Talk Elections
Forum
Contact
|
US Election Atlas
Election 2020
Election Results
Election Info
Atlas Wiki
Welcome,
Guest
. Please
login
or
register
.
Did you miss your
activation email?
March 04, 2021, 08:29:12 AM
Talk Elections
Election Archive
Election Archive
2012 Elections
The Official Obama Approval Ratings Thread
« previous
next »
Pages:
1
...
151
152
153
154
155
[
156
]
157
158
159
160
161
...
410
Author
Topic: The Official Obama Approval Ratings Thread (Read 1059676 times)
ConservativeIllini
Rookie
Posts: 104
Re: The Official Obama Approval Ratings Thread
«
Reply #3875 on:
February 15, 2010, 10:38:26 AM »
O at 51/48 in Washington per Rasmussen...these state polls are barely believable anymore, they are all extremely "flat"
http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections2/election_2010/election_2010_senate_elections/washington/election_2010_washington_senate
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
Posts: 57,449
Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
Re: The Official Obama Approval Ratings Thread
«
Reply #3876 on:
February 15, 2010, 01:38:24 PM »
Kalifornia (Rasmussen)
58% Approve
41% Disapprove
This telephone survey of 500 Likely Voters in California was conducted by Rasmussen Reports on February 11, 2010. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.
http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections2/election_2010/election_2010_senate_elections/california/toplines/toplines_2010_election_california_senate_election_february_11_2010
Logged
Rowan
RowanBrandon
Concerned Citizen
Posts: 6,692
Political Matrix
E: 1.94, S: 4.70
Re: The Official Obama Approval Ratings Thread
«
Reply #3877 on:
February 15, 2010, 06:20:09 PM »
Texas, Washington, and California updated.
30%-39%-Dark Dark Red
40%-44%- Dark Red
45-49%- Red
Under 50% approval but approval higher than disapproval- Yellow
50%-54%- Light Green
55%-59%- Green
60%+- Dark Green
Logged
J. J.
Atlas Superstar
Posts: 32,914
Re: The Official Obama Approval Ratings Thread
«
Reply #3878 on:
February 16, 2010, 11:00:11 AM »
On Rasmussen's
monthly
numbers, Obama bottomed in December and improved slightly in January.
http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/obama_administration/obama_approval_index_month_by_month
Logged
memphis
Atlas Icon
Posts: 15,990
Re: The Official Obama Approval Ratings Thread
«
Reply #3879 on:
February 16, 2010, 11:02:26 AM »
He's been doing better on gallup as well. Up to 53% now after being consistently below 50 for a while.
Logged
J. J.
Atlas Superstar
Posts: 32,914
Re: The Official Obama Approval Ratings Thread
«
Reply #3880 on:
February 16, 2010, 11:44:04 AM »
Quote from: memphis on February 16, 2010, 11:02:26 AM
He's been doing better on gallup as well. Up to 53% now after being consistently below 50 for a while.
Gallup has some problems, including some fairly wide swings. Rasmussen is has been uber stable.
Logged
memphis
Atlas Icon
Posts: 15,990
Re: The Official Obama Approval Ratings Thread
«
Reply #3881 on:
February 16, 2010, 12:49:53 PM »
Quote from: J. J. on February 16, 2010, 11:44:04 AM
Quote from: memphis on February 16, 2010, 11:02:26 AM
He's been doing better on gallup as well. Up to 53% now after being consistently below 50 for a while.
Gallup has some problems, including some fairly wide swings. Rasmussen is has been uber stable.
It has swung very little. It was in the high forties for a couple of weeks and has now been in the low fifties for about a week.
Logged
emotional hardcore
BRTD
Atlas Institution
Posts: 93,434
Political Matrix
E: -6.50, S: -6.67
Re: The Official Obama Approval Ratings Thread
«
Reply #3882 on:
February 16, 2010, 02:14:00 PM »
Quote from: J. J. on February 16, 2010, 11:44:04 AM
Quote from: memphis on February 16, 2010, 11:02:26 AM
He's been doing better on gallup as well. Up to 53% now after being consistently below 50 for a while.
Gallup has some problems, including some fairly wide swings. Rasmussen is has been uber stable.
