The Official Obama Approval Ratings Thread

[Lief 🗽]

I don’t think Rasmussen can poll Hispanics very well. He has Obama at 28/72 approval among them. LOL

Haha, seriously? If so, the poll is kind of useless...

[Lief 🗽]

http://www.pollster.com/polls/us/jobapproval-obama.php

He seems to have gotten some sort of EURO TRIP bump. That, or his approvals are stabilizing around 60%.

[Lief 🗽]

Why does Rasmussen like being idiots? 57% approval? Likely voters? I liked them during the campaign but now they're just being ridiculous.

Also, why hasn't any polling organization polled one of the closest states of the election and a state that went Democrat for the first time in 44 years yet!!!!

Whats wrong with a 57% approval? Thats more realistic than CBSNews and CNN 66% crap.

Rasmussen got it right in 2000 and 2004. But his "likely voters" screen would have rejected as a "likely voter" someone under 22 who was actively involved in a campaign because that person had never voted in a Presidential election.  That screen proved unduly rigid in 2008. Obama wasn't Kerry, and 2008 was very different from 2004.

Although the young adult vote is capricious it is capricious in odd ways.   

Uhh, Rasmussen nailed it in 2008.

No...

[Lief 🗽]

His final nation poll was good, yes, but his state polls were pretty mediocre.

[Lief 🗽]

His final nation poll was good, yes, but his state polls were pretty mediocre.

not really relevant if we're talking about a current national poll

Maybe. I mean, I don't know that the methodology behind a state poll and a national poll is that different. I assume a national poll is just like polling a very large state, but I may be wrong. On election day, 2008, (or the days leading up to it, at least), Rasmussen released a number of finals polls, of which the national poll was only one out of what, 10 or 20? Can a pollster be much better at national polls than he is at state polls? Was his national poll's accuracy a fluke? I don't know.

[Lief 🗽]

0% of people in Virginia have no opinion or are undecided about Obama?

Okay Scott...

[Lief 🗽]

For what it's worth, PPP has been showing pretty low approvals for Obama. They were also one of the more accurate pollsters last year. So, I'm not sure what to think.

[Lief 🗽]

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lol

[Lief 🗽]

I'll stop treating Rasmussen like a joke when he stops pretending what he knows likely voters are over a year before any election (and over three before the Presidential) and when he stops claiming that 100% of voters have an opinion of Obama.

[Lief 🗽]

snip

pbrower, this site usually uses red for disapproval/no votes, just fyi.

Also SUSA continues to be weird and show gigantic swings and discrepancies between states that should be similar.

[Lief 🗽]

Change in two states (MI, down for Obama; RI, up):

Removed the numbers to make the smaller states easier to see.

[Lief 🗽]

http://www.gallup.com/poll/118970/Among-Workers-Service-Employees-Rate-Obama-Highest.aspx



Transport workers is kind of surprising, since bus/subway/taxi drivers would generally be working class and/or minority, I'd think.

[Lief 🗽]

Rasmussen had him at 65% on the day after inauguration.

In late January, he was at 69% for Gallup.

A fall is a fall.

Of course he's going to fall from his approval ratings right after his inauguration. That should have been the high point of his approvals, at least until some major positive news event happens.

[Lief 🗽]

Nah, we youngsters love the socialism.

[Lief 🗽]

Views of the budget deficit:

41% say the government should spend money to stimulate the economy, even if it means increasing the deficit; 54% say the government should not spend money to stimulate the economy and should instead focus on reducing the deficit

Yet again the American public shows it doesn't know what the f**k it's talking about.

Yup. And then they'd start complaining when the economy cratered again. Idiots.

[Lief 🗽]

For the Nevada poll, remember that Mason-Dixon had very Republican numbers in 2008, especially in Nevada, where their last poll was something like 9 points off and they had polls with McCain ahead by high single digits earlier in the summer.

[Lief 🗽]

Obama is slipping some -- probably because he is out of the country.

Haha, what?  Do you think people are like, "Ah! I don't see the President! Where is he, where is he?! He's horrible!"

I don't think that's the reason his approval ratings have fallen (slightly...), but the perception that he's spending too much time focusing on international issues, which is reinforced when people see photos of him smiling with Putin or Medvedev, and not doing anything to help the economy certainly can't be helpful (in the short term, at least).

[Lief 🗽]

Ohio (Research 2000/DailyKos)

59% Favorable
35% Unfavorable

The Research 2000 Ohio Poll was conducted from July 6 through July 8, 2009. A total of 600 likely voters who vote regularly in state elections were interviewed statewide by telephone.

http://www.dailykos.com/statepoll/2009/7/8/OH/313

well it's from daily kos which is far left, quinnipac is more independent IMO

lol, not this again.

[Lief 🗽]

Just for the record, Obama is at his lowest approval and highest disapproval in Gallup polling:

Approve 55%
Disapprove 39%

http://www.gallup.com/poll/113980/Gallup-Daily-Obama-Job-Approval.aspx

It's all over!!  It's all over!!

President Obama will be a one termer!!!

BYE BYE BARACK!  BYE BYE BARACK!!

As of January 1983, Ronald Reagan looked like he was going to be one termer too given that he was riding in at 35% approval according to Gallup

Excuses excuses.  I smell desperation!!

IT'S ALL OVER!!!!!  Like an OVERBID on the Price is Right with Bob Barker.  I can even hear Barker sadly saying 'You're Over!' with the loser horns playing in the background.

I bet you hear that a lot.

[Lief 🗽]

Look, until Rasmussen starts using a registered voters or adult voters sample (or we get to within a month or two from the next election) their poll numbers are going to be slanted Republican by a bit. Using a likely voters screen over a year before any election (and over three from the next presidential election) is stupid. But this way Rasmussen gets to spin the poll numbers his own way and Fox is willing to invite him on the air to talk about how much Obama sucks.

[Lief 🗽]

Pew Research

Approve 54%
Disapprove 34%

http://people-press.org/report/532/obamas-ratings-slide

Holy cow, 38% approval on the economy? Even I'm shocked....

Even though people think he's doing bad on the Economy, Health care and the deficit people say they would rather have Obama doing the job then the Republicans.

ROFL. Pwnage.

Except they don't

Gallup Poll

If you want to argue with CNN the biggest news network in the world, be my guest. I don't even see on there where it says people would rather have republicans taking over things then Obama.

Neither can I. :/

Please point it out for us slower people (if it's there that is).

People disapprove of Obama on healthcare and the deficit which implies (but doesn't necessarily mean) that the Republicans are trusted more. Either way, his numbers are slipping in these key areas.

Unfortunately for your hypothesis, polls have proven that not to be the case.

[Lief 🗽]

Does Rasmussen not let responders answer undecided? Because I still think it's kind of ridiculous that no one doesn't have an opinion (or is neutral or something).

[Lief 🗽]

I'd expect a bounce for Obama after Friday's economic numbers. CNBC was having an orgasm proclaiming "America is back!" and "the new bull market!" all because we only lost 200,000 jobs. The media is now pushing this narrative.

CNBC was pretty much saying the economy was fine tell Lehman bros went under so this shouldnt come as a surprise.

It's not a surprise, but I was a bit surprised how jubilant they were. Kudlow had some people on claiming we should see 3-3.5% growth during the rest of the year and into 2010, and that it is time to put all of your money into stocks.

These people need to get real jobs...

[Lief 🗽]

Well, with his approvals only slightly above 50%, I guess it's time Obama resign and allow Mitt Romney to become President. You win this round, Republicans!

[Lief 🗽]

I just went and fooled around at Pollster.com and interestingly, the most drastic change was removing Rasmussen.  The lines were much cleaner and the points were much closer together.  And his net approval jumped.  No other filters did that.

Yes, Rasmussen is a large outlier (that and Pollster adds a new Rasmussen poll every three days, which aside from Gallup, makes it weigh much, much more).