The Official Obama Approval Ratings Thread

[Earthling]

Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 48%, -2.

Disapprove 51%, +2.

"Strongly Approve" is at 28%, u.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at  41%, +1.

Wow, Bain, it is avalanche, in reverse, or it's just the bounce dropping out.

Or just a bad sample. Or just old Rasmussen doing his thing again.

[J. J.]

Does Rasmussen still have a R+4 sample?

It really makes no difference, since we are looking at changes in the same poll across time.  Any bias will be in a "good" Obama sample verses a "bad" Obama sample. 

[J. J.]

http://www.gallup.com/poll/124922/Presidential-Job-Approval-Center.aspx

Approve: 49%, -2

Disapprove: 42%, u

It is probably the bounce beginning to drop out.

[J. J.]

Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 48%, u.

Disapprove 52%, +1.

"Strongly Approve" is at 28%, u.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at  42%, +1.

I'd be waiting for Gallup to see it the "avalanche" is still rolling uphill. 

[SUSAN CRUSHBONE]

Does Rasmussen still have a R+4 sample?

It really makes no difference, since we are looking at changes in the same poll across time.  Any bias will be in a "good" Obama sample verses a "bad" Obama sample. 

IIRC, their September sample is R+4 while their previous samples were reasonable.

[J. J.]

http://www.gallup.com/poll/124922/Presidential-Job-Approval-Center.aspx

Approve: 49%,

Disapprove: 43%, +1

[J. J.]

Does Rasmussen still have a R+4 sample?

It really makes no difference, since we are looking at changes in the same poll across time.  Any bias will be in a "good" Obama sample verses a "bad" Obama sample. 

IIRC, their September sample is R+4 while their previous samples were reasonable.

Again, it should not make a difference internally to the polls.  I'm also not sure about any +4.

[Lief 🐋]

http://www.gallup.com/poll/124922/Presidential-Job-Approval-Center.aspx

Approve: 49%, -2

Disapprove: 43%, +1

No, his approval was 49% yesterday.

[J. J.]

http://www.gallup.com/poll/124922/Presidential-Job-Approval-Center.aspx

Approve: 49%, -2

Disapprove: 43%, +1

Thanks, I fixed it.

No, his approval was 49% yesterday.

[J. J.]

Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 49%, +1

Disapprove 50%, -2.

"Strongly Approve" is at 29%, +1.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at  42%, u.

The uphill avalanche might have stopped as well.

(I'll be photographing a parade this afternoon, so could someone else get Gallup's numbers.)

[Warren 4 Secretary of Everything]

Gallup Polling
Approval 49%, NC

Disapproval 45%, +2

[J. J.]

Gallup Polling
Approval 49%, NC

Disapproval 45%, +2

Thank you!

[J. J.]

Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 50%, +1

Disapprove 49%, -1.

"Strongly Approve" is at 29%, u.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at  42%, u.

That is close.

[J. J.]

http://www.gallup.com/poll/124922/Presidential-Job-Approval-Center.aspx

Approve: 50%, +1


Disapprove: 44%, -1

[Lief 🐋]

50% in both tracking polls, not bad.

[Sbane]

I guess we have to see over the next few days if it sticks. If it does, Romney is in huge trouble.

[J. J.]

50% in both tracking polls, not bad.

Actually, it is not great.  This is about 7-10 days after the DNC and there was no holding of the bounce.

[Lief 🐋]

^^lol

Anyway, your election rules already say that Romney has lost, so I don't know why we even need this thread anymore.

[J. J.]

^^lol

Anyway, your election rules already say that Romney has lost, so I don't know why we even need this thread anymore.

The corollary to J. J.'s First Rule is:  Never trust just one poll.  Trust several and remember that the electorate changes its mind quickly.

I'm looking at trending.

[Niemeyerite]

^^lol

Anyway, your election rules already say that Romney has lost, so I don't know why we even need this thread anymore.

The corollary to J. J.'s First Rule is:  Never trust just one poll.  Trust several and remember that the electorate changes its mind quickly.

I'm looking at trending.

Every poll has Obama leading.

[Lief 🐋]

^^lol

Anyway, your election rules already say that Romney has lost, so I don't know why we even need this thread anymore.

The corollary to J. J.'s First Rule is:  Never trust just one poll.  Trust several and remember that the electorate changes its mind quickly.

I'm looking at trending.

Oh so the rule doesn't count if the candidate you support says he doesn't look at/trust the polls. Gotcha.

[Clamdick McClaw]

Sorry J.J., but all I'm objectively seeing in the approval ratings and polls is a decent bounce that has only slightly eroded. 

[King]

lol JJ

[J. J.]

Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 49%, -1

Disapprove 50%, +1.

"Strongly Approve" is at 28%, -1.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at  43%, +1.

That is close.

[J. J.]

^^lol

Anyway, your election rules already say that Romney has lost, so I don't know why we even need this thread anymore.

The corollary to J. J.'s First Rule is:  Never trust just one poll.  Trust several and remember that the electorate changes its mind quickly.

I'm looking at trending.

Oh so the rule doesn't count if the candidate you support says he doesn't look at/trust the polls. Gotcha.

Well, by using the standard you used yesterday, Romney just won.