The Official Obama Approval Ratings Thread
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tmthforu94
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« Reply #1125 on: June 18, 2009, 12:36:08 PM »

National (CBS/NYT):

Obama (Job Approval):

Approve 63% (-); Disapprove 26% (-)

Foreign policy: Approve 59% (-); Disapprove 25% (-)
The threat of terrorism: Approve 57% (+2); Disapprove 24% (-4)
The economy: Approve 57% (+1); Disapprove 35% (+2)
Health care: Approve 44%; Disapprove 34%
Problems facing the auto industry: Approve 41%; Disapprove 46%

Views of the budget deficit:

41% say the government should spend money to stimulate the economy, even if it means increasing the deficit; 54% say the government should not spend money to stimulate the economy and should instead focus on reducing the deficit

30% say that the Obama administration has developed a clear strategy for dealing with the budget deficit; 60% say it has not

Democratic Party: Favorable 57% (+1); Unfavorable 32% (-2)
Republican Party: Favorable 28% (-3); Unfavorable 58% (-)

http://www.nytimes.com/2009/06/18/us/politics/18poll.html?_r=2&ref=politics

CBS/NYT interviewed 895 adults between June 12-16, 2009. Sample: Democrat 35% (-); Republican 24% (+4); Independent 31% (-5)
It's quite interesting that Obama's approval rating is higher than the issues, which proves that many Americans are "in love" with Obama, despite the fact they don't like what he's doing...
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #1126 on: June 18, 2009, 12:42:07 PM »

Apparently, there is a Pew poll coming out later that will show strong numbers for Obama.
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change08
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« Reply #1127 on: June 18, 2009, 12:49:56 PM »

Apparently, there is a Pew poll coming out later that will show strong numbers for Obama.

61-30

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Democratic Hawk
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« Reply #1128 on: June 18, 2009, 12:56:26 PM »

National (CBS/NYT):

Obama (Job Approval):

Approve 63% (-); Disapprove 26% (-)

Foreign policy: Approve 59% (-); Disapprove 25% (-)
The threat of terrorism: Approve 57% (+2); Disapprove 24% (-4)
The economy: Approve 57% (+1); Disapprove 35% (+2)
Health care: Approve 44%; Disapprove 34%
Problems facing the auto industry: Approve 41%; Disapprove 46%

Views of the budget deficit:

41% say the government should spend money to stimulate the economy, even if it means increasing the deficit; 54% say the government should not spend money to stimulate the economy and should instead focus on reducing the deficit

30% say that the Obama administration has developed a clear strategy for dealing with the budget deficit; 60% say it has not

Democratic Party: Favorable 57% (+1); Unfavorable 32% (-2)
Republican Party: Favorable 28% (-3); Unfavorable 58% (-)

http://www.nytimes.com/2009/06/18/us/politics/18poll.html?_r=2&ref=politics

CBS/NYT interviewed 895 adults between June 12-16, 2009. Sample: Democrat 35% (-); Republican 24% (+4); Independent 31% (-5)
It's quite interesting that Obama's approval rating is higher than the issues, which proves that many Americans are "in love" with Obama, despite the fact they don't like what he's doing...


The WSJ/NBC poll is even more telling on that score:

48% said they like the president personally and approve of most of his policies
27% said they like the president personally but disapprove of many of his policies

3% said they don't like the president personally but approve of many of his policies
16% said they don't like the president personally and disapprove of many of his policies
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #1129 on: June 18, 2009, 01:07:49 PM »

Pennsylvania (Rasmussen)Sad

60% Approve
39% Disapprove

This telephone survey of 800 Likely Voters was conducted by Rasmussen Reports June 16, 2009. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/election_2010/election_2010_state_toplines/pennsylvania/toplines_2010_pennsylvania_senate_election_june_16_2009
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #1130 on: June 18, 2009, 01:18:05 PM »

Virginia (R2000/DailyKos)Sad

56% Favorable
41% Unfavorable

The Research 2000 Virginia Poll was conducted from June 15 through June 17, 2009. A total of 600 likely voters who vote regularly in state elections were interviewed statewide by telephone.

http://www.dailykos.com/statepoll/2009/6/17/VA/310
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #1131 on: June 18, 2009, 01:23:50 PM »

His support is definitely softening a bit.
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Marokai Backbeat
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« Reply #1132 on: June 18, 2009, 01:39:45 PM »

Views of the budget deficit:

41% say the government should spend money to stimulate the economy, even if it means increasing the deficit; 54% say the government should not spend money to stimulate the economy and should instead focus on reducing the deficit

Yet again the American public shows it doesn't know what the f**k it's talking about.
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Lief 🗽
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« Reply #1133 on: June 18, 2009, 02:21:28 PM »

Views of the budget deficit:

41% say the government should spend money to stimulate the economy, even if it means increasing the deficit; 54% say the government should not spend money to stimulate the economy and should instead focus on reducing the deficit

Yet again the American public shows it doesn't know what the f**k it's talking about.

Yup. And then they'd start complaining when the economy cratered again. Idiots. Roll Eyes
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Vepres
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« Reply #1134 on: June 18, 2009, 04:19:16 PM »

Views of the budget deficit:

41% say the government should spend money to stimulate the economy, even if it means increasing the deficit; 54% say the government should not spend money to stimulate the economy and should instead focus on reducing the deficit

Yet again the American public shows it doesn't know what the f**k it's talking about.

The craziest part is the same poll showed approval of Obama's handling of the economy 57% to 35%.  But not for how he's handling it?  Hard to understand the contradiction.  Maybe people felt now that we've spent enough, we should hold off?  Or just people want no deficit, no taxes, and things that cost a lot of money.


