The Official Obama Approval Ratings Thread

[Badger]

That's why I hope we win 215 in the House and 50 in the senate. That allows us to blame Obama and not be blamed for stopping legislation with the help of a few "moderate" democrats. When being blamed the GOP can say if Obama's idea's are so great, then why did ppl in his own party vote against his agenda? Or maybe he is looking like Carter of 1980.

If by "ppl in his own party" you mean a handful of conservative Democratic members of the House (and not enough to defeat anything of note from passing), and Lieberman, Ben Nelson, and occassionally Lincoln Davis in the Senate (40 GOP votes plus any 1 of these = successful filibuster), then you are right.

[Badger]

Guys, it's true that there's no such thing as a "generic Republican" but let's not be complete asses about this.  The ghost of Theodore Roosevelt/the reincarnation of Ronald Reagan is not the only person who can defeat Obama.  To suggest otherwise is ludicrous.

True, but "generic Republican" (or Democrat), usually does better in polling then an actual flesh and blood (ergo fallible) candidate.

[Badger]

who has been reelected with a 44% approval rating since they started keeping track of that?

That's about where George W. Bush was in the spring of 2008. He won, if feebly, despite being a weak campaigner.

Freudian slip?

No. Just a plain, simple typo. 2004.

Dubya may have been dreadful, but he still won.

Well there's still controversy to that (with the Ohio factor)

That's true. I have the Robert Kennedy Jr. article from Rolling Stone, plus a scholarly analysis on which the article is based, here in my office. It discusses my county among others in my region, and I can rebut it's misconceptions line by line from local knowledge.

[Badger]

Arizona Republicans (Rasmussen)

10% Approve
88% Disapprove

This statewide telephone survey of 541 Likely GOP Voters in Arizona was conducted by Rasmussen Reports May 17, 2010. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 4 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.

Link

Damn, that sure won't do the Dems any good in the Southwest.  And to think some were actually hoping that the GOP would lose the seat in November.

Don`t worry, Obama got only 8% of Republicans in 2008 against McCain.

Yeah, I'm frankly surprised its as high as 10%. This is the AZ GOP we're talking about after all.

[Badger]

The 1st gives you the right to practice your religion not WHERE to practice your religion. Do you oppose zoning laws? Would you oppose putting a porn shop in a neighborhood next to an elementary school?

So in terms of impact on a community, "mosque" = "porn shop".

Thank you States, for being so open in exposing this issue as just plain anti-Muslim bigotry from the right.

"We conservatives know not all Muslims in America are al-Queda sympathizers, buuuuttttt......."

[Badger]

Ayres, McHenry & Associates (R) for Resurgent Republic:

53% Approve
44% Disapprove

55% Favorable
41% Unfavorable

This survey of 1000 registered voters was conducted January 12-16, 2011. Respondents were selected randomly from a random-digit-dialing sample including both cell phone and landline telephone numbers. All respondents confirmed that they are registered to vote in the county in which they live. Quotas were set for state, age, and race based on state registration and previous turnout. The party balance for the registered voters in the sample is 34 percent Democrat, 32 percent Independent, and 28 percent Republican.

http://www.resurgentrepublic.com/system/assets/353/original/RR_Jan_2011_Memo.pdf

http://www.resurgentrepublic.com/system/assets/354/original/RR_Jan_2011_Toplines_012011.pdf

Pretty damn good numbers from a Republican pollster.

[Badger]

Today we have Connecticut (Quinnipiac):

49% Approve
47% Disapprove

From March 1 - 7, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,693 registered voters with a margin of error of +/- 2.4 percentage points. Live interviewers call landlines and cell phones.

http://www.quinnipiac.edu/x1296.xml?ReleaseID=1565

That's... interesting.

Indeed. The lowest Obama approval rating Q-pac has recorded yet in CT. Though their last poll was in July.

The very few cross-tabs don't seem overly suspicious, FWIW, but I have a VERY hard time believing Obama's approval rating in CT is comparable to NC or slightly lower than nationwide.

[Badger]

Looks like Scotty realized last week his numbers were more "outlier" than "selling the narrative" and trimmed sails accordingly.

[Badger]

His approval has dropped like a rock in a bathtub the last few days. Not just Rasmussen either. Has to be from his Libya address.

After Dubya, any form of war looks unspeakably horrible to many American liberals.

If this war (let's not kid ourselves that it is anything else) is over quickly and decisively with a good result limited to an erratic dictator either in flight, in custody, or in a casket, then this is more like Grenada than Iraq.

So far I give 100% of the fault for the civil war in Libya to Muammar Qaddafi.

1.  It might be more the hypocrisy factor.  Obama was supposedly anti-war, and he's slowly entering one (though I can make the case he should).

2.  This won't be a short war.

No, J.J., Obama was never "anti-war". He opposed the Iraq War, and supported (supports) the Afghanistan War. In fact, he argued (and argues) that intervention in Iraq kept valuable resources--troops, material, funds, diplomatic and intelligence resources, and attention--diverted from the real war against the Taliban and Osama bin-Laden. In retrospect of the WMD hunt in Iraq and the Taliban's resurgence, he was not only entirely correct, but remarkably consistent.

We didn't elect a pacifist, J.J. The only voters who find "hypocrisy" in Obama's actions are the one's who can't distinguish between Obama and Kucinich and accordingly aren't about to vote for him in the first place.

[Badger]

Maybe some rebound from the budget impasse? I think it reminds people of the alternative of GOP rule. Few outside the tea party (and maybe some Democratic pollsters ) likes the idea of a shutdown.

[Badger]

no, what is going on is that is youre a Jimmy Carter type, one-off military successes dont really help you that much because few believe youre a strong war time leader and many think you are naive...at the other end of the spectrum, if you're a General Patton type, you get the full benefit of military success.

Obama is more like Carter than Patton, so he doesn't get much of a bump from a single event, even when he hits a home run....Bush43 was closer to Patton, so he got a bigger bump when Saddam was caught.

IMO

This entire post is pure 'point and laugh' hillarious.

[Badger]

Not in the urban America I live in; most of the folks here don't grand mommies that are bank vice presidents, a daddy with an advanced degree from Harvard, a mommy with a doctorate (okay, a silly one), or a step daddy that was an oil company executive... you get the point.

Obama's grandmother, a housewife when Obama moved in with them, took a job at the bank in Honolulu when Obama was in his mid-to-late teens because her husband was a busted insurance salesman, and worked her way to the vice-presidency of the bank later, something which you obviously begrudge.  Obama got nothing from his father but letters and a short visit when he was a boy.  Obama's mother married Soetero when he was still a student and when Obama was 6, and by the time he started working for an oil company, she left him and sent Obama to his grandparents when he was ten, so he didn't get much from that either.  I don't know what label I would give Obama in terms of class, but what's "fundamentally dishonest" is implying, as you do with the misleading characterization you spew above, that he was born in the lap of luxury.

But, whatever.  Obfuscating things is obviously your specialty, so I will let you go back to what you're good at, the daily reproduction of poll numbers.        

^^^^ this. I generally try to avoid "me too" posts (well, try to at least ), but your premise has crossed the line from silly to fantasy, J.J. Mock Obama's background as a community organizer vs. being a high-powered hedge fund manager as which is better background for being president and "helping" your "urban America", but give credit where reality dictates credit is due re: Obama's background and training.

For crissakes, dude, what would it take for you to say Obama is familiar with urban American? Getting beat in to the Rolling 60's Bloods?

[Badger]

I'm a big fan of your posts and the work you put into your maps.

However, don't you find them a little too good to be true?

Welcome to the forum, and meet pbrower, whom you just neatly summed up.

How is Obama going to win OH with the unemployment rate there nearly 10%? If he can't win OH, then forget about PA or IN.

With respect, PA will go (stay) with Obama long after Ohio might switch GOP.

[Badger]

CNN: 45/54.

http://politicalticker.blogs.cnn.com/2011/07/22/cnn-poll-drop-in-liberal-support-pushes-obama-approval-rating-down/

From the article:

"Looking at that figure another way, roughly one in four Americans who disapprove of the president say they feel that way because he's not been liberal enough."

And approximately 0-2% of those will vote for Romney or (especially) Bachmann. And not that much more will refuse to turn out when all is said and done.

[Badger]

Got to love the armchair experts in this thread Atlas.

Seriously. Outside the 3 or 4 actual professionals here, doesn't that constitute all of us?