The Official Obama Approval Ratings Thread

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NBC/WSJ Obama Approval
Approve 56%
Disapprove 34%

http://s.wsj.net/public/resources/documents/WSJ-NBC_Poll090617.pdf

...Wow... and that's from NBC.

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Apparently, there is a Pew poll coming out later that will show strong numbers for Obama.

61-30

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You shouldn't include polls in your map that ask for favorability instead of approval. It is usually purposely done that way to make the numbers higher.

Yeah, favourability implies that pollsters are asking about how the responsdants like Obama personally, not job wise.

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This is interesting:

Editorial note: Gallup will not publish new Gallup Poll Daily tracking results Saturday, June 20. The next update will be Sunday, June 21.

I bet they got a word from Dear Leader. He didn’t like their results.

Dude, it's Saturday evening.
Go get some because you are starting to come apart.

^^^^^^^

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Does anyone have approval info for Presidents Carter, Reagan, Bush Sr, Clinton and Bush Jr from this point in their first term?

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Does anyone have approval info for Presidents Carter, Reagan, Bush Sr, Clinton and Bush Jr from this point in their first term?

According to Gallup: http://www.gallup.com/poll/116479/barack-obama-presidential-job-approval.aspx

Jimmy Carter 63% (June 1977)
Ronald Reagan 59% (June 1981)
George H. W. Bush 70% (June 1989)
Bill Clinton 41% (June 1993)
George W. Bush 54% (June 2001)

So it's very stupid to use approvals to guess if a president will be reelected at this point.

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when the economy turns around,

Evidence?

There hasn't really been an economic recovery yet, but I'd guess that there's a VERY strong chance that the economy will rebound in the next few years before 2012, enough to boost Obama's approval ratings no matter what they are (could be 20% or 80%).

If the economy is still in the crapper on November 6, 2012 Obamam doesnt even deserve the nomination.

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when the economy turns around,

Evidence?

There hasn't really been an economic recovery yet, but I'd guess that there's a VERY strong chance that the economy will rebound in the next few years before 2012, enough to boost Obama's approval ratings no matter what they are (could be 20% or 80%).

Who the hell cares about 2012?  Democrats need to be worried about 2010 right now. 

Yeah, I actually find it doubtful we'll make gains. But, look at '94, Republican landslide and Dole did terrible in '96. The midterms are a good guide, not always though. If we do well in 2010, it'll be because of Republican failings, not our success.

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when the economy turns around,

Evidence?

There hasn't really been an economic recovery yet, but I'd guess that there's a VERY strong chance that the economy will rebound in the next few years before 2012, enough to boost Obama's approval ratings no matter what they are (could be 20% or 80%).

Who the hell cares about 2012?  Democrats need to be worried about 2010 right now. 

Yeah, I actually find it doubtful we'll make gains. But, look at '94, Republican landslide and Dole did terrible in '96. The midterms are a good guide, not always though. If we do well in 2010, it'll be because of Republican failings, not our success.

Clinton beat Dole because he basically became a Republican, abandoning healthcare reform, and signing Welfare Reform and deregulation.  A Republican landslide in 2010 would likely wipe Democrats out of Congress for at least another 12 years. 

Then everybody would talk about how the Democratic party is dead, and how they've lost touch with America, blah, blah, blah.

Anyway, Republicans will make gains in 2010, but they will be hard pressed to take back either house of congress.

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Today's Gallup has Obama at 60-33. It was 57-35 yesterday.

Why does Gallup have these large random swings? This definitely isn't the first time.

On the moving average, a bad day 3 days ago is replaced by a good day today I guess.

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Texas (Texas Lyceum)

68% Approve
29% Disapprove

How the hell is that possible?

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FWIW, Gallup is back down to 57/35, tying the worst of his presidency.

Romney is obviously going to win in a landslide then I guess. :/

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keep underestimating Obama and you will regret It.

I agree. I can't remember how many times I thought during the campaign that he was out...

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Anyone have any numbers for what Bush and Clinton's approvals were at this point in their term? For comparison.

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CNN Poll:

61% approve, 37% disapprove

http://i.cdn.turner.com/cnn/2009/images/07/08/rel10j.pdf

...*waits for a response from a Republican*...

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from diageo's poll:

Looking ahead to 2012, if the presidential election were held today, would you
vote to reelect Barack Obama or would you like to see someone else become President?

Definitely Re-elect Obama 31%
Probably Re-elect Obama 12%
TOTAL RE-ELECT 43%
Probably Someone 6%
Definitely Someone 33%
TOTAL SOMEONE  39%
Too early to decide 13%
Don’t Know / Refused 6%

Too early to decide 13%

Hmm.

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Plus: A new Mason-Dickson Nevada poll of 400 RV will be out in the next few days ...

YAY for joke polling.

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Rasmussen today

gets even lower:

50% Approve
49% Disapprove

"The President earns approval from 41% of white voters, 97% of black voters, and 58% of all other voters."

Net negative before the weeks out, but that goes without saying I guess.

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Gallup tracking: 61% approve

USA Today/Gallup poll: 55% approve

http://www.usatoday.com/news/washington/2009-07-20-obama-poll-economy_N.htm

Silly question, but how can a poll show two different results from the same company...?

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Latest newsweek poll!!!

Obama approval:
approve- 69 pc
dissaprove-18 pc

Latest rass poll!!!

Obama approval:
Approve - 21%
Disapprove - 79%

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Latest newsweek poll!!!

Obama approval:
approve- 69 pc
dissaprove-18 pc

Latest rass poll!!!

Obama approval:
Approve - 21%
Disapprove - 79%

lol
but rasmussen polls are more fair than newsweek's

Of course, only the right leaning pollsters are ever fair...

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Latest newsweek poll!!!

Obama approval:
approve- 69 pc
dissaprove-18 pc

Latest rass poll!!!

Obama approval:
Approve - 21%
Disapprove - 79%

lol
but rasmussen polls are more fair than newsweek's

Of course, only the right leaning pollsters are ever fair...

OH GOD FORBID, OBAMA GETTING LOW RATINGS FROM ANY POLLS MEANS THAT THOSE POLLS ARE REPUBLICAN POLLS!

GROW UP!

Well considering Scott Rasmussen worked on Bush Jr's re-election campaign, i'm inclined to detect a slight right lean.

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PPP Louisiana:

Obama: 44% approve, 50% disapprove
74% of Dems approve, 30% of indeps approve, 12% of Reps approve
91% of AA's approve, 25% of whites approve

Landrieu: 43% approve, 43% disapprove

Jindal: 55% approve

Palin: 46% favorable, 42% unfavorable

Jindal vs Obama: Jindal 54, Obama 40

Palin vs Obama: Palin 49, Obama 42

http://www.publicpolicypolling.com/pdf/PPP_Release_Louisiana_722.pdf

Bad numbers for Palin considering it's Louisiana, one of the few states that swung GOP in '08. Obama's numbers are better than what I expected here.

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The first 2 states from SurveyUSA's monthly tracking have been released:

Missouri

55% Approve (+4)
42% Disapprove (-3)

Kansas

41% Approve (-8)
53% Disapprove (+4)

http://www.kctv5.com/news/20146837/detail.html

Good numbers from Missouri, and Kansas is to be expected I guess.

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For the record, Bush Jr's approvals on Gallup on  7/19-22/01 were 56/33 and Clinton's on 7/19-21/93 were 41/49. Obama's not doing disastrously bad by comparison, although President Bush's numbers held up through August and then, as we all know, shot up after 9/11.