The two use completely different methodologies. Rasmussen is always going to be more stable.
Logged
Mr. Morden
Atlas Legend
Posts: 42,753
Re: The Official Obama Approval Ratings Thread
«
Reply #3883 on:
February 16, 2010, 09:44:14 PM »
CNN/Opinion Research:
http://i2.cdn.turner.com/cnn/2010/images/02/16/rel4a.pdf
approve: 49%
disapprove: 50%
Does Obama deserve to be reelected?
yes 44%
no 52%
Logged
You kip if you want to...
change08
Concerned Citizen
Posts: 8,941
Re: The Official Obama Approval Ratings Thread
«
Reply #3884 on:
February 16, 2010, 10:02:39 PM »
Quote from: Mr. Morden on February 16, 2010, 09:44:14 PM
Does Obama deserve to be reelected?
yes 44%
no 52%
Those types of questions are redundant. Only match-ups with actual people matter.
Logged
ajc0918
Sr. Member
Posts: 2,533
Re: The Official Obama Approval Ratings Thread
«
Reply #3885 on:
February 16, 2010, 10:05:19 PM »
Quote from: change08 on February 16, 2010, 10:02:39 PM
Quote from: Mr. Morden on February 16, 2010, 09:44:14 PM
Does Obama deserve to be reelected?
yes 44%
no 52%
Those types of questions are redundant. Only match-ups with actual people matter.
Not really, I'm sure some people who disapprove of the way he is doing would still vote for him and vice versa.
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
Posts: 57,449
Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
Re: The Official Obama Approval Ratings Thread
«
Reply #3886 on:
February 17, 2010, 09:42:31 AM »
@ Rasmussen today:
50% Approve (+1)
50% Disapprove (-1)
Logged
J. J.
Atlas Superstar
Posts: 32,914
Re: The Official Obama Approval Ratings Thread
«
Reply #3887 on:
February 17, 2010, 10:02:29 AM »
Quote from: Tender Branson on February 17, 2010, 09:42:31 AM
@ Rasmussen today:
50% Approve (+1)
50% Disapprove (-1)
Up three points in two days.
It might be a bad sample size, but Obama is definitely off his lows of 12/09.
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
Posts: 57,449
Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
Re: The Official Obama Approval Ratings Thread
«
Reply #3888 on:
February 17, 2010, 11:33:39 AM »
A first look @ Oregon (Senate, President) today by Rasmussen. Should be out in the next hour.
Logged
pbrower2a
Atlas Star
Posts: 24,273
Re: The Official Obama Approval Ratings Thread
«
Reply #3889 on:
February 17, 2010, 11:54:31 AM »
Quote from: J. J. on February 17, 2010, 10:02:29 AM
Quote from: Tender Branson on February 17, 2010, 09:42:31 AM
@ Rasmussen today:
50% Approve (+1)
50% Disapprove (-1)
Up three points in two days.
It might be a bad sample size, but Obama is definitely off his lows of 12/09.
Actually, still within the margin of error (4%), but barely so. But 50-50 approval translates into about 53% at election time, which is a decisive (Obama 2008) win.
Changes in the approval ratings can reflect events. A heavily-publicized appearance (SOTU address or some other major speech) might have a transitory effect. A major good event (we shall see about Marja, Afghanistan) or a discreditable scandal would have a more lasting effect.
Should the US armed forces finish off the Taliban as a military force, then they will have undone one of the messes that George W. Bush left behind. If you want a good analogy, try the Korean "Conflict" that came to a veritable end when Dwight Eisenhower was President. No, Truman did nothing wrong, which explains how Truman ranks among the best ten Presidents and Dubya among the worst. Getting out of a nasty war gracefully was the top achievement of Dwight Eisenhower, and he is generally seen among the best ten Presidents in American history.
But I am ahead of myself. We still need a decisive conclusion in Afghanistan. All that President Obama may have done may have been to let the generals, admirals, and intelligence chiefs do what they do best with minimal interference and no personal grandstanding. That is the best that anyone without military experience could ever do.
.....
There will be fresh statewide polls, and if jumps appear in enough of them about five days from now, then something is afoot.
