The Official Obama Approval Ratings Thread

[Politico]

I drink my OJ and JJ every morning for breakfast.

[SUSAN CRUSHBONE]

I drink my OJ and JJ every morning for breakfast.

Too much information, Politico.

[J. J.]

Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 45%, -1.

Disapprove 53%, u.

"Strongly Approve" is at 26%, u.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at  42%, u.

There is a fair chance there is is a bad sample in the mix.  If not we're seeing increased volatility.

I drink my OJ and JJ every morning for breakfast.

You would have had a late breakfast yesterday. 

[J. J.]

Gallup:  http://www.gallup.com/poll/113980/Gallup-Daily-Obama-Job-Approval.aspx

Approve:  43% -3

Disapprove:  51% +3


Two bad samples?

[J. J.]

Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 43%, -2.

Disapprove 54%, +1.

"Strongly Approve" is at 24%, -2.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at  44%, +2.

I still think it is a bad sample, but Obama should be up tomorrow or Monday if it is.

[HagridOfTheDeep]

Probably a bad sample, but it's starting to look a bit like people are legitimately percieving Obama's tactics as mean. Especially the cancer ad.

[J. J.]

Gallup:  http://www.gallup.com/poll/113980/Gallup-Daily-Obama-Job-Approval.aspx

Approve:  43% u

Disapprove:  50% -1

I'm still betting on a bad sample.

[Lief 🐋]

It's not so much "bad samples" as it is the fact that Gallup and Rasmussen aren't very good polling firms.

[J. J.]

It's not so much "bad samples" as it is the fact that Gallup and Rasmussen aren't very good polling firms.

Gallup tends to be better at the end and Rasmussen has been pretty good overall.  That is darn close to saying, "Don't look at the polls."

[Lief 🐋]

Yes, don't look at the polls that regularly have gigantic swings for no reason from week to week. Because that means they're probably bad polls.

[J. J.]

Yes, don't look at the polls that regularly have gigantic swings for no reason from week to week. Because that means they're probably bad polls.

It is unusual for both to be showing the same trend, i.e. two that show Obama down significantly.  It is about a 400 to 1 shot.

[Tender Branson]

With the 1st of 3 days in after the Ryan pick @ Rasmussen, Obama actually gaining because a bad sample is moving out:

45-53 Disapprove (+2, -1)

[J. J.]

Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 45%, +2.

Disapprove 53%, -1.

"Strongly Approve" is at 24%, u.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at  43%, -1.

Or maybe not a bad sample?

[J. J.]

Gallup:  http://www.gallup.com/poll/113980/Gallup-Daily-Obama-Job-Approval.aspx

Approve:  43% u

Disapprove:  50% u

[Tender Branson]

Let us not forget that Gallup was the company who predicted a GOP+17 win in the Congressional ballot in their final poll ahead of the 2010 elections. The GOP won by 6 (50-44).

[J. J.]

Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 45%, u.

Disapprove 53%, u.

"Strongly Approve" is at 23%, -1.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at  44%, +1.

Not a bad sample.

[J. J.]

Gallup:  http://www.gallup.com/poll/113980/Gallup-Daily-Obama-Job-Approval.aspx

Approve:  45% +2

Disapprove:  48% -2

[J. J.]

Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 48%, +3.

Disapprove 52%, -1.

"Strongly Approve" is at 24%, +1.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at  43%, -1.

[RogueBeaver]

Gallup daily tracker

Disapprove: 49% (+1)
Approve: 45% (u)

[Phony Moderate]

Obama's approvals are just as static as Bush's were in 2004.

[J. J.]

Obama's approvals are just as static as Bush's were in 2004.

Actually, G W Bush had hit his low in early May 2008 and was improving by this point.  He was at 52%.

[J. J.]

Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 47%, -1.

Disapprove 52%, u.

"Strongly Approve" is at 24%, u.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at  43%, u.

[J. J.]

http://www.gallup.com/poll/124922/Presidential-Job-Approval-Center.aspx

Approve: 45% (u)

Disapprove: 49% (u)

[J. J.]

Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 48%, +1.

Disapprove 51%, -1.

"Strongly Approve" is at 25%, +1.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at  42%, -1.

[RogueBeaver]

Gallup

Disapprove 50% (+1)

Approve 44% (-1)