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  Talk Elections
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  The Official Obama Approval Ratings Thread
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Author Topic: The Official Obama Approval Ratings Thread  (Read 1031139 times)
Psychic Octopus
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« Reply #1450 on: July 18, 2009, 11:11:41 pm »

I'd say his approval rating is in between the Gallup and Rasmussen numbers.

Yeah, i'd agree with that.
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benconstine
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« Reply #1451 on: July 18, 2009, 11:15:30 pm »

I'd say his approval rating is in between the Gallup and Rasmussen numbers.

Yeah, i'd agree with that.

Thirded, but that isn't exactly a surprise.
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Vepres
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« Reply #1452 on: July 18, 2009, 11:40:34 pm »

I say his approvals will be between 0% and 100%...
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Zarn
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« Reply #1453 on: July 19, 2009, 05:07:17 am »

I say his approvals will be between 0% and 100%...

I'm sorry. -3. We were looking for -3. Tongue
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Alcon
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« Reply #1454 on: July 19, 2009, 05:11:37 am »

I say his approvals will be between 0% and 100%...

I think you are too quick to discount the possibility that every single person in America approves/disapproves.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #1455 on: July 19, 2009, 08:37:18 am »

Rasmussen today:

51% Approve
49% Disapprove

Gallup yesterday:

60% Approve
33% Disapprove
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Zarn
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« Reply #1456 on: July 19, 2009, 08:53:46 am »

Gallup is showing higher than just about everyone else. They are the highest on the current RCP by 3 points.

Ras numbers are LV, so that's why they are low. The disapproval rating is higher from the machine polling, as well. I know it's been said before, but for some reason people keep forgetting.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #1457 on: July 19, 2009, 09:10:55 am »

Plus: A new Mason-Dickson Nevada poll of 400 RV will be out in the next few days ...
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change08
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« Reply #1458 on: July 19, 2009, 11:02:45 am »

Plus: A new Mason-Dickson Nevada poll of 400 RV will be out in the next few days ...

YAY for joke polling.
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Ronnie
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« Reply #1459 on: July 19, 2009, 11:49:29 am »
« Edited: July 19, 2009, 11:51:46 am by Ronnie »

Gallup is showing higher than just about everyone else. They are the highest on the current RCP by 3 points.

Ras numbers are LV, so that's why they are low. The disapproval rating is higher from the machine polling, as well. I know it's been said before, but for some reason people keep forgetting.

51-49 seems way too low for Obama's approval rating.  I'd say it's around 55-45 right but that's probably a very inaccurate guess on my part.
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Democratic Hawk
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« Reply #1460 on: July 19, 2009, 01:03:36 pm »

Gallup is showing higher than just about everyone else. They are the highest on the current RCP by 3 points.

Ras numbers are LV, so that's why they are low. The disapproval rating is higher from the machine polling, as well. I know it's been said before, but for some reason people keep forgetting.

51-49 seems way too low for Obama's approval rating.  I'd say it's around 55-45 right but that's probably a very inaccurate guess on my part.

Rasmussen is good in his election polling, but I'm not so sure about his approval ratings considering the strongly disapprove rating for Bush hovered around 45%, while exit polls showed Bush's approvals significantly lower than those of Rasmussen, so perhaps Obama's disapprovals are too high. Interestingly, his strongly disapproval rating about matches Bush's overall approval rating (post-Katrina, when they really began to hit the tank) so perhaps it's those who remained steadfastly supportive of Bush, who are most hostile to the president
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Zarn
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« Reply #1461 on: July 19, 2009, 01:27:39 pm »

Gallup is showing higher than just about everyone else. They are the highest on the current RCP by 3 points.

Ras numbers are LV, so that's why they are low. The disapproval rating is higher from the machine polling, as well. I know it's been said before, but for some reason people keep forgetting.

51-49 seems way too low for Obama's approval rating.  I'd say it's around 55-45 right but that's probably a very inaccurate guess on my part.

Rasmussen is good in his election polling, but I'm not so sure about his approval ratings considering the strongly disapprove rating for Bush hovered around 45%, while exit polls showed Bush's approvals significantly lower than those of Rasmussen, so perhaps Obama's disapprovals are too high. Interestingly, his strongly disapproval rating about matches Bush's overall approval rating (post-Katrina, when they really began to hit the tank) so perhaps it's those who remained steadfastly supportive of Bush, who are most hostile to the president

Nope. The ones mostly against him are the ones who think Bush was not much different, in the end.
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« Reply #1462 on: July 19, 2009, 07:13:34 pm »

If that's the case, then it's time for a 3rd party or independent candidate to run.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #1463 on: July 19, 2009, 11:53:32 pm »

Washington Post/ABC News Poll:

59% Approve (D: 90, I: 58, R: 20)
37% Disapprove

And views of Obama as a “tax-and-spend Democrat” – the perception that dogged Bill Clinton in his early days – have gained 11 points since March.