Graceful exits from Iraq and Afghanistan and a sound economy would win President Obama re-election in an Eisenhower-scale landslide even with weak or controversial legislation. Of course the job is far from complete.
Logged
Tender Branson
Mark Warner 08
Atlas Institution
Posts: 57,449
Political Matrix
E: -6.06, S: -4.84
Re: The Official Obama Approval Ratings Thread
«
Reply #3890 on:
February 17, 2010, 12:00:29 PM »
Oregon (Rasmussen)
50% Approve
49% Disapprove
This statewide telephone survey of 500 Likely Voters in Oregon was conducted by Rasmussen Reports February 16, 2010. The margin of sampling error for the survey is +/- 4.5 percentage points with a 95% level of confidence.
http://www.rasmussenreports.com/public_content/politics/elections2/election_2010/election_2010_senate_elections/oregon/toplines/toplines_oregon_senate_february_16_2010
Logged
Holmes
Atlas Icon
Posts: 12,776
Political Matrix
E: -6.45, S: -5.74
Re: The Official Obama Approval Ratings Thread
«
Reply #3891 on:
February 17, 2010, 12:14:53 PM »
Oregon is at Rasmussen's national average?
Logged
pbrower2a
Atlas Star
Posts: 24,273
Re: The Official Obama Approval Ratings Thread
«
Reply #3892 on:
February 17, 2010, 12:59:19 PM »
«
Edited:
February 17, 2010, 02:12:29 PM
by
pbrower2a »
California, Oregon, Washington:
Key:
<40% with Disapproval Higher: 40% Orange (50% if 60% or higher disapproval)
40-44% with Disapproval Higher: 50% Yellow
45-49% with Disapproval Higher: 30% Yellow
<50% with Approval Equal: 10% Yellow (really white)
<50% Approval greater: 30% Green
50-55%: 40% Green
56-60%: 60% Green
>60%: 80% Green
Months:
A - January G - July
B - February H - August
C - March I - September
D - April J - October
E - May K - November
F - June L - December
S - suspect poll (examples for such a qualification: strange crosstabs, likely inversion of the report (for inversions, only for polls above 55% or below 45%... let's say Vermont 35% approval or Oklahoma 65% approval), and more than 10% undecided.
Anyone who suggests that a poll is suspect must explain why it is suspect.
Z- no recent poll (maximum 180 days) before December 1, 2009 except Montana (November 2009), which rarely gets polled.
....No GOP surge on the West Coast.
Logged
You kip if you want to...
change08
Concerned Citizen
Posts: 8,941
Re: The Official Obama Approval Ratings Thread
«
Reply #3893 on:
February 17, 2010, 01:15:22 PM »
Quote from: Tender Branson on February 17, 2010, 09:42:31 AM
@ Rasmussen today:
50% Approve (+1)
50% Disapprove (-1)
When was Obama last at 50 or above on Rass? What's this bounce in aid of? The taliban leader who was found?
Logged
pbrower2a
Atlas Star
Posts: 24,273
Re: The Official Obama Approval Ratings Thread
«
Reply #3894 on:
February 17, 2010, 02:22:19 PM »
Quote from: change08 on February 17, 2010, 01:15:22 PM
Quote from: Tender Branson on February 17, 2010, 09:42:31 AM
@ Rasmussen today:
50% Approve (+1)
50% Disapprove (-1)
When was Obama last at 50 or above on Rass? What's this bounce in aid of? The taliban leader who was found?
It could be. Note that the captive is the Taliban's top
military
leader. Such likely throws the Taliban into disarray and makes its defeat more likely.
Good news gets good polling results even if the President has little to do with the cause of the good news. Does he seem to be the sort to try to micro-manage the generals? Of course we have yet to know the whole story.
Logged
Swing low, sweet chariot. Comin' for to carry me home.
jmfcst
Atlas Icon
Posts: 18,221
Re: The Official Obama Approval Ratings Thread
«
Reply #3895 on:
February 17, 2010, 02:55:25 PM »
Quote from: pbrower2a on February 17, 2010, 02:22:19 PM
Quote from: change08 on February 17, 2010, 01:15:22 PM
Quote from: Tender Branson on February 17, 2010, 09:42:31 AM
@ Rasmussen today:
50% Approve (+1)
50% Disapprove (-1)
When was Obama last at 50 or above on Rass? What's this bounce in aid of? The taliban leader who was found?
