?

Is the Virginia poll likely 2009 voters, too?  If not, why shouldn't it be inclusion?

I just want consistency. You either include both VA and NJ polls, or neither. You can't include the VA simply because it's positive and exclude the NJ because it's negative.
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Alexander Hamilton
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« Reply #2542 on: September 20, 2009, 03:44:22 PM »

Hahaha, so you include the VA poll when it's positive but dismiss the NJ poll when it's negative. You sir are not just a moron, but a HACK.

For the third time, why are you advocating for the inclusion of a poll of likely 2009 voters?

Is the Virginia poll likely 2009 voters, too?  If not, why shouldn't it be inclusion?

I just want consistency. You either include both VA and NJ polls, or neither. You can't include the VA simply because it's positive and exclude the NJ because it's negative.

Pot calling the kettle black, hack. You are the blue avatar pbrower2
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tmthforu94
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« Reply #2543 on: September 20, 2009, 03:45:14 PM »

Hahaha, so you include the VA poll when it's positive but dismiss the NJ poll when it's negative. You sir are not just a moron, but a HACK.

For the third time, why are you advocating for the inclusion of a poll of likely 2009 voters?

Is the Virginia poll likely 2009 voters, too?  If not, why shouldn't it be inclusion?

I just want consistency. You either include both VA and NJ polls, or neither. You can't include the VA simply because it's positive and exclude the NJ because it's negative.

Pot calling the kettle black, hack. You are the blue avatar pbrower2
How is Rowan a hack? Because he is conservative and wants a good map on here?
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #2544 on: September 20, 2009, 03:47:51 PM »

Hahaha, so you include the VA poll when it's positive but dismiss the NJ poll when it's negative. You sir are not just a moron, but a HACK.

For the third time, why are you advocating for the inclusion of a poll of likely 2009 voters?

Is the Virginia poll likely 2009 voters, too?  If not, why shouldn't it be inclusion?

I just want consistency. You either include both VA and NJ polls, or neither. You can't include the VA simply because it's positive and exclude the NJ because it's negative.

Pot calling the kettle black, hack. You are the blue avatar pbrower2
How is Rowan a hack? Because he is conservative and wants a good map on here?

Try reading the point that Alcon made.
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Rowan
RowanBrandon
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« Reply #2545 on: September 20, 2009, 03:51:47 PM »

Hahaha, so you include the VA poll when it's positive but dismiss the NJ poll when it's negative. You sir are not just a moron, but a HACK.

For the third time, why are you advocating for the inclusion of a poll of likely 2009 voters?

Is the Virginia poll likely 2009 voters, too?  If not, why shouldn't it be inclusion?

I just want consistency. You either include both VA and NJ polls, or neither. You can't include the VA simply because it's positive and exclude the NJ because it's negative.

Pot calling the kettle black, hack. You are the blue avatar pbrower2
How is Rowan a hack? Because he is conservative and wants a good map on here?

Try reading the point that Alcon made.

Try reading my response.
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Alcon
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« Reply #2546 on: September 20, 2009, 05:28:19 PM »

Brandon is right.  The WaPo poll is of likely 2009 voters.  You should be consistent if you're going to dismiss the NJ poll for the same reason.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #2547 on: September 20, 2009, 05:56:30 PM »
« Edited: September 20, 2009, 06:00:32 PM by No Reply »

Neither of the polls should be used then, not both.
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Alexander Hamilton
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« Reply #2548 on: September 20, 2009, 06:01:18 PM »

Neither of the polls should be used then, not both.

Exactly
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Rowan
RowanBrandon
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« Reply #2549 on: September 20, 2009, 06:16:05 PM »

Neither of the polls should be used then, not both.

Which is the point I've been trying to make. It's about consistency. Smiley
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