More than Clinton, though, Obama is following the early course charted by Ronald Reagan, the last president to take office in the teeth of a recession. Reagan’s job approval rating fell to 57 percent near his six-month mark; Obama’s is nearly the same, 59 percent in this ABC News/Washington Post poll, down 10 points from his springtime peak.

The bigger concern for Obama is what came next: Reagan weakened further as the economy struggled, bottoming out at 48 percent approval after his first year in office and 42 percent at the end of his second year, shortly after unemployment hit 10.8 percent, its highest since the 1940s. It’s 9.5 percent now.

...

METHODOLOGY – This ABC News/Washington Post poll was conducted by telephone July 15-18, 2009, among a random national sample of 1,001 adults, including landline and cell-phone-only respondents. Results for the full sample have a 3.5-point error margin.

http://abcnews.go.com/images/PollingUnit/1092a1ObamaatSixMonths.pdf
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #1464 on: July 20, 2009, 12:09:37 am »

SurveyUSA's monthly "adult" state polls will be released in the coming days, because they are usually conducted in the middle of each month.

It's very good that we have 2 "adult" national polls out (WaPo and Gallup), which show similar results (average of 59-35 between July 15-18), giving us a good baseline to compare the SUSA state polls with the national results.
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Alcon
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« Reply #1465 on: July 20, 2009, 12:11:58 am »

Plus: A new Mason-Dickson Nevada poll of 400 RV will be out in the next few days ...

YAY for joke polling.

God, the days when that would have been blasphemy... Sad
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #1466 on: July 20, 2009, 09:05:52 am »


gets even lower:

50% Approve
49% Disapprove

"The President earns approval from 41% of white voters, 97% of black voters, and 58% of all other voters."
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change08
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« Reply #1467 on: July 20, 2009, 09:15:46 am »


gets even lower:

50% Approve
49% Disapprove

"The President earns approval from 41% of white voters, 97% of black voters, and 58% of all other voters."

Net negative before the weeks out, but that goes without saying I guess.
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Farage
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« Reply #1468 on: July 20, 2009, 01:24:01 pm »

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/general_state_surveys/minnesota/toplines/toplines_minnesota_july_15_2009
Obama:
F-47
U-46
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Devilman88
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« Reply #1469 on: July 20, 2009, 01:33:28 pm »


No where on that link does it have the question of Obama's approval rating.
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Democratic Hawk
LucysBeau
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« Reply #1470 on: July 20, 2009, 01:45:10 pm »


8* Generally speaking, do you strongly favor, somewhat favor, somewhat oppose or strongly oppose the health care reform plan proposed by President Obama and the congressional Democrats?

28% Strongly favor
19% Somewhat favor
11% Somewhat oppose
35% Strongly oppose
6% Not sure

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CJK
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« Reply #1471 on: July 20, 2009, 04:32:07 pm »

Gallup tracking: 61% approve

USA Today/Gallup poll: 55% approve

http://www.usatoday.com/news/washington/2009-07-20-obama-poll-economy_N.htm

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change08
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« Reply #1472 on: July 20, 2009, 05:23:36 pm »


Silly question, but how can a poll show two different results from the same company...?
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #1473 on: July 20, 2009, 05:25:58 pm »


It's specifically on his health care proposals. Obama has a huge selling job to do.
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Democratic Hawk
LucysBeau
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« Reply #1474 on: July 20, 2009, 07:38:42 pm »


Agreed. First, he needs to forge a consensus among Democrats. No wonder confidence is slipping, if they cannot so much as form a group of two Roll Eyes. Republicans, no doubt, will be scratching around somewhere in that dogma of theirs but, all the while health care costs were rising, emaciating the middle class and having a detrimental impact on economic growth and job creation, I don't recall them doing anything about it. Nero fiddled while Rome burned, but the Republicans only snored

Still maybe the president is pushing the ideological comfort zone - and conservatives are spinning what is pragmatically center-left as radical left - but that is leadership Smiley. Any Tom, Dick or George the Inept can cut taxes, that's as easy as pie but raising them, however, modestly, to - shock horror - pay for what is needed takes bottle

The primary role of government is the welfare, and the national security, of its people - and it doesn't run on fresh air

I'll be honest bipartisanship looks and sounds good - and it can be good Smiley - but I have sore misgivings as to whether Republicans are any more rational than they were when Bush the Inept was running the show. It infuriates me the state of things he broke his neck to bequeath

Hell, to think that I was looking forward to quiet life once Obama was elected. So much for the post-ideological era. It won't work when only one side is looking for solutions while the other lot seem to be doing their damdest to encapsulate Einstein's definition of insanity - doing the same thing over and over, yet expecting different results
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