It could be. Note that the captive is the Taliban's top
military
leader. Such likely throws the Taliban into disarray and makes its defeat more likely.
Good news gets good polling results even if the President has little to do with the cause of the good news. Does he seem to be the sort to try to micro-manage the generals? Of course we have yet to know the whole story.
probably more a bump due to Obamacare being out of the spotlight....though the RCP average is still within a point of Obama's low and a new CNN poll has Congress hitting a historic low.
Obama is over a barrel internationally due to the preception of his apology tour appearing as a retreat. If we lose a single airliner, look for Obama's approval to drop 10 points overnight as he loses the women's vote. If something worse happens, Obama will all but officially become a lame duck and will have a challenger to the 2012 Dem nomination.
Logged
Rowan
RowanBrandon
Concerned Citizen
Posts: 6,692
Political Matrix
E: 1.94, S: 4.70
Re: The Official Obama Approval Ratings Thread
«
Reply #3896 on:
February 17, 2010, 03:15:27 PM »
Oregon.
30%-39%-Dark Dark Red
40%-44%- Dark Red
45-49%- Red
Under 50% approval but approval higher than disapproval- Yellow
50%-54%- Light Green
55%-59%- Green
60%+- Dark Green
Logged
You kip if you want to...
change08
Concerned Citizen
Posts: 8,941
Re: The Official Obama Approval Ratings Thread
«
Reply #3897 on:
February 17, 2010, 05:11:39 PM »
Quote from: jmfcst on February 17, 2010, 02:55:25 PM
Quote from: pbrower2a on February 17, 2010, 02:22:19 PM
Quote from: change08 on February 17, 2010, 01:15:22 PM
Quote from: Tender Branson on February 17, 2010, 09:42:31 AM
@ Rasmussen today:
50% Approve (+1)
50% Disapprove (-1)
When was Obama last at 50 or above on Rass? What's this bounce in aid of? The taliban leader who was found?
It could be. Note that the captive is the Taliban's top
military
leader. Such likely throws the Taliban into disarray and makes its defeat more likely.
Good news gets good polling results even if the President has little to do with the cause of the good news. Does he seem to be the sort to try to micro-manage the generals? Of course we have yet to know the whole story.
If we lose a single airliner, look for Obama's approval to drop 10 points overnight as he loses the women's vote. If something worse happens, Obama will all but officially become a lame duck and will have a challenger to the 2012 Dem nomination.
I still don't get that arguement. You know what happened to Bush's approvals after 9/11, right?
BTW, PPP's monthly head-to-head's are due tomorrow.
Logged
J. J.
Atlas Superstar
Posts: 32,914
Re: The Official Obama Approval Ratings Thread
«
Reply #3898 on:
February 17, 2010, 05:28:27 PM »
Quote from: pbrower2a on February 17, 2010, 11:54:31 AM
Quote from: J. J. on February 17, 2010, 10:02:29 AM
Quote from: Tender Branson on February 17, 2010, 09:42:31 AM
@ Rasmussen today:
50% Approve (+1)
50% Disapprove (-1)
Up three points in two days.
It might be a bad sample size, but Obama is definitely off his lows of 12/09.
Actually, still within the margin of error (4%), but barely so. But 50-50 approval translates into about 53% at election time, which is a decisive (Obama 2008) win.
I'm not sure about the daily, but the monthly averages have an MOE of 1%. December was definitely below November/October.
Quote from: change08 on February 17, 2010, 01:15:22 PM
Quote from: Tender Branson on February 17, 2010, 09:42:31 AM
@ Rasmussen today:
50% Approve (+1)
50% Disapprove (-1)
When was Obama last at 50 or above on Rass? What's this bounce in aid of? The taliban leader who was found?
Late September, but he hit 50% in mid November and after the SOTU.
Logged
J. J.
Atlas Superstar
Posts: 32,914
Re: The Official Obama Approval Ratings Thread
«
Reply #3899 on:
February 17, 2010, 05:31:40 PM »
The Rasmussen tracking has an MOE of 3%, but Obama has been out of that at times.
Logged
Pages:
1
...
151
152
153
154
155
[
156
]
157
158
159
160
161
...
410
« previous
next »
Jump to:
Please select a destination:
-----------------------------
Presidential Elections - Analysis and Discussion
-----------------------------
=> 2024 U.S. Presidential Election
===> 2024 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls
===> 2024 U.S. Presidential Primary Election Polls
=> 2020 U.S. Presidential Election
===> 2020 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls
===> 2020 U.S. Presidential Primary Election Polls
=> U.S. Presidential Election Results
===> 2016 U.S. Presidential Election Results
===> 2012 U.S. Presidential Election Results
===> 2008 U.S. Presidential Election Results
===> 2004 U.S. Presidential Election Results
===> 2000 U.S. Presidential Election Results
=> Presidential Election Process
===> Polling
=> Presidential Election Trends
=> Election What-ifs?
===> Past Election What-ifs (US)
===> Alternative Elections
===> International What-ifs
-----------------------------
Other Elections - Analysis and Discussion
-----------------------------
=> Gubernatorial/State Elections
===> 2022 Gubernatorial Election Polls
===> 2021 & Odd Year Gubernatorial Election Polls
=> Congressional Elections
===> 2022 Senate & House Election Polls
=> International Elections
=> Election Predictions
-----------------------------
About this Site
-----------------------------
===> How To
=> The Atlas
-----------------------------
General Discussion
-----------------------------
=> Constitution and Law
=> Religion & Philosophy
=> History
===> Alternative History
-----------------------------
General Politics
-----------------------------
=> U.S. General Discussion
=> Political Geography & Demographics
=> International General Discussion
=> Economics
=> Individual Politics
=> Political Debate
===> Political Essays & Deliberation
===> Book Reviews and Discussion
-----------------------------
Election Archive
-----------------------------
=> Election Archive
===> 2018 Senatorial Election Polls
===> 2018 Gubernatorial Election Polls
===> 2016 U.S. Presidential Election
===> 2016 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls
===> 2016 Senatorial Election Polls
===> 2016 Gubernatorial Election Polls
===> 2016 U.S. Presidential Primary Election Polls
===> 2014 Gubernatorial Election Polls
=====> 2014 House Election Polls
=====> 2014 Senatorial Election Polls
===> 2012 Elections
=====> 2012 Senatorial Election Polls
=====> 2012 House Election Polls
=====> 2012 U.S. Presidential Primary Election Polls
=====> 2012 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls
=====> 2012 Gubernatorial Election Polls
===> 2010 Elections
=====> 2010 House Election Polls
=====> 2010 Senatorial Election Polls
=====> 2010 Gubernatorial Election Polls
===> 2008 Elections
=====> 2008 Senatorial Election Polls
=====> 2008 Gubernatorial Election Polls
=====> 2008 U.S. Presidential Election Campaign
=====> 2008 U.S. Presidential General Election Polls
=====> 2008 U.S. Presidential Primary Election Polls
===> 2006 Elections
=====> 2006 Senatorial Election Polls
=====> 2006 Gubernatorial Election Polls
===> 2004 U.S. Presidential Election
=====> 2004 U.S. Presidential Election Campaign
=====> 2004 U.S. Presidential Election Polls
===> Town Hall
===> Survivor
===> 2020 Gubernatorial Election Polls
===> 2020 Senate & House Election Polls
-----------------------------
Forum Community
-----------------------------
=> Forum Community
===> Forum Community Election Match-ups
=> Election and History Games
===> Mock Parliament
=> Off-topic Board
-----------------------------
Atlas Fantasy Elections
-----------------------------
=> Atlas Fantasy Elections
===> Voting Booth
=> Atlas Fantasy Government
===> Constitutional Convention
===> Regional Governments
1 Hour
1 Day
1 Week
1 Month
Forever
Login with username, password and session length
Terms of Service
-
DMCA Agent and Policy
-
Privacy Policy and Cookies
Powered by SMF 1.1.21
|
SMF © 2015, Simple Machines
Page created in 0.067 seconds with 11 queries.
Loading...