The Official Obama Approval Ratings Thread (user search)
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  The Official Obama Approval Ratings Thread (search mode)
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Author Topic: The Official Obama Approval Ratings Thread  (Read 1207633 times)
King
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« Reply #25 on: May 11, 2012, 02:40:44 PM »

Gallup
Approve 49% (+1)
Disapprove 45% (-1)
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King
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« Reply #26 on: May 29, 2012, 01:42:27 PM »

Gallup
A 49%
D 44%

Rasmussen
A 49%
D 50%
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King
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« Reply #27 on: June 12, 2012, 02:10:10 AM »

I'm not sure how I feel about a Canadian calling my President "Mr. President."
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King
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« Reply #28 on: August 31, 2012, 04:52:22 PM »

How long until we expect to see any convention bump? Was there any?
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King
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« Reply #29 on: September 10, 2012, 05:37:18 PM »

They should have Bill Clinton speak on national TV every week.
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King
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« Reply #30 on: September 16, 2012, 11:06:34 PM »

lol JJ
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King
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« Reply #31 on: September 17, 2012, 01:12:20 PM »

^^lol

Anyway, your election rules already say that Romney has lost, so I don't know why we even need this thread anymore.

The corollary to J. J.'s First Rule is:  Never trust just one poll.  Trust several and remember that the electorate changes its mind quickly.

I'm looking at trending.

Oh so the rule doesn't count if the candidate you support says he doesn't look at/trust the polls. Gotcha.

Well, by using the standard you used yesterday, Romney just won.  Roll Eyes

J. J., your first rule of elections is that if a candidate and his campaign talk about not paying attention to the polls, then that candidate will lose.  The Romney campaign released a press release saying not to worry about the latest polls--not one poll, not two specific polls, all of the polls.  It then went on detail while polls are not accurate or useful or mean that an election is over.

If Obama had released as statement saying this, what would your response be?

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King
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« Reply #32 on: September 17, 2012, 01:37:49 PM »

Yeah, that too.  I don't understand how J. J. is spinning this.  He brought up to Lief "don't look at one poll" as an excuse but that seems like a non sequitur to me.
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King
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« Reply #33 on: September 21, 2012, 10:49:38 AM »


Rasmussen Obama (National)

Approve 51%, u.

Disapprove 58%, u.

"Strongly Approve" is at 30%, -1.  "Strongly Disapprove" is at  39%, -1.



You hit the wrong number, JJ.  Obama should be at 41.
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King
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« Reply #34 on: September 23, 2012, 09:29:08 PM »

So Obama is running 12-14 points ahead of the last two Presidents to lose re-election while within the margin of error of the last President to win re-election?

The dude is finished.
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King
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« Reply #35 on: September 26, 2012, 05:16:17 PM »

The World's Longest Lag.
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King
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« Reply #36 on: September 27, 2012, 08:57:11 AM »

Doesn't recovery from a major campaign gaffe have to be earned?  I don't think it goes away because it was a week ago.  Maybe if something had happened in the news (the Libya ambassador death ended the convention bounce), but there really hasn't been anything helpful to Romney hooking Obama.

The debate could kill this... next week. If he wins the debate that is,  otherwise it might be permanent.
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King
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« Reply #37 on: September 27, 2012, 10:34:54 AM »

No, it is internalized.  After the initial hype, people treat it as one piece of data.

Not all people.  I usually clear out my internalized data after my weekly defragment.  Do you not clear your cache weekly, J.J.?
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King
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« Reply #38 on: September 27, 2012, 10:20:57 PM »

Rasmussen's track polls hardly ever move out of the margin of error of 49-49.  It feels like it's been 51-48 in either direction for months now.  The only swing from it came because Scott announced he was going to change his partisan weighing model on September 1st.  You can't possibly see trends in that thing.
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King
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« Reply #39 on: October 02, 2012, 01:24:10 PM »


http://www.gallup.com/poll/124922/Presidential-Job-Approval-Center.aspx

Approve: 48%, +1


Disapprove: 45%, -1

Head to head, is still Obama 50% (+1), Romney 44% (-1). 


People slightly remembered the 47% comment a little more today.
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King
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« Reply #40 on: October 03, 2012, 01:23:47 PM »

Gallup

Approve 50% (+2)
Disapprove 44% (-1)

The American people had a bad dream about the 47% comment Monday night.
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King
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« Reply #41 on: October 04, 2012, 12:53:50 PM »

Obama could have buried Romney last night.  What a disaster.
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King
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« Reply #42 on: October 05, 2012, 01:02:55 PM »

If Romney doesn't show at least a 3point bounce out of the debate then I feel this election is well over with. I mean come on. More than 67 million americans watch the debate and you destroyed Obama at the debate and the best you can do is less than 3 points? I may be too premature here. But after what I saw, I was ready to see huge jumps. Why isn't it happening? What is going on here? On CNN poll of undecided colorado voters, they overwhelmingly gave the win to Romney. Yet when asked who had made up their minds, 8 went for Romney and 8 went for Obama. This is crazy. Now the expectations are set that Romney will win the next debate, if Obama comes swinging, we will be back where we were at, a lead for Obama by 2%.

This electorate is so polarized. If by next week, Obama still leading, the pundits at Fox will be having a major fit.

Well if the CNN focus group is any indicator, perhaps Romney didn't win the debate.  He did win it among men easily, but I think Obama won again with women.   That could keep the numbers stagnant.
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King
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« Reply #43 on: October 09, 2012, 12:32:47 PM »

Obama just needs to drive up turnout and he wins.  Of course, we all knew this long before the first debate.
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King
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« Reply #44 on: October 15, 2012, 04:18:28 PM »


Gallup

48% Approve (u)

47% Disapprove(u)

Likely voters:

Romney:  49, u

Obama:  47, u


Joementum Bidemania!!!  Wink


Probably just a bad sample.  A little falling off from the 47% comment.
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