Perhaps they like what he's done thus far, but want him to moderate now that the immediate crisis is over.
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Zarn
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« Reply #1135 on: June 18, 2009, 06:17:21 PM »

Perhaps, they are still trying to justify why he was elected?
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #1136 on: June 19, 2009, 09:05:57 AM »

Hawaii (R2000/DailyKos)Sad

68% Favorable
26% Unfavorable

The Research 2000 Hawaii Poll was conducted from June 15 through June 17, 2009. A total of 600 likely voters who vote regularly in state elections were interviewed statewide by telephone.

http://www.dailykos.com/statepoll/2009/6/17/HI/311
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #1137 on: June 19, 2009, 09:18:22 AM »
« Edited: June 19, 2009, 09:24:33 AM by pbrower2a »

One more state finally polled:



Yawn! It's Hawaii. No big surprise there. Don't wake me up for Vermont, Maine, DC, or Maryland.


(White is an exact tie, and Kansas is a huge surprise!)




Key:

GOP wins by 10% or more
GOP wins 5-9%
GOP wins up to 5%
tossup
Obama wins up to 5%
Obama wins 5-9%
Obama wins 10% or more


Because of Kentucky I am changing Arkansas to "Lean GOP".

 
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #1138 on: June 19, 2009, 09:27:03 AM »

Yawn! It's Hawaii. No big surprise there. Don't wake me up for Vermont, Maine, DC, or Maryland.

Actually I found a recent Maine poll by Critical Insights:

Do you have a favorable or unfavorable opinion of Barack Obama?

61% Favorable
25% Unfavorable

For the current wave of the study, Critical Insights completed a total of 601 random telephone interviews across the state between May 14, 2009 and May 20, 2009.

With a sample of 601 interviews, results presented here have an associated margin of error of ±3.4 percentage points at the 90% confidence level, or ±4.0 percentage points at the 95% confidence level.

All interviews were conducted with self-reported registered voters; final data was statistically weighted according to relevant demographics to reflect the voter base in Maine.

http://www.criticalinsights.com/assets/CriticalInsightsTrackingSurveySpring2009.pdf
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #1139 on: June 19, 2009, 10:47:40 AM »
« Edited: June 20, 2009, 03:26:39 PM by pbrower2a »

Maine added:




Eight states (VT, MD, MS, MT, ND, ID, WY, AK) and DC still unpolled, one only partially polled (NE), but the partial poll is interesting.  I assume that Maine's two congressional districts are fairly even, but if they aren't then one is 55% and the other is 65% or something like that.
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Zarn
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« Reply #1140 on: June 19, 2009, 12:04:23 PM »

Gallup (Adults):

58% Approve (-3) (Seems to be the lowest so far)
33% Disaprove (+1)
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Rowan
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« Reply #1141 on: June 19, 2009, 03:31:05 PM »

You shouldn't include polls in your map that ask for favorability instead of approval. It is usually purposely done that way to make the numbers higher.
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change08
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« Reply #1142 on: June 19, 2009, 04:34:03 PM »

You shouldn't include polls in your map that ask for favorability instead of approval. It is usually purposely done that way to make the numbers higher.

Yeah, favourability implies that pollsters are asking about how the responsdants like Obama personally, not job wise.
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Vepres
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« Reply #1143 on: June 19, 2009, 04:34:18 PM »

I'm still somewhat surprised by Obama's approvals in Colorado and Arizona.

I will be very interested in a Montana poll, they don't seem to like government spending there.
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5280
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« Reply #1144 on: June 19, 2009, 05:39:57 PM »

I'm still somewhat surprised by Obama's approvals in Colorado and Arizona.

I will be very interested in a Montana poll, they don't seem to like government spending there.
You would expect Obama is god in Colorado, but that's not the case.  I can't wait to see what the map looks like when all the polls are in.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #1145 on: June 19, 2009, 11:42:05 PM »

You shouldn't include polls in your map that ask for favorability instead of approval. It is usually purposely done that way to make the numbers higher.

Yeah, favourability implies that pollsters are asking about how the responsdants like Obama personally, not job wise.

Job approvals are just 2-3% lower than favorability ratings. So, in the case of Maine, where job approval was not asked and favorabilty is in the 60s, we can assume that approval is also above 50%. So we can include this as an exception.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #1146 on: June 19, 2009, 11:43:31 PM »

Michigan (Rasmussen, June 15)Sad

59% Approve
39% Disapprove

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/states_general/michigan/toplines/toplines_michigan_june_15_2009
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Sam Spade
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« Reply #1147 on: June 20, 2009, 11:15:29 AM »

Looks to me like that his job approval has moved down another 2-4 points from the holding pattern we've been in over the last three months.

The WSJ/NBC is a quality poll, folks, in that it weights its numbers enough that so you're not going to get the weird outliers you tend to get this time of the political season.

If you're trusting CBS/NYT for anything, you need to have your head examined.

The gap between computer-operated polls and phone-operated polls still exists.
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Rowan
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« Reply #1148 on: June 20, 2009, 12:51:07 PM »

This is interesting:

Editorial note: Gallup will not publish new Gallup Poll Daily tracking results Saturday, June 20. The next update will be Sunday, June 21.

I bet they got a word from Dear Leader. He didn’t like their results.
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Tender Branson
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« Reply #1149 on: June 20, 2009, 12:52:22 PM »

This is interesting:

Editorial note: Gallup will not publish new Gallup Poll Daily tracking results Saturday, June 20. The next update will be Sunday, June 21.

I bet they got a word from Dear Leader. He didn’t like their results.

Or Omaha was hit by a tornado once again ...
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