The Official Obama Approval Ratings Thread

[Phony Moderate]

Rasmussen (22-08-2010)

48% Approve (+3)
51% Disapprove (-2)

25% Strongly Approve (nc)
42% Strongly Disapprove (-2)

The Bam Bounce!

[Phony Moderate]

Louisiana State Survey of 500 Likely Voters

Approve - 35%
Disapprove - 61%

By PPP

Key:


<40% with Disapproval Higher: 40% Orange (50% if 60%-69% or higher disapproval, 90% if >70%)
40-43% with Disapproval Higher: 50% Yellow  
44% with Disapproval Higher: 40% Yellow  
45-49% with Disapproval Higher: 30% Yellow  
<50% with Approval Equal: 10% Yellow (really white)
<50%  Approval greater: 30% Green
50-55%: 40% Green
56-59%: 60% Green
60%+: 80% Green
DC, what else could you expect?

Months (All polls are from 2010):

A -  January     G -  July
B -  February   H -  August
C -  March        I -  September
D -  April          J  -  October
E -  May           K -  November
F -   June         L -   December

 

S - suspect poll (examples for such a qualification: strange crosstabs, likely inversion of the report (for inversions, only for polls above 55% or below 45%...  let's say Vermont 35% approval or Oklahoma 65% approval), or more than 10% undecided. Anyone who suggests that a poll is suspect must explain why it is suspect.

Partisan polls and polls for special interests (trade associations, labor unions, ethnic associations) are excluded.

Z- no recent poll

MY CURRENT PREDICTION OF THE 2012 PRESIDENTIAL ELECTION:

[Phony Moderate]

Gallup:

Approve - 47% (+2)
Disapprove - 45% (-2)

[Phony Moderate]

Swing back?

[Phony Moderate]

Gallup is crazy today:

42% Approve (-4)
50% Disapprove (+4)

Must be one of the biggest Gallup one-day swings....ever.

[Phony Moderate]

Gallup:

Approve - 43% (NC)
Disapprove - 49% (+1)

[Phony Moderate]

And here comes ECR....

[Phony Moderate]

Yes, that poll is laughable.

So is any poll showing his  approval  rating positive.

lol

[Phony Moderate]

The newsweek poll is an obvious outlier, Mr. Cuomo.

A bit like you, then.

[Phony Moderate]

The newsweek poll is an obvious outlier, Mr. Cuomo.

A bit like you, then.

I certainly am an outlier here, Mr. Cuomo.  Have you taken a look at the endorsement map on the homepage of Atlas?  It's dominated by Democratic endorsements.  Simply being a Republican makes me an outlier on this left wing dominated site.

But that's not the only thing.  Not being a person who tracks someone's every move on Atlas every second (literally) using the Online Activity board also makes me an outlier from posters like yourself and others.

You seem be confused as to what the term "left wing" means.

[Phony Moderate]

FOX
Generic Ballot 50-37 R
Obama at 41%

Because, as we all know, FOX is an unbiased, completely trustworthy network.

Fox's polling outlet (which is done through other firms) is not at all unreasonable.

I'm sure they have a hand in how the numbers turn out.  They are a propaganda outlet not a news network. 

Get a clue.

lol

[Phony Moderate]

The strongly disapprove numbers seem a little low as well. It looks like views towards Obama are getting less polarized, which is an excellent sign for his re-election chances.

Actually his disapproval numbers are tending to be higher than previous presidents at the same point in time.

Of course no President in recent times has been so vilified so early and so vehemently. Before one bring up Dubya, he had yet to invade Iraq.

Please...spare us.  You get what you give out.  Obama vilified hardworking real Americans (not the eurocentric, one world crowd) before he even assumed power and went to a church for 20 years that spewed hatred of the country.  Bitter clingers...punish our enemies and reward our friends...flipping off both Hillary and McCain in speeches....soliloquies in his book about his hatred of whites...He is getting what he deserves, and he deserves yet more because he needs to feel the pain and anger he has caused this nation while he works to destroy it.  He needs all of the pain he has caused to be returned tenfold upon himself.  The sick thing though, is that he probably feeds off of the pain...like a monster does.  He enjoys it and it pleasures him to see so many people suffering.  Maybe we should lay off for that reason and deprive him such pleasure.

tl;dr

[Phony Moderate]

Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 4%, +1.

Disapprove 51%, -1.

"Strongly Approve" is at 24%, -1.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 39%, -1.

The all-time lowest approval rating for a U.S. President.

[Phony Moderate]

I don't understand - Obama is only leading Romney by 3 and Huckabee by 1, yet you're giving North Carolina a 5-9.9% shade.

You're still reading pbrower2a's posts, after all this time? 

I have it on ignore, but I do show it's posts from time to time for humor. Hundreds of tl;dr post's later, I still cannot understand it's method is for these maps, and I doubt many can.

Obama will win Ohio because he is a Christian and because Carter won it in 1976, also Reagan won it in 1980 because he was an athiest but Clinton won it in 1992 and 1996, therefore Bloomberg win win Florida in 2012 because Lieberman will be his running mate and Obama will win Pennsylvania because he supports universal healthcare but McCain won Arizona in 2008 because he has been a Senator there for years but Palin will win Texas narrowly and Obama will be re-elected.

[Phony Moderate]

Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 29%, -19

Disapprove 70%, +19.

"Strongly Approve" is at 26%, +1.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at 35%, -2.

Could be a bad sample. Come back tomorrow.

[Phony Moderate]

Gallup, meh:

Favorable: 41% +1

Unfavorable:  51% -1

No troughing yet.

Huh?

[Phony Moderate]

This isn't the President Forever results thread.

[Phony Moderate]

This is my "The economy has improved, unemployment drops to 8%, the R nominee is Perry/-not Rubio/-Romney, and we're not in a realignment" map:

lol

Well, you're right, it would probably be worse.

For the Republicans.

[Phony Moderate]

http://www.gallup.com/poll/149351/Obama-Job-Approval-Sinks-New-Lows-Among-Whites-Hispanics.aspx

Obama Approval Sinks to New Lows Among Whites, Hispanics


He also received term-low monthly job approval ratings from both Hispanics (48%) and whites (33%) and tied his lowest rating from blacks (84%).




33% among whites is McGovern territory, lol.

Well it's a good thing for Republicans that the racial demographics in 2012 will be identical those in 1972.

How do you propose that any President can be elected with 33% of the white vote in 2012?

I guess it's also a good thing for Republicans that approval ratings always exactly match the percentage of the vote.

[Phony Moderate]

Gallup:

Approve: 39, u

Disapprove:  52, -1

I kind of think it is a bad sample.  We should know by Sunday.

Where's the "meh"? 

[Phony Moderate]

He has a chance just like the Indianapolis Colts still have a chance of winning the Super Bowl this year.

Hey Peyton could come back, and they could go 9 in a row, and 9-7 could get them into the playoffs

And the economy could turn around, and Obamacare might actually save money, and ........

.....and you might finally get a girl

Fuck off.

[Phony Moderate]

He has a chance just like the Indianapolis Colts still have a chance of winning the Super Bowl this year.

Hey Peyton could come back, and they could go 9 in a row, and 9-7 could get them into the playoffs

And the economy could turn around, and Obamacare might actually save money, and ........

.....and you might finally get a girl

Fuck off.

You can't talk to me that way. I'm going to have to report you and your vulgar, virgin mouth to the dean. Unless of course you apologize to me right this instant. I'm not the type of person to hold grudges.

Ok, sorry.

[Phony Moderate]

but please try take into account how undecided voters have actually voted in elections

Yeah, they always vote for the non-incumbent. Just ask President Kerry.

[Phony Moderate]

Some sample approval ratings for George W. Bush in 2004:

3/1-7/04    TIPP/IBD/CSM    44    46
3/9-11/04    Amer. Res. Group    45    48    
3/29-4/3/04    TIPP/IBD/CSM    43    48
4/1-4/04    Pew    43    47    
4/8-9/04    Newsweek    41    55
4/19-5/12/04    Pew    44    44
5/3-4/04    Pew    44    48
5/3-6/04    Amer. Res. Group    45    49
5/11/04    CBS    44    49
5/13-14/04    Newsweek    42    52
5/18-24/04    Quinnipiac University    45    50
5/20-23/04    CBS    41    52

And so on. Bush had a 44-48 approval rating as late as Oct. 15 in the Pew and CBS/NYT polls.

http://webapps.ropercenter.uconn.edu/CFIDE/roper/presidential/webroot/presidential_rating_detail.cfm?allRate=True&presidentName=Bush#.T1UnRvVXOuI

Yeah, Tidewater_Wave's theory only works if you choose to view March as a benchmark. In May of 2004, Bush's approval ratings were almost exactly the same as Obama's current approval ratings.

[Phony Moderate]

Obama must have some of the most static approval ratings of any President. I mean, they haven't changed that much since about the end of 2009.