The Official Obama Approval Ratings Thread

[Lief 🗽]

Maps for SS's all polls data (gray is no polls, yellow is a tie). The Ramussen only map looks pretty much the same, and the non-Rasmussen polls map is boring because half the states have no polls.

[Lief 🗽]

Surprisingly good PA numbers from Rass.

[Lief 🗽]

More of a decline in disapprovals. Approvals seem to be holding steady.

Same pattern in the Pollster.com average.

[Lief 🗽]

So, Obama's been stuck at about 50-50 for the last six months (at minimum).  What a surprise - I've been saying that myself.

FYI - there's a real reason why this is occurring.

Which is?

Be patient.

[Lief 🗽]

Yeah, he's doing better than Carter, Reagan and Clinton were.

[Lief 🗽]

Not bad, considering Obama got 32% of the vote there in 2008.

[Lief 🗽]

Aren't the Fox News polls simply Rasmussen polls that have been ordered by Fox?

Polling is a two-step business. Someone writes the poll questions, and then someone conducts the polls.

In both Rasmussen and Fox, the same people are conducting the polls, though different people are writing the questions. The "writing the questions" part is actually tricky business, and can dramatically swing the results of a poll one way or another.

That being said, this is just Pbrower being Pbrower. There's absolutely no reason to exclude Fox polls. He's just being his usual, cat drugged self.

Has Fox News released the questions they're asking with their polls?

[Lief 🗽]

Spade's favorite map creation - this is one of the more important maps I have that says a lot of 2010 (and possibly beyond).  It also says a lot about the Obama power base.

I think you've out Sam Spade'd yourself on this one.

[Lief 🗽]

Obama approval rating September 2010 (gallup):

45% Approve

47% Disapprove

Trends for comparison:

Carter: 45/39 (September 1978)

Reagan: 42/48 (September 1982)

Bush I: 72/18 (September 1990)

Clinton: 42/52 (September 1994)

Bush II: 67/28 (September 2002)

Interesting.

It's interesting that Carter and Reagan were in such similar positions in year 2, given their ultimate results.

Actually, Carter had lower disapproval numbers at this point.  I think that might be the key and it has been a long term trend with Obama.

Obama has lower disapprovals than Reagan and Clinton.

[Lief 🗽]

I think probably an abnormally bad sample dropped off and was replaced by an abnormally good one.

[Lief 🗽]

I'll be honest...Nevada and Colorado seem to be trending left.

I'm not certain Reid doesn't also beat Lowden and Tark or Bennett doesn't also beat Norton.

It looks like the West in general is moving to the left while the Midwest is moving heavily to the right.

The Northeast and South are what they are but there are some bright spots in both areas for the GOP and Dems (south carolina in the south and new hampshire in the north).

Seems like this state is trending left, and for the worst IMO. It'll be a messed up state in a few decades just watch, similar like CA and the leftcoast, runned to hell. It won't matter cause I'll find another place to move.

What I'd say the midwest and the rustbelts are trending right.

Right-wing, anti-tax policies are to blame for California's predicament.

[Lief 🗽]

I thought rasmussen was a total joke to you guys.  You need to make up your mind when Rasmussen releases his presidential election polls.

Rasmussen's national poll in 2008 was pretty spot on, if the exit polls are to be believed. It was his state polls were terrible. I don't know that that allows us to trust his national polls but not his state ones, but that's what I'll do, I guess.

[Lief 🗽]

SOTU bumps aren't actually a thing. Really Obama had as much of a chance of going down and he did going up after the speech:

[Lief 🗽]

You must be logged in to read this quote.

hahaha

[Lief 🗽]

pbrower goes back on ignore once again.

Favoring PPP over others is biased. You know PPP is a liberal leaning polling source right? Enough of the gibberish nonsense.

Wrong. PPP was one of the most accurate pollsters in 2010 and has a slight Republican bias.

[Lief 🗽]

Rasmussen is being moody.

Scott probably just wants to show people how unpopular those socialists in Wisconsin are making their socialist president among heartland Americans.

[Lief 🗽]

Obama's positive in Ohio again? Wow, the Republicans are really screwing up what ground they made up in the Midwest.

[Lief 🗽]

How many electoral votes does Berwick-Upon-Tweed have?

None.
But having a president who is well-liked internationally is an asset for any country.

Tell it Edvard Benes.

I very much doubt that the United States will be turned into a protectorate and have a significant amount of its territory annexed OR endure a communist coup any time soon.

[Lief 🗽]

Might as well cancel the election.

[Lief 🗽]

That's cool, but you also believe the Bradley Effect is a real thing, so I don't know how much worth I place in your assessment, especially considering that Obama has spent most of his life living and working in urban America.

[Lief 🗽]

Places Obama has lived:

Honolulu (Age 0-6)
Jakarta (6-10)
Honolulu (10-18)
Los Angeles (18-20)
New York City (20-24)
Chicago (24-27)
Cambridge, w/ Chicago in the summers (27-30)
Chicago (30-48)
Washington (48-present)

Cambridge isn't urban, I guess you can argue Honolulu isn't urban enough, but everywhere else on that list is clearly and unarguably urban. Most of those cities, actually, are more populated and more densely populated than the city you live in.

[Lief 🗽]

How the f is living in LA, NYC and Chicago from age 18-48 not "part of the urban experience"?! You realize those are the three most populous urban centers in the country right?!

[Lief 🗽]

So only people who live in the ghetto know what life in urban America is like. Okay bro, cool.

[Lief 🗽]

So only people who live in the ghetto know what life in urban America is like. Okay bro, cool.

The others tend to be Yuppies. 

Right, and those people aren't real American city dwellers so their experiences don't count. Got it.

[Lief 🗽]

J.J. can apparently predict the future now as well.