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  Talk Elections
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  The Official Obama Approval Ratings Thread
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Author Topic: The Official Obama Approval Ratings Thread  (Read 1030905 times)
When Tables Deserve To Die
The Obamanation
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« Reply #7750 on: May 01, 2011, 10:36:50 pm »

Since Bin Ladden is dead, his ratings will improve.
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Small Business Owner of Any Repute
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« Reply #7751 on: May 01, 2011, 10:38:09 pm »

Since Bin Ladden is dead, his ratings will improve.

good job
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #7752 on: May 01, 2011, 10:47:02 pm »

Since Bin Ladden is dead, his ratings will improve.

Ya think?
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change08
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« Reply #7753 on: May 02, 2011, 01:31:14 am »

I expect a bounce... Wink
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #7754 on: May 02, 2011, 09:33:35 am »

http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/obama_administration/daily_presidential_tracking_poll

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Not too bad. This is not the Bounce.

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Capitan Zapp Brannigan
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« Reply #7755 on: May 02, 2011, 10:00:40 am »

The. Rass numbers could be the birth certificate or WHCD.
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #7756 on: May 02, 2011, 10:51:20 am »

The. Rass numbers could be the birth certificate or WHCD.

It could be the swift and effective response to the tornadoes in the South.
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Clamdick McClaw
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« Reply #7757 on: May 02, 2011, 12:18:57 pm »

We should have a contest... what's the bounce going to peak at?  I say 59%. 
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Mehmentum
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« Reply #7758 on: May 02, 2011, 12:20:34 pm »

http://www.gallup.com/home.aspx
Gallup-
Approve: 46% (u)
Dissaprove: 45% (-1)

This too, is pre- bounce.

Also, I'll bet 56% on Gallup.
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Angry_Weasel
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« Reply #7759 on: May 02, 2011, 12:53:32 pm »

High 50s....I am guessing it undid the damage caused by being upset that Obama took a nuanced action on Libya when no one knew what to do. Obama's goal should be to get the momentum going into the 2012 campaign...if there's no big disaster or war AND more people go back to work, he could be able to do that. IF he has a good six months...but when was the last time we had TRULY GOOD six months? (When we kicked Saddam's ass?) I mean Katrina, the Iraqi Civil War, the Foreclosures and as soon as people start trying to go back to work, Libya and Japan happens. 



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BlueSwan
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« Reply #7760 on: May 02, 2011, 01:00:46 pm »

I say mid-50's - if I had to pick a number then maybe 56%. I think prediction above 70% are quite ridiculous, but will happily eat my words if it happens.
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pbrower2a
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« Reply #7761 on: May 02, 2011, 01:09:27 pm »

I think somewhere in the middle-to-upper 50s... and it will stick.

There will be no effect on economic perceptions, but much else... more people are likely to see President Obama as a stickler for protocol and legal niceties, and that such -- even if inconvenient -- gets better results than slipshod efforts, whether in diplomacy, dealing with natural disasters (tornadoes in Alabama -- and when you start hearing Republican politicians speak well of the President on that, you know that he is doing fine), or organizing a lethal raid on a demonic enemy of everything American. 

There's just no downside to the death of Usama bin Laden.
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ZuWo
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« Reply #7762 on: May 02, 2011, 01:22:14 pm »

We should have a contest... what's the bounce going to peak at?  I say 59%. 

If the US really is as polarised as many people say (I can't judge myself whether that's the case) there will only be a moderate bounce, that's why I guess Obama's highest approval rating will be at around 55%.
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Niemeyerite
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« Reply #7763 on: May 02, 2011, 01:26:38 pm »

I think he'll be at 54% today. and maybe 58% tomorrow. next month, he'll return to 50-50 approvals.
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Smash255
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« Reply #7764 on: May 02, 2011, 01:30:27 pm »

62-65%, then drop back a bit, but settle higher than where he has been (mid 50's)
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #7765 on: May 02, 2011, 01:38:34 pm »

Anyone know when we should expect a Gallup (non-tracking) poll? Or anything else?
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Small Business Owner of Any Repute
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« Reply #7766 on: May 02, 2011, 01:40:39 pm »

I think somewhere in the middle-to-upper 50s... and it will stick.

There will be no effect on economic perceptions, but much else...

If nothing else, you have to admire how consistently wrong this guy can be.
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J. J.
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« Reply #7767 on: May 02, 2011, 02:06:09 pm »


Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 49%, -1.

Disapprove 49%, u.

"Strongly Approve" is at 25%, -1.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 37%, u.
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Penelope
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« Reply #7768 on: May 02, 2011, 02:07:07 pm »

We are sure to see a bounce tomorrow, most of these polls were likely taken prior to the announcement.
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Cory Booker
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« Reply #7769 on: May 02, 2011, 03:12:15 pm »

Bounce to 65%.  That will quickly dissipate, and by September he'll be underwater again.

And by then the surge in gas prices should be offset by the peak season ending and the economy should grow faster as well as a result, hopefully Obama will be where he should be at 51% in the polls.
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tmthforu94
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« Reply #7770 on: May 02, 2011, 03:20:05 pm »

It will peak around 65% later in the week. Just like after his inaugeration, it will slowly go down throughout the year, especially if gas prices remain high, and will likely be about where it is now by September/October.
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Eraserhead
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« Reply #7771 on: May 02, 2011, 04:09:02 pm »

While his bounce will likely fade, I do think the "I'm the guy who had bin Laden killed" argument will be a powerful one when the next election comes around.
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change08
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« Reply #7772 on: May 02, 2011, 05:31:31 pm »

While his bounce will likely fade, I do think the "I'm the guy who had bin Laden killed" argument will be a powerful one when the next election comes around.

Sort've trumps any (no pun intended) "foreign policy credentials" that Governors Romney, Palin, Huckabee or Daniels might have, never mind Donald Trump. The only person who could challenge Obama on foreign policy is Huntsman.

And who thought anyone would be able to say that in November 2008? Wink
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Dgov
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« Reply #7773 on: May 02, 2011, 06:18:32 pm »

Gallup's Weekly tracking is up, though this is for last week up until Sunday, so it'll be good to compare a week from now:

In Short, not much change.  He went from 43-48 to 44-47 compared to last week, gaining 5 with the 65+ voters, Pure Independents and Conservative Democrats, down 5 with moderate Democrats, and no significant changes in any other category.

The only other interesting thing however is that the age spread is the lowest it's ever been--Under 30s give 46% approval (their lowest to date), while over 65s give 41% approval with everyone else in between.  Also, this is the 5th straight week that Obama's been under 60% approval from non-whites.

EDIT: Forgot the link

http://www.gallup.com/poll/124922/Presidential-Approval-Center.aspx
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Donald Trumpís Hair
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« Reply #7774 on: May 02, 2011, 06:30:04 pm »


There's just no downside to the death of Usama bin Laden.

Hate to say it, but there is. - Retaliatory attacks